Colorado State University: Continued Atlantic Quiet Expected
The Atlantic hurricane season has gotten off to a mostly quiet start, and with the peak of the season quickly approaching, the tropics are expected to stay unusually calm, Colorado State University said in its final preseason report on Tuesday.
Respected tropical meteorologists Philip Klotzbach and William Gray released their final prediction for the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season, calling for a total of eight named storms, or an additional five through November 30th, the official end of hurricane season. If accurate, this would fall well short of the traditional average of 12 named storms in the Atlantic basin. Klotzbach and Gray said they expect two total hurricanes this season, and one of those to reach major (Category 3 or greater) strength, also well below climatological norms.
So far in 2015, three tropical systems (Ana, Bill and Claudette) have formed in the Atlantic basin, all three of which have formed as tropical storms. However, none of the three strengthened into hurricane strength.
According to Klotzbach, July 2015 ranked as anywhere from the strongest to third-strongest El Nino on record. El Nino conditions traditionally bring strong wind shear to the Atlantic basin, generally stifling tropical development while enhancing it in the warmer Pacific Ocean.
Stay with WeatherNation through tropical season for all the latest.
Meteorologist Chris Bianchi