June Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center
Late last week, the Climate Prediction Center issued their outlook for June. There are increased chances for a warmer than normal month across much of the nation, from the Southwest through the Central Plains to the Atlantic Coast. Below average temperatures are not expected for the upcoming 30 days.
Increased chances for a warmer than average June exist across much of the country. Favored above-normal precipitation over the Gulf Coast, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys result in uncertainty regarding temperatures across those areas. https://t.co/JI2DUvhln5 pic.twitter.com/UgfCltDBkQ
— NWS Climate Prediction Center (@NWSCPC) May 20, 2021
A wetter than average month is in the forecast from the Gulf Coast into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, which leads to some uncertainty in the temperature forecast. Drier than normal weather is expected throughout most of the West, where drought conditions are expected to remain and will likely expand.
According to the Climate Prediction Center, soil moisture, coastal sea surface temperatures, global patterns and model forecasts were the driving factors used to make the June outlook. Wet soils coupled with cooler sea surface temperatures lead to the uncertainties in the temperature forecast. Dry soils, global patterns and climate trends supported the warm and dry forecast for the West.