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SEVERE WEATHER ALERT: The Start of What Could bea Extreme Weather Outbreak

Severe Weather Alert
Today could end up being those most significant severe weather outbreak of 2016 thus far. Close to 37 million people are under the threat for moderate to severe storms.

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes, hail larger than baseball size and damaging winds will initiate along a dry line this afternoon across the Plains states.

The Storm Prediction Center has named this a Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) through Oklahoma and North Texas. This statement is used when the threat for damage caused by severe convection is unusually high.

This includes the possibility of strong, long-track tornadoes, particularly notable inside the red-shaded moderate risk area which, as of the latest update from the Storm Prediction Center, extends from southern Nebraska south into North Texas, including Dallas.

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TIMING:

According to the latest model guidance, first of severe storms is expected to erupt west of Dallas (around Abilene along I-20) all the way north into west Oklahoma/Kansas this afternoon around 2pm CDT. These strong storms will march mainly east northeast through the day and each storm will need to be monitored very closely as they interact with more favorable dynamics.

This means timing for storms for more largely-populated cities such as Dallas, OKC, and Witchita can expect storms arriving after 6pm (local time) this afternoon and extending well into the evening.

Severe storms are expected to hold together very well into the evening hours so today is not a day to expect the threat to taper off after sunset as a very favorable environment for severe storms will stay well in place through the overnight. Please be advised to have a way to receive warnings well into this evening in the event a tornado moves into your forecast region and you and your family need to seek shelter. NOAA weather radios are key for an event such as the one at hand. If not, a secondary severe weather app or alert can be downloaded on most smart phones to alert you when/if the threat moves in.

Kansas City, MO is looking at a primary concern for very strong winds (in excess of 70+ mph), large hail, and still the possibility for an isolated tornado.

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