Severe thunderstorms return to Midwest and South on Monday. A cold front will sweep across the Midwest, triggering off thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and isolated tornadoes.
Thunderstorm initiation will likely not occur until late Monday afternoon across southern Minnesota, into Iowa, and eastern Kansas, with storms quickly growing upscale into a line along the cold front.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued an enhanced risk of severe storms across southwestern Missouri and northwest Arkansas. This is where the greatest risk isolated supercells will be possible. All modes of severe weather, including the potential for a tornado or two will be likely. The cold front will eventually overtake these storms, which will then transition the severe threat over to a mainly damaging wind threat.
Further north in the slight risk, an isolated embedded tornado may be possible within the line of storms, however, damaging winds will be the primary threat.
On Tuesday, the severe threat shifts further south, into parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.