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Dreaming of a White Christmas

9 Dec 2015, 10:32 am

White Christmas Prob copy
Christmas is just a few weeks away. The carols on the radio may have you dreaming of a white Christmas, but will the popular song ring true? What are the chances of seeing one in your own backyard?

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Climatic Data Center defines a “White Christmas” as having at least one inch of snow on the ground the morning of December 25. They took three decades worth of temperature and precipitation data to come up with the climatological probability of waking up to the white stuff Christmas morning. From the Rockies to the Sierra Nevada, to the Allegheny’s, its no surprise your chances are best in the mountains. Can’t make it up the slopes? Then head north. Minnesota, Maine, and upstate New York can almost guarantee Santa will be sliding in on a fresh blanket of snow.

White Christmas Prob

Top Cities with a 100% Chance:

❄ Marquette, MI
❄ Sault Ste Marie, MI
❄ Hibbing, MN
❄ International Falls, MN
❄ Stampede Pass, WA

Probabilities for the top 20 cities in the U.S.:

❄ New York, NY – 10%
❄ Los Angeles, CA – 0%
❄ Chicago, IL – 40%
❄ Houston, TX – 0%
❄ Philadelphia, PA – 10%
❄ Phoenix, AZ – 0%
❄ San Antonio, TX – 0%
❄ San Diego, CA – 0%
❄ Dallas, TX – 0%
❄ San Jose, CA – 0%
❄ Austin, TX – 0%
❄ Jacksonville, FL – 0%
❄ San Francisco, CA – 0%
❄ Indianapolis, IN – 30%
❄ Columbus, OH – 23%
❄ Fort Worth, TX – 0%
❄ Charlotte, NC – 0%
❄ Detroit, MI – 50%
❄ El Paso, TX – 0%
❄ Seattle, WA – 7%

As for this year, El Nino has made for a pretty dry winter season in the northeast, and deeper snowpack in the west. The Climate Prediction Center’s forecast for the rest of December shows little change to that pattern.

White Christmas Prob

CPC Forecast for Dec

For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Karissa Klos

Still No Snow in Buffalo
Buffalo 2014 Snow Totals

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