While the warm and dry weather over the holiday may have been nice for traveling and spending time outside, it was not what the south needed. Parts of Arkansas have now been upgraded from a category 2 Severe drought to category 3 extreme drought. Following a dry September, drought conditions began to expand during October. November’s warm and dry pattern merely exacerbated the problem.
Much of the south and central U.S. have been much drier than average during the month of November, recording half or less of their average precipitation. The only exception seems to be Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, and western Pennsylvania. In those states, precipitation ranged from 1.5 to 3 times the normal amount.
A break down of a few major cities breaks down just how big the gap has grown. Shreveport, Louisiana saw around a third of its monthly rain during November. Dragging its yearly deficit down to nearly 14″.
For the month of November, Little Rock saw less than 10% of its average monthly rainfall. For the entire fall, only 18% of normal for the season was recorded.
Unfortunately, the drought outlook through the winter does not look promising. Based on the Climate Prediction Center’s three month precipitation outlook, drought busting rain is not likely. This would allow the drought in the south to persist.
For WeatherNation, Meteorologist Karissa Klos