Severe Weather Chances Linger in the Southern Plains Over the Weekend
Chances for strong to severe storms will return to the Plains this weekend as an upper-level low slowly moves across the Rockies. The upper-low will provide wind shear to the Southern Plains on Saturday before moving to the Central and Northern Plains on Sunday. Flow out of the Southeast across the Plains will provide ample moisture for storms to form, with moderate instability expected in the warm daytime temperatures east of the Rockies.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a slight risk for severe storms on Saturday, mainly in New Mexico and Colorado but a few severe storms are also possible in Western Texas and Oklahoma through the afternoon and evening.
Damaging wind gusts and large hail are the primary threats but a few tornadoes will also be possible.
Another round of severe weather is expected on Sunday, but it looks to be a bit more isolated across the southern Plains, with storms developing along the dryline during the afternoon and evening.
Scattered showers and storms will likely impact New Mexico Friday, with more robust storm coverage expected by Saturday afternoon. Damaging winds and large hail are the more likely threats though an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Storms will develop once again on Sunday but they aren’t expected to be as widespread. Instead storms will form along the dryline in eastern Colorado & New Mexico, moving into the panhandle of Oklahoma and Texas as the evening progresses. Large hail and gusty winds will be the concerns again, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Showers and storms may be able to train over the same locations on Saturday which could pose a risk for flooding.
This story will be updated as new forecast data become available.