March Outlook Issued from the Climate Prediction Center Feb 17, 2017

The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) at the National Weather Service issued its 30 day outlook for March yesterday. It calls for above average temperatures in most of the southern part of the country, with cooler than normal conditions in the High Plains.

The precipitation forecast calls for wetter than average conditions in the Southeast and High Plains. Areas near the Four Corners are expected to see drier than normal weather for March.

The CPC says that “Oceanic and most atmospheric indicators associated with La Nina conditions have faded and CPC issued its final La Nina Advisory earlier this month. La Nina was not considered in the March 2017 temperatures and precipitation outlook.”

The CPC noted that the forecast is being largely based on trends from several of the model forecasts. The influence and location of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) was also taken into consideration. The MJO is a large area of tropical thunderstorms that commonly occurs where sea surface temperatures are above average. The MJO area tends to move around the Earth near the equator from west to east every 1 to 2 months. With the MJO currently located in the region between the Indian and Pacific Oceans, this would favor an increase in moisture for the High Plains with drying in the Four Corners region.

The lack of snow cover in many areas of the nation, coupled with warmer than average coastal water temperatures were also factored into the March outlook.

For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


STORMY SUNSET - Check out this view from one of our field correspondents from Texas Saturday evening. Severe weathe…

3 hours ago by WeatherNation

SCARY TIMELAPSE - Here's another view of what appears to be a funnel cloud moving over Cleveland, TN.…

6 hours ago by WeatherNation

Strong thunderstorms continue to push through parts of the south and through the Tennessee Valley region this Satur…

6 hours ago by WeatherNation

NEW VIDEO: Viewer video of a possible #tornado in #Tennessee looking toward #Etowah where a tornado warning was iss…

7 hours ago by WeatherNation

DAMAGING WINDS - Winds tear through Waynesburg, KY and destroy a barn early Saturday evening. The severe threat co…

7 hours ago by WeatherNation

Listen to that! Strong #thunderstorms are producing large #hail and damaging winds Saturday evening in #Texas. St…

7 hours ago by WeatherNation

Concerning the two areas under a severe thunderstorm watch, here are the hour-by-hour forecasts through tonight. Or…

8 hours ago by WeatherNation

SOUND ADVICE: Heavy #rain can cause slick roads, take it slow and don't drive through flooded roadways. #TXwx

8 hours ago by WeatherNation

Winter Weather Advisories are up for many areas in the western U.S., as another wave of snow blankets the region. S…

9 hours ago by WeatherNation

Our field teams are out covering strong and #severe storms in #Texas. In Rising Star, TX, they encountered some ver…

9 hours ago by WeatherNation
Follow Us