NOAA & CSU Update Their 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlooks
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its updated 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast. The agency is still predicting an above-average season with 15-21 named storms and 7-10 hurricanes. The number of major hurricanes, Category 3 and above, remains the same at 3-5 expected.
This is a slight change from the initial forecast back in May of 2021, of 13-20 named storms and 6-10 hurricanes forecast. There is a 65% chance of an above-average Atlantic Hurricane Season, and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
Colorado State University updated its forecast on Thursday August 5th to included 18 named storms, and 8 hurricanes. This is a slight decrease from an earlier forecast update in July which called for 20 named storms and 9 hurricanes.
This season is expected to be above average for a couple reasons. According to Matthew Rosencrans, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, “ENSO-neutral and La Nina support the conditions associated with the ongoing high-activity era.” Warm sea-surface temperatures will also allow for enhanced storm activity.
The peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season is typically in mid-September and we are anticipating more activity in the coming weeks and month in the Ocean.
The Atlantic is starting to heat back up, so stay with WeatherNation as we bring you the latest on tropical developments!