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NOAA Increases Hurricane Season Forecast

On Thursday morning, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released an updated outlook for the 2020 hurricane season. In combination with scientists at the Climate Prediction Center and the National Hurricane Center, they have increased the outlook for this year to an "extremely active" season for number of tropical cyclones. Compared to an "average"…

6 Aug 2020, 8:45 pm

Flash Flooding and Severe Storms Target the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast

Isaias may be gone, but soils across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic are still saturated from the heavy rain the tropical cyclone brought to the region earlier this week. With additional thunderstorms in the forecast that may produce heavy rain rates, flash flooding will be a lingering concern on Friday, potentially into the weekend. Some of…

6 Aug 2020, 8:30 pm

Late Week Severe Threat in the Plains

The risk for severe weather returns to the Plains for the rest of the work week and into this weekend. A mid-level trough, which is a wave of jet stream energy, is developing in the Pacific Northwest and will move into the Northern Rockies. This will bring a threat for storms today (Thursday) through the…

6 Aug 2020, 8:15 pm

Hot Temperatures Continue in the Southwest and Southern Plains

Widespread heat was found throughout the West last week and it continues to encompass the Southwest and southern Plains this week. This summer has been very hot especially in Arizona, where Phoenix has seen high temperatures above 110 degrees already 30+ days this year. The huge heat wave has been created by a big…

6 Aug 2020, 6:00 am

Apple Fire Burns with Heightened Fire Danger in the West

Fire weather conditions are ongoing in the West.  Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches remain in effect from Montana to Arizona. In California, the Apple Fire in Riverside County has burned more than 28,000 acres since last Friday. It is 30% contained and the cause is under investigation. The fire is producing widespread smoke…

6 Aug 2020, 5:15 am

CSU Releases Updated Atlantic Season Outlook

Meteorologists and research scientists at Colorado State University (CSU) released a second update to their well-respected hurricane season outlook. Dr. Phil Klotzbach and the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU were among the first to issue an outlook in April, with a previous update in early June. The season was forecast to be above average and is living…

5 Aug 2020, 8:30 pm

Isaias Recap

Isaias began developing over a week ago as an unorganized cluster of storms in the eastern Caribbean, strengthening to a Category 1 Hurricane with max sustained winds of 85 mph by the time it made landfall in the United States.   After passing over the Lesser Antilles, the system strengthen to a Tropical Storm and…

5 Aug 2020, 8:00 pm

More Storms Develop Along the Rockies

There is a risk of severe weather today along the digging trough which is stalled along the Rockies. The risk includes damaging wind and 1"+ hail. Most of the storms will develop due to heating of the day and last through the evening hours. The instability needs to be energized but once the storms get…

5 Aug 2020, 7:45 pm

Assessing Extremes: How NOAA Vets Potential Climate Records

[Largest hail stone recorded for weight (1.9375 lbs) and diameter (8") from July 23rd, 2010 in Vivian, South Dakota. From NWS Aberdeen] [Written by NOAA NCEI]  A supercell thunderstorm just pounded your house with hail, and one of the stones is enormous, as big as a softball. Could it be a state record? There’s one way…

5 Aug 2020, 2:00 am