Looking ahead to this week, it is going to be very active with storms possible from the High Plains, back through the Mississippi Valley, and into the South. On Monday, severe thunderstorms will be possible from western Kansas to the Texas Panhandle, during the afternoon and evening hours.
Storms on Monday will develop along and ahead of the dryline from western Kansas south into the Panhandle of Texas. This is where the Storm Prediction Center has outlined a “slight risk” of severe weather. The environment in this area will be moist and unstable, which will support severe thunderstorm development. Storms initially will have the potential to produce large hail and damaging wind gusts. Eventually as the storms spread eastward, they will merge which will pose a severe-wind risk into the evening hours. Eventually during the evening hours, storms will begin to weaken as they spread to the east-southeast.
The severe threat on Tuesday will be confined to the same areas as Monday. Storms once again will develop by late afternoon Tuesday along and ahead of the dryline. Unlike Monday, there is some low level moisture concerns ahead of the dryline. This would cause the main threats to be large hail and damaging wind gusts due to the lack of surface based storms. However, there still is a tornado potential from central Kansas back through western Texas, but at this time, it remains low.
Further to the north on Tuesday from the middle Missouri Valley into the Upper Midwest, there is a marginal risk of severe storms in this vicinity. Due to a warm, unstable airmass, storms will fire along a cold front that will be moving through the region. While severe storms in this area will be conditional, primary threats would include large hail and damaging wind gusts.
Additional severe weather chances will exist from Wednesday through Friday in the Plains, so continue to check back to WeatherNationTV.com for the latest severe weather forecast.