An upper-level low moving across the Plains is bringing a multi-day severe weather risk to the region. There were several reports of large hail and strong wind gusts on Friday in Iowa and Nebraska. Here’s a breakdown for the next few days:
There is an enhanced risk for severe weather today, a level 3 out of 5. We will have all modes of severe weather possible through the afternoon and evening.
There is now a 5% risk of tornadoes across southern Missouri and northeast Oklahoma!
As the storm system shifts southward, the threat for severe thunderstorms moves into Oklahoma, Arkansas, southern Kansas, southern Missouri and southern Illinois. There is an elevated risk for severe weather from western Oklahoma to Southwest Missouri. Strong winds and large hail are the main concerns. An isolated tornado is also possible from Oklahoma to Indiana.
Instability will be robust as temperatures build and humidity climbs in the afternoon, aiding in severe thunderstorm development. Storms will expand along a cold front throughout the night.
On Sunday, as the cold front dips south, we will see a marginal risk of severe weather across the south-central region.
We’re looking at the potential of gusty winds within each thunderstorm that develops, especially along the I-20 corridor.
Severe storm potential will drop on Sunday but will continue to shift south along the cold front into Texas and the Mid-Mississippi Valley.
Heavy rainfall will also be a concern in the central Plains, especially along and north of the warm front. With repeated thunderstorm development, rainfall totals may climb to 3″ to 5″ in some areas, which may produce flooding. Flash flood watches are in effect and the WPC has issued a moderate risk for excessive rainfall (flash flooding).
We will continue to keep you updated at WeatherNation with the latest severe storm chances in your Central Regional Forecast :30 after the hour every hour.