An upper-level low pressure system will move out of eastern New Mexico into the southern Plains on Tuesday. Increasing moisture out ahead of this system will lead to increasing showers and thunderstorms across Texas. Some of the storms that develop could become severe with a threat for large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes by Tuesday afternoon.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed a “Marginal” severe weather risk over southeast Texas for Tuesday. All of the severe threats will be possible with this system and we will need to keep a very close eye on how things develop during the morning hours on Tuesday.
We should start to see thunderstorm development as early as Tuesday morning. These storms will move northeast and impact central and northern Texas by Tuesday afternoon.
Heavy rain will also be possible with several inches in the forecast. Rain this heavy could lead to some areas of flash flooding and very low visibility.