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Moderate Risk Ends Early Saturday

29 Apr 2022, 11:40 am

A multi-day severe weather threat is underway for the Plains and Midwest as multiple low pressure systems traverse the region. Widespread strong and severe storms caused damage in the Plains on Friday. That threat will push east through the weekend.

Outlooks

There is a Moderate risk (4 on a scale of 1 to 5) that lasts until 7 am CT Saturday, this means numerous severe storms are expected.

The biggest risk prompting the upgrade to the moderate risk is for damaging winds that will create damage. There is a significant risk of damaging winds, meaning storms that develop have a high likelihood of gusts over 74 mph, which is equivalent to a category 1 hurricane.

Tornado potential is heightened in the enhanced risk region and includes that chance for a stronger, or significant tornado. A significant tornado threat means if tornadoes develop in this environment they have the potential to become EF2 or greater; well built structures (concrete/brick) could suffer serious damage.

Hail is also expected to be a widespread hazard through the region, including the threat for significant hail. Significant hail covers the risk of 2″ in diameter hailstones or larger, that is equivalent baseball sized hail or bigger.

Timing

 

The cold front and low pressure center become the focus for severe storms today. These triggers will help create better potential for a few tornadoes and storms producing large hail around Nebraska and Kansas. Heavy rain will impact the Midwest along the warm front today, but widespread severe weather won’t be anticipated. Areas like St. Louis could see a stronger storm or two though.

Storms get stronger later in the day. Around sundown, we will be watching for a few supercell thunderstorms across eastern Kansas and Nebraska with all modes of severe weather possible.

Later tonight, these storms try to develop into a line, posing more of a damaging wind risk to areas from the I-35 corridor of Omaha through Tulsa. Make sure you have multiple ways to be alerted of severe storms so you can wake you and head to your safe place if a warning is issued.

Keep checking with WeatherNation for more updates on the multiple day severe weather threat.

About the author

Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. ... Load MoreYears of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues. Connect with Rob on Twitter