One of my favorite quotes: “Man plans. God laughs.” Yep. A few months ago it looked like a cool phase in the Pacific (La Niña) might result in a relatively mild and dry pattern for the southern USA, with cold and snowy weather from the Upper Midwest to New England. It didn’t quite work out that way. We’re now in an ENSO-neutral pattern (no official La Niña or El Niño) but now NOAA NCEP is predicting a good chance of a mild El Niño warm phase returning by spring. We just can’t get rid of abnormally mild ocean water in the Pacific.
Frankly, the pattern looks like something out of a vigorous El Niño warm phase, with a series of wild storms hammering the west coast, lowland flooding and mudslides with avalanches in the mountains due to too much snow falling too fast. More heavy rain pushes ashore today and Thursday with disruptions from northern California on north to Seattle.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Paul Douglas
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