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Severe Chances in Florida, Sunday

A low pressure system has developed along the Gulf of Mexico, thus the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a marginal risk for strong storms on the western side of the Florida’s peninsula near the Tampa metro.


The counter clockwise spin being pulled onshore aids the isolated chances for tornadoes this afternoon and evening. There could also be strong down-draft wind creating a wind threat within the storm chances today.


In order for wind to be classified as severe, it needs to be upwards of 58 mph within the storm.


Widespread rain is ongoing this morning but is likely to become more scattered with the intensity this afternoon. The storm chances are likely to last into the overnight hours and end early Monday. The low along the gulf has a bit more instability to work with so the storms could hold their strength even past sunset.

Along the cold front, squall lines set up bringing the opportunity for the strong and damaging wind. There could also be individual waterspouts which try and move onshore.

Even if cities are not highlighted in the shaded areas for severe storms, there is still going to be a line of activity working through central and southern Florida into Monday morning.

Flooding is not a huge focus of the forecast but there could be several inches of rain accumulation – between 1″ and 2″ with localized accumulations near 3″.

About the author
Chelsea is from Indianapolis, Indiana. Although it may be the Hoosier state, she attended Purdue University and is a diehard Boilermaker fan. She has a BS in atmospheric science and a MS in environmental policy and management with a concentration in energy and sustainability from the University of Denver. Chelsea loves the ever-changing patterns of the atmosphere which led her to participate in ex... Load Moretensive severe weather research for the Red Cross during her undergrad years. Before coming to WeatherNation, Chelsea worked in West Virginia at WSAZ and in West Tennessee at WBBJ where she did it all from reporting to sports but her passion is weather.