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Hurricane Matthew: Updated Track

As the National Hurricane Center fine tunes the track of Hurricane Matthew, the forecast cone keeps moving farther west into Florida. As Matthew leaves the Bahamas and tracks toward Florida, the Sunshine State will start feeling tropical storm force winds Thursday morning. Winds will continue to increase throughout the day as Matthew comes dangerously close to much of Florida’s east coast or even makes landfall. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center has Matthew making landfall around Cape Canaveral late Friday morning as a Category 4 storm with winds of 130 mph.

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Matthew is then expected to track up the east coast and weaken to a Category 2 storm by Saturday. Friday and Saturday will be very dangerous days though for many areas from Florida to South Carolina. In addition to powerful winds, Matthew will produce heavy rain with 4-7″ of rainfall along the Florida coast. Isolated areas could see 10″ of rain and flash flooding.

Matthew’s storm surge will also be significant from central Florida to Georgia. The National Hurricane Center warns that “there is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours from north of the Flagler/Volusia county line to the Savannah River.” If the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide, 5-8 feet of storm surge is possible in these areas.

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Since Matthew is expected to track along the east coast, the specific impacts for any one area are difficult to forecast. Just a small change in Matthew’s track will make a big change in the impacts coastal areas will feel from the wind, rain and storm surge associated with this storm. Please heed all evacuation orders and posted warnings for your area.

For WeatherNation, Meteorologist Corey Christiansen

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