More Severe Storms Ahead This Week in the South and East
The severe weather season has been very active the last couple of weeks from the Plains into the Southeast and that is likely to continue for the rest of this week. On Monday, Georgia and South Carolina saw the brunt of the severe weather with nearly a dozen tornadoes. Large hail to 2″ in diameter and wind gusts clocked above 80 mph were also reported.
There are 2 areas of focus for severe thunderstorms today – one in the Central Plains and the other in the Southeast. Large hail is likely from Oklahoma to Missouri, with an isolated tornado possible for Mississippi and Alabama.
The majority of severe weather reports are likely in the Central Plains were an enhanced risk has been posted from the Storm Prediction Center. With very cold temperatures aloft, large hail is likely with the strongest storms.
A strong low pressure center will likely produce severe weather this afternoon in Oklahoma, spreading into Kansas and Missouri later tonight. Storms will likely be more isolated in the Southeast, developing this evening along the warm front. The threat for large hail may continue into the overnight in the Central Plains.
On Wednesday, there is an increased risk for severe thunderstorms in the Southeast. A moderate risk for severe storms has already been mapped out by the Storm Prediction Center in many of the same areas that saw severe storms yesterday. An enhanced risk extends into the Ohio Valley and Tennessee Valley.
A strong Jet Stream will aid severe thunderstorm development along with a surface low pressure system. Mid and upper level winds will be strong and change directions with height. This will help to support supercells that may produce tornadoes. High humidity streaming northward from the Gulf of Mexico south of a warm front and ahead of a sharp cold front will be the focus area for severe storms to develop.
Severe storms are possible in the morning and midday as the low pressure center and warm front push northward. Additional severe storms are likely along the cold front in the afternoon and evening hours.
The risk for severe weather on Thursday shifts into the Middle Atlantic states. Friday and Saturday look quieter for now, with severe thunderstorm chances returning to the Central Plains on Sunday.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels