Last week, the Climate Prediction Center issued its forecast for October. They are calling for warmer than normal temperatures across most of the West, Great Lakes, and Northeast. Below normal temperatures are in the outlook for the Tennessee Valley. Drier than normal weather is in the forecast from the Central Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Above average precipitation is expected for the Pacific Northwest and Florida.
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) September 21, 2017
The Climate Prediction Center states that the October outlook was based on forecast model guidance, long term trends, statistical tools, and to a lesser extent, sea water temperatures and current soil moisture conditions. Even with NOAA issuing a La Nina watch recently, it will not be a factor here this quickly in October with development likely to be slow.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels