Earlier this month, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued its forecast for Autumn. As with previous forecasts this year, much of the country is expected to see above normal temperatures. The highest likelihood of warmer than average readings are in the Southwest, Northeast, and Central and South Florida. Cooler than normal conditions are not anticipated. A wetter than average 90 day period is likely in the South and Southeast. The outlook covers the Fall months of September, October, and November.
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) August 17, 2017
The Climate Prediction Center states that the current phase of neutral temperatures in the Pacific Ocean will continue. This means an EL Nino or La Nina will not be a factor as Pacific Ocean water temperatures are near normal and are expected to remain that way over the next 3 months. The outlook was based primarily on decadal trends, forecast model guidance, and statistical tools.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels