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It’s So Hot Right Now– But Will it Last?

7 Jul 2017, 2:35 pm

Believe it or not, early summer is the hot time of year for the a good chunk of the western U.S.

So all of this heat of June and July shouldn’t come as a real shocker to anyone.
But the shear number of broken records is a bit staggering… So far this meteorological summer (June 1st – now) we’ve seen a whopping 1,928 record high temperatures tied or broken in the past 36 days!

High Heat

This is, in part, due to a massive ridge of high pressure over the western states. This has not only kept things a bit warm, but also exceptionally dry.
Check out this article on one of the many wildfires out west for more information.

Wildfire Forces Hundreds to Evacuate in Breckenridge Colorado

Monsoon Season

The good news is, for some, is that there is an end in sight. The North American monsoon begins late-summer— bringing a little needed moisture and a break from the oppressive heat!
Another good bit of reading on just what that means.

Monsoon Doesn’t Mean Rain

So, typically, as we get into the dog days of summer for a majority of the population living in the United States– those lucky enough to live in the wild west will finally start to see a change in the temperature trend!

But don’t let the buggy get ahead of the horse! Cooler temperatures for some means an average difference of a couple measly degrees.
So now that we’ve made it through the first bit of July, things will start trending downward.

Will the record heat last?

Actually, there really isn’t a solid correlation between above-normal heat at the start of summer translating to above-normal heat through fall.
On the flip side, the lack of moisture in recent months does mean dry conditions will continue.

Drought is a positive feedback loop. Without moisture in the atmosphere or ground for that matter, there is nothing for storms to tap into and until a major change in the weather pattern occurs– drought conditions will persist.

Long Story Short

Long story short. Early-summer heat doesn’t mean we will see a late-summer scorcher.
But, we have made it over the hump— and by late-July average highs in Phoenix will return to a much more reasonable 104º

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