We get a lot of questions here at WeatherNation Headquarters. The most frequently asked question we probably get here is, “Where can I get a copy of that music that you play in between weather hits?” At this time we don’t have plans to do an album release, but we are considering another digital channel that plays the music 24/7.
Actually, we’ll stick with weather!
With that, let’s discuss the weather for Christmas. Another frequently asked question this week has been, “What’s the weather going to be like in _____(fill in the blank with city name)_____ for Christmas?”
By now, the app on your phone is showing you an icon, a couple of temperatures for high and low, chance for precipitation, wind, and maybe more depending on the app. Here’s what ours is showing:
Before rushing to judgement, changing plans, and rearranging your get together, we ask that you please hang on just a moment. At the time of this post, the forecast for Dallas on Christmas Eve was 33 degrees with a 21 percent chance of precipitation. But that’s going to change because it’s inevitable. A forecast ten days out is apt to change because the predictability is rather low. Take this information below as a guide:
With the #Holidays approaching, many are thinking ahead and want to know what #MotherNature has in store for the region during the upcoming #travel period. Confidence in weather model data beyond 7 days is extremely low and here's why. #MOwx #KSwx #MidMO #SGF #Ozarks #Winter pic.twitter.com/HeMfNmPGmp
— NWS Springfield (@NWSSpringfield) December 14, 2017
Here is what we can tell you with higher confidence for the Christmas forecast. For much of the country, it looks colder than average and wetter than average. See the images below which show the outlook between December 23 and 29.
These kind of weather pattern maps are helpful because it shows where we may have to watch for wintry travel and where it is likely to be drier and quieter.
The immediate West looks quietest, also possibly Florida, while areas along/east of the Rockies appear to be wetter than average. If you’re in an area that is both colder and wetter, check back in with the forecast because it may mean wintry weather for you. However we’ll stress that it may not, because the exact timing, precipitation amounts, and impacts of individual storms is very difficult to pinpoint that this time. We do believe this is a must-watch weather forecast because given the pattern of this cold air plunging south and interacting with moisture near the Gulf, there is potential for heavy precipitation around the Christmas weekend. When, where, and how much? We don’t know those exact details yet…
We will do our very best to guide you through the daily forecast as we get closer to the holiday. There is one more “if”. If you do need an excuse to get out of the Christmas dinner with the in-laws, then by all means use the weather as an excuse….just kidding!
For WeatherNation, Meteorologist Steve Glazier