On August 11, The National Hurricane Center issued an update to its 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook. The NHC’s outlook expressed a higher likelihood of an above average to near average hurricane activity in the Atlantic. This discounts somewhat a likelihood for a below normal season this year The seasonal averages are 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. Forecasters now expect a 70-percent chance of 12–17 named storms, of which 5–8 are expected to become hurricanes, including 2–4 major hurricanes.
The Atlantic Basin is looking more active this week with Tropical Storm Fiona chugging toward Bermuda but losing a lot of steam as it moves west and north.
We are also watching a couple of areas of disturbed weather that have a chance of becoming a tropical system over the next five days or so. If we do see development of these the track will have to be watched closely as they move west across the Atlantic.
Next up on the 2016 list of tropical names is Gaston, then Hemine, but the 2016 is really just ramping up so names could go quickly off this list as we move toward the average peak of the hurricane season September 10th.