The Climate Prediction Center issued its August outlook earlier today. It calls for warmer than normal temperatures over most of the nation, especially in the High Plains. Wetter than normal conditions are in the forecast for the Four Corners region. Cooler or drier than normal weather is not in the outlook anywhere the country.
Temperatures in August are forecast to be above-normal for everywhere but the Southwest. https://t.co/ZojpnS5Ja5 pic.twitter.com/CzF2VgLSnO
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) July 20, 2017
The Climate Prediction Center states that the forecast was based on forecast model guidance, statistical tools, current soil moisture conditions, and potential tropical influences. EL Nino or La Nina will not be a factor since Pacific Ocean water temperatures are in a neutral state and are expected to remain neutral.
Atmospheric signals indicate that moisture levels in the Pacific Ocean into the Southwest will remain above average, which leads to the wetter than normal rainfall forecast for the Southwest. Soil moisture values are below average over the Northern Great Plains, which favors warmer than normal weather in that region.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels