Severe Weather Threat Returns to the Southern U.S.
A Welcomed Break
After an extended reprieve from strong storms, the threat of severe weather returns to the Southern U.S. and in a big way.
With a massive ridge of high pressure dominating most of the central states in recent weeks, the second severe weather season of the year has been exceptionally quiet.
But as a storm rolls out of the plains, the ingredients are present for the risk of strong storms to return to the southern Mississippi Valley on Monday.
These storms will be capable of producing:
- Damaging Wind Gusts
- Isolated Tornadoes
The main threat of hail and tornadoes will occur upon initiation as supercell storms form across eastern Texas. As the system matures, it is expected to turn into a squall line event. The main threat will shift to that of damaging winds, however embedded areas of rotation within the squall cannot be ruled out.
The storms will start over eastern Texas during the first half of the day and spread east.
The bulk of the activity will occur during the daytime over Louisiana. With the threat of tornadoes looking to be the greatest across the northern half of the state as the storms push through.
By the evening hours the squall line will reach the central and lower Mississippi Valley.
It’s Not All Bad
The line of storms will bring beneficial moisture to parts of the Southeastern U.S. in desperate need of precipitation.
While this isn’t a drought-busting storm, any bit of moisture helps.
The severity of the drought and the multiple wildfires in the region raise the risk of flooding, but the depleted water supply tells a different story. The dried up rivers, lakes, and streams in the area mean the region could see up to 3 inches of rain before any widespread devastation from flooding would occur.
A Real Soaker
Fed by gulf moisture, this will be the soaker we’ve been waiting for. By the time the multiple rounds of rain across the Southeast come to an end we could be looking at rainfall totals measured in inches. And for many areas that have gone more than a month without measurable rainfall, that is some very good news.