It has been a fairly quiet start to the Atlantic Hurricane season but as we near the peak of the season (September 10th) we are tracking a new cluster of thunderstorms organizing in the Atlantic Ocean. These thunderstorms are roughly 600 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and will continue to organize in favorable conditions. A tropical depression could form as early as Wednesday as this system continues to track northwest. This system has a 90% chance of development into a tropical system over the next 5 days.
Even with the quiet start to the season NOAA is still expecting the most active Atlantic Hurricane Season to be the most active since 2012. Forecasters are expecting a 70% chance of 12 – 17 named storms. We have had 5 named storms so far, with the last system, Hurricane Earl impacting Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula two weeks ago. This next potential system would take on the name Fiona and would bring us up to 6 named storms total. Atlantic hurricane season ends November 30th.