March Outlook Issued from the Climate Prediction Center Feb 17, 2017

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) at the National Weather Service issued its 30 day outlook for March yesterday. It calls for above average temperatures in most of the southern part of the country, with cooler than normal conditions in the High Plains.

The precipitation forecast calls for wetter than average conditions in the Southeast and High Plains. Areas near the Four Corners are expected to see drier than normal weather for March.

The CPC says that “Oceanic and most atmospheric indicators associated with La Nina conditions have faded and CPC issued its final La Nina Advisory earlier this month. La Nina was not considered in the March 2017 temperatures and precipitation outlook.”

The CPC noted that the forecast is being largely based on trends from several of the model forecasts. The influence and location of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) was also taken into consideration. The MJO is a large area of tropical thunderstorms that commonly occurs where sea surface temperatures are above average. The MJO area tends to move around the Earth near the equator from west to east every 1 to 2 months. With the MJO currently located in the region between the Indian and Pacific Oceans, this would favor an increase in moisture for the High Plains with drying in the Four Corners region.

The lack of snow cover in many areas of the nation, coupled with warmer than average coastal water temperatures were also factored into the March outlook.

For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Tweets

Central #Michigan picked up 5 to 7" of rain between Thursday and Friday, washing out roads and #flooding many low-l… https://t.co/6Bir9hLgRV

55 minutes ago by WeatherNation

Talk about teamwork! These ants created a raft to survive the flooding around Jamaica Beach, TX. #TXwx https://t.co/m7dGdtkn4G

1 hour ago by WeatherNation

ONE YEAR LATER: A look back at the deadly #WestVirginiaFlood https://t.co/DBRUBGRRL7

2 hours ago by WeatherNation

New rainfall totals from #Cindy are out and show up to 18" has fallen. These are courtesy @NWSWPC https://t.co/orSqiMTJMM

9 hours ago by WeatherNation

Heavy rain may produce additional flooding problems tonight with the remnants of Cindy: https://t.co/acwCywHoBZ https://t.co/bN24xqPTeU

15 hours ago by WeatherNation

More heat is in store in the South and Southwest, with record warmth extending into the Northwest this weekend -… https://t.co/TUtYF4qM9E

17 hours ago by WeatherNation

Beautiful #sunrise this morning from Blue Point, NY. Are you excited it's FRIDAY!?! #NYwx Photo by: Pat DeLuca… https://t.co/Bv32BGNBbf

19 hours ago by WeatherNation

A #Tornado Watch is in effect until 8pm CDT for areas of the South. #ALwx #GAwx #MSwx #TNwx https://t.co/LcCfDiald0

20 hours ago by WeatherNation

The threat for tornadoes continues today near Tropical Depression Cindy in the Ohio & Tennessee Valleys -… https://t.co/VfpMV7t3iR

21 hours ago by WeatherNation

A cold front that brought a little rain to Denver, CO also ushered in some #cooler air. Highs today will only be in the 60s! #COwx

23 June by WeatherNation

Over 8 inches of rain fell in Biloxi, Mississippi thanks to Tropical Storm #Cindy, leading to widespread #flooding.… https://t.co/TXUudnfSti

23 June by WeatherNation

A shocking night in the Motor City as a cold front rolled through the Upper Midwest. More #rain on tap for the Nort… https://t.co/2Md8jUUfZR

23 June by WeatherNation

#Cindy slammed into Little Rock Thursday, bringing a deluge of rain and strong winds. #Flooding possible today alon… https://t.co/hrx3vNkcNJ

23 June by WeatherNation

Severe storms moved through central #Iowa this evening. Photo: @AarronWeets #IAwx https://t.co/A0n5wI3TM3

23 June by WeatherNation

Neighborhoods in Pelham, Alabama​ were under water on Thursday, due to Tropical Storm Cindy. Video: Pelham Police D… https://t.co/wYXIYZGFua

23 June by WeatherNation

A fast-moving brush fire closed an 11 mile stretch of Interstate 17 in north Phoenix Thursday afternoon. Photo: jer… https://t.co/OoodksC5Gx

23 June by WeatherNation

Remnants of #TropicalStormCindy will pose a flash flooding threat as it continues to the north. More:… https://t.co/9o8rqPeGiP

23 June by WeatherNation

A fast-moving brush fire closed an 11 mile stretch of Interstate 17 in north Phoenix Thursday afternoon. Video:… https://t.co/mQtiOBmsms

23 June by WeatherNation

A look at the coldest and hottest first days of Summer on record across the country - https://t.co/m3VizPLQ3f https://t.co/EVTG42iIro

22 June by WeatherNation
Follow Us