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Northeast Storm Looking Likely for Tuesday

On the heels of last week’s Thanksgiving Eve storm that dumped over a foot of snow in parts of interior New England and upstate New York, another potentially significant winter storm could be on its way to the Northeast early next week.

A coastal low looks set to develop off the Delmarva coastline late Monday night and into Tuesday, tracking close to the New Jersey and New England coastlines as it strengthens and quickly moves towards the north. Initially, it will likely bring rain for most everyone, but a quick interior changeover to snow could leave parts of the region digging out yet again.

Here’s how it all looks right now:

Inland areas (north and west of I-84 in Connecticut and New York, west of I-95 in New Jersey and Maryland, and outside of I-495 in Boston metro): After a shot of rain for almost everyone with initially warm air in place, cold air will quickly filter down from Canada, changing rain to a wintry mix to snow for inland areas north and west of Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City and Boston. Snow amounts are hard to gauge precisely at this point, but it looks to be a significant snow (3″+) possibility for inland areas of Connecticut, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, New York and possibly Maryland, Virginia and New Jersey as well.

Screen Shot 2014-12-05 at 7.56.48 PM
The European model depicts next week’s winter storm. Via WeatherBell.com.

Coastal areas: Should start as all rain, will likely stay as mostly rain through the duration of the storm, but all of the cities, particularly Boston, could be in line for a quick, final change to snow during the ‘wraparound’ portion of the storm on Tuesday night. Accumulations and winter storm impacts along the coast right now look mostly light, but stay tuned, as these can all change.

Timing: Tuesday and Tuesday night, possibly lingering into Wednesday for Maine.

Right now, the system looks likely to produce mostly, if not all rain along the I-95 corridor, including Boston and New York City. However, should the current track move out to sea by another 50-100 miles, the big cities could be in play for a potentially significant winter storm. With the system’s potential impacts still nearly a full five days away, there are many inevitable tweaks to the forecast on the horizon. In other words, make sure you’ve got WeatherNation on all weekend long.

Areas that should be paying particularly careful attention to the forecast over the next few days include Hartford, Connecticut, Springfield, Massachusetts, Manchester, New Hampshire, Albany, New York, Rutland, Vermont and Bangor, Maine.

We’ll have continued updates on this system as the timing nears.

Meteorologist Chris Bianchi

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