We have seen multiple days of strong and severe storms across the High Plains, producing large hail in Nebraska and Iowa along with heavy rainfall causing flooding in Minnesota. Headed into the weekend, the severe weather potential continues for many locations in the Midwest with all modes of severe weather possible. Severe storms in Iowa and Nebraska did quite a bit of damage to people’s property including busted out windshields.
The risk area on Friday stretches from the MN/IA border through Kansas as the cold front taps into a hot and humid environment. Once again our primary threat will be for damaging winds and hail. Showers and storms will linger after dark especially through Illinois, setting the stage for severe weather on Saturday.
We have a marginal (low end) risk of severe weather on Saturday through the Midwest. We will be watching for damaging winds with complexes along the cold front. We will see some showers left over from Friday’s convection early in the day, but with the heat of the afternoon, more storms develop through the Great Lakes region in the afternoon and evening hours. Storms will be fairly isolated through the day on Saturday, but those who see a storm have the risk for heavy rain in addition to severe winds.
As the frontal boundary progresses east, so will the severe weather chances on Sunday, draped from Western New York through Appalachia, though strong storms are anticipated through the Mid Atlantic as well. Our forecast model hints at a slightly quicker solution to the front than the severe outlook from the SPC. Make sure you heed any warnings through Sunday afternoon.
Parts of Minnesota have already seen torrential rainfall with this low pressure system as noted above. We have more rain on the way for the next few days, prompting the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) to issue excessive rainfall outlooks for the Plains. Please don’t drive through flooded roadways.
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