PGA Championship Weather, Cooler Temps, Hot Southwest and a Tropical Update
Sunday, August 12th, 2012
Round 3 of the PGA Championship at The Ocean Course in Kiawah Island, SC was disrupted yesterday due to a nasty line of thunderstorms, which produced gusty winds and heavy rain. My good friend Brad Nelson snapped this shot of a shelf cloud as it approached The Ocean Course.
Radar From Saturday Afternoon
This was the radar from yesterday just before the line of storms rolled into the area. The good news is that the line of storms seemed to dissipate quite a bit as it neared the course, but good call to get everyone off the course!
Unfortunately, the forecast calls for more isolated thunderstorm chances throughout the day, hopefully we can get the rest of round 3 and all of round 4 in without any hiccups!
Severe Threat Today
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather today for areas shaded in yellow below. Hail and high winds will be the primary threat along with heavy rain potential.
One model (4km WRF) suggests that storms will be ongoing in these areas around 7pm CDT.
Not As Hot Nationally
I’m noticing a slight shift in the weather pattern across the nation… It appears that we’re seeing a little more progressive pattern, which is bringing ‘cool’ fronts across the eastern half of the nation a little more frequently. One is sliding east of the East Coast today, another is moving through the middle part of the country now and another will dance across the Great Lakes by the end of the week. The result will be cooler temperatures and in some cases it will be below average for a change!
Continued Cool… For A Little While
The 6 to 10 day temperature outlook suggests a cooler pattern across the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Great Lakes Region through the end of the month. Folks living in the northern tier of the nation might be experiencing a little fall-like weather later this week/weekend!
High Temperatures Saturday
Another cool front will drop through the middle part of the country with some coolish Canadian air funneling in behind it just in time for the weekend. Daytime highs could be in the 60s and 70s across a large area surrounding the Great Lakes Region by Saturday!
Meanwhile… It’s Still Stinking Hot in the Southwest
The National Weather Service continues there heat headlines for folks in the Southwest, where actual air temperatures could rise to 115° Sunday and Monday… YIKES!
Highs on Sunday in the Southwest
High temperatures in the Southwest look pretty toasty! Air temperatures in Phoenix could reach 110° to 115° today too.
The webcam at Rodney Bay in St. Lucia shows cloudy skies and scattered showers from the remnants of Tropical Depression #7. The National Hurricane Center is still keeping a close on that wave for any further development.
Remnants of TD #7
1. A TROPICAL WAVE…THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN…IS CURRENTLY LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE WEST OF WINDWARD ISLANDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION…AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…10 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
More Waves in the Atlantic
2. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT…IF ANY…OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…10 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
How About Hector
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
AT 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. HECTOR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL HEADING WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES…240 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB…29.44 INCHES.
Hector Forecast Track
At this point, it appears that Hector will only be issues for ships and slow moving whales as he churns farther away from Mexico.
Thanks for checking in on this Sunday, have a great rest of your weekend and a great week ahead!
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