How Common Is Severe Weather on Halloween?
Thursday, October 31st, 2013
HAPPPPPY HALLLOWEEEEN! What a good look cat, huh? Interestingly, according to a recent report, Americans will spend nearly $330 MILLION on their pets this Halloween! Happy haunting.
Halloween Severe Threat
Thanks to a fairly potent low pressure system winding up in the middle part of the country, scattered showers and storms will be possible from the Gulf Coast to the Great Lakes region.
Halloween 2013 Tornado Threat
Although the threat for tornadoes is low, there is still a chance that brief tornadoes could impact areas along the leading edge of the cooler air, mainly in the Lower Mississippi Valley and places closer to the low pressure center.
Severe of Halloween’s Past
According to the Storm Prediction Center, the last year that severe storm reports were recording in the U.S. was in 2008. There were only 10 reports of severe hail (1″ or larger).
According to the SPC, the last time there was a tornado on Halloween, was in 2004. There was 1 report in southern Missouri, where a barn was damaged.
October isn’t typically a big tornado producing month, but Fall is generally a little more stormy due to the big swings in temperatures from north to south. This tends to help whip up larger storms capable of producing heavy snow and severe weather. Since 1950, there have only been 54 tornadoes. The entire month of October typically produces only 62 tornadoes.
Thanks to Andy Dean, the techniques development meteorologist at the Storm Prediction Center for the information below. He stated that there really haven’t been any significant tornado outbreaks since 1950, but there were 10 tornadoes in the year 2000 and 2 killer tornadoes; 1 in Florida in 1960 and 1 in Kansas in 1984.
Halloween Tornado Probability
According to the Storm Prediction Center, the probability for tornadoes on Halloween is mainly confined to the Lower Mississippi Valley, which is where the primary threat for tornadoes is today.
Thanks for checking in on this Halloween Thursday, have a great weekend ahead! Don’t forget to “Fall Back” one hour this weekend as daylight saving time ends Sunday morning.