January 2019 Outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

news image
Special Stories
21 Dec 2018 3:09 PM
On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center issued their 30 day forecast for January. Warmer than normal temperatures are expected across most of the West, with below average readings in the Southeast. The South is expected to see wetter than normal weather, with below average precipitation in the Northwest and Ohio Valley. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1075749752531230721 The main forecast influences were global pattern trends and long range model forecasts. An extensively discussed El Nino is underway in the Pacific Ocean, but the atmosphere has yet to respond. Observed sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are warmer than normal as expected, with computer models expecting this to continue. Right now, the overall global pattern resembles neutral conditions. Based on the latest observations and model forecasts, the CPC still indicates a greater than 80 percent chance for El Nino from January to March and 70 percent that it persists through May. [November 2018 sea surface temperature departure from the 1981-2010 average. Graphic by NOAA Climate; data from NOAA’s Environmental Visualization Lab.] For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels  
All Weather News
More
Record Fast Start to the Eastern Pacific Season as Dalila Churns

Record Fast Start to the Eastern Pacific Season as Dalila Churns

Eastern Pacific OceanThe 2025 Eastern Pacific

15 Jun 2025 3:05 AM
Northwest: From Heatwave to Thunderstorms

Northwest: From Heatwave to Thunderstorms

An upper-level ridge of high pressure has bee

15 Jun 2025 3:00 AM
FATHER'S DAY WEEKEND: Looking Ahead to the Forecast

FATHER'S DAY WEEKEND: Looking Ahead to the Forecast

Okay. Explanation needed. Dr. Jim is the only

15 Jun 2025 3:00 AM
Severe Storms and Flooding Continue in the South

Severe Storms and Flooding Continue in the South

Rounds of intense rainfall have impacted area

15 Jun 2025 2:55 AM
CSU Updates Their Tropical Outlook

CSU Updates Their Tropical Outlook

JUNE 11, 2025The folks at Colorado State plan

11 Jun 2025 4:05 PM
Isolated Severe Threat for the Gulf Overnight

Isolated Severe Threat for the Gulf Overnight

Heavy rain has been no stranger in the south.

11 Jun 2025 2:35 AM
Severe Storms Possible Again Today in the Southeast

Severe Storms Possible Again Today in the Southeast

We saw an active day yesterday across the sou

10 Jun 2025 4:55 PM