Red Bull Stratos, Felix Baumgartner, Northern Lights, Fall-Like Temperatures and a Severe Weather Potential for Saturday
Tuesday, October 9th, 2012
Thanks to Bow Valley Photography for the image below out of Canmore, Alberta.
Geomagnetic Storm Continues…
“A geomagnetic storm is in progress as Earth passes through the wake of a CME that arrived on Oct. 8th. Reports of auroras are coming in from across Canada and all the northern-tier US states.”
The Planetary K-Index is a good way to detect solar storms… when the graphic below hops up into the yellow and red colors, northern lights may be a good bet! Note the two red surges on October 8th & 9th… this coincides with the two northern lights displays over the past couple of nights over the Northern Hemisphere.
Fall-like Weather Continues
Thanks to Garland Lodge and Resort for this picture out of northern Michigan. Dwindling daylight hours and cool, crisp nights are helping to bring more vibrant colors to places farther south each and every week!
Fall-like Highs Again Today
The high temperature map for today suggests below average temperatures for a number of locations in the eastern two-thirds of the country. One cool front along the Eastern Seaboard will keep a few locations under clouds and light rain showers, while another front blows through the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Great Lakes Region. The secondary front will be responsible for additional clouds, showers (rain/snow) and more cold air.
From a Northwest Flow to a Southwest Flow…
The images below suggest our next best chance of widespread strong to severe storms into the upcoming weekend. The upper level low over western California has been sitting in the Eastern Pacific since last week. It has finally started bringing moisture inland to the Southwest.
The persistent cool and somewhat unsettled weather pattern from the northwest will be replaced by a southwest flow over the coming days. This change in the atmosphere will allow that slow moving low from the Southwest to bring widespread moisture to the middle part of the country by the weekend.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a severe weather outlook for Saturday. Keep in mind that this is just an outlook! It is still too early to tell exactly what will happen, but keep up to date on latest forecasts if you have plans this weekend!
…DISCUSSION… MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A REMNANT CLOSED LOW…OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AT THE START OF THIS PERIOD… WILL FINALLY ACCELERATE MORE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD…ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND PLAINS BY LATE SATURDAY…BEFORE DE-AMPLIFYING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SIGNIFICANT LEE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS …INCLUDING A SUB-1000 MB SURFACE LOW CENTER. ALTHOUGH QUESTIONS LINGER CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE OF DESTABILIZATION… INSTABILITY…DEEP LAYER FLOW FIELDS/VERTICAL SHEAR AND FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION STILL APPEAR MOST SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS SYSTEM ON SATURDAY. THIS SEEMS MOST PROBABLE FROM PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI…IOWA…AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA…SOUTHWESTERN WISCONSIN…AND NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS. GIVEN THE SEVERE WIND AND TORNADO POTENTIAL POSSIBLE WITHIN A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT NEAR A 70-90 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500MB JET…AND 50-70 KT SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET…A REGIONAL SEVERE OUTLOOK APPEARS WARRANTED…AS THE POTENTIAL EVENT BEGINS TO COME WITHIN A MORE PREDICTABLE TIME FRAME.
NOAA’s HPC 4 & 5 day rainfall forecasts suggest a decent amount precipitation as this system slides northeast over the coming days. Wonderful news here! Hope the rain doesn’t come down in deluge, which is often the case in convective cases. Also note the precipitation chances increasing across the Pacific Northwest. After several days/weeks without widespread rainfall, it appears that will be changing.
Red Bull Stratos
Have you heard of Red Bull Stratos yet? This is AMAZING!
“In October of 2012, Felix Baumgartner will attempt a record-breaking freefall jump from 120,000 feet – 23 miles – above the earth as part of Red Bull Stratos: a mission to the edge of space. The attempt will take place near Roswell, NM, USA, and if successful, Felix Baumgartner could be the first person to break the speed of sound with his own body, protected only by a space suit. As no one has successfully jumped from this height before, it’s uncertain what the highest supersonic freefall in history will look or feel like.”
Trending on Twitter: #redbullstratos; #stratos; #livejump; Felix Baumgartner
As of this update (Approx. 1pm EDT) Felix had not yet jumped… we’re waiting patiently for weather conditions to pan out!
Thanks for checking in on this Tuesday, have a great rest of your week!
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