A very warm, moist, and unstable airmass is expected to result in the development of showers and thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall across the Mid-South with the greatest coverage occurring north of I-40.
The warm front is expected to move northwest of the Mid-South during the day on Saturday with a temporary break in heavy rainfall across the watch area. A cold front will move through the area Saturday night into Sunday, bringing a return of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall.
The heavy rainfall will likely lead to widespread and potentially life threatening flash flooding. Several rivers will likely go into moderate to major flood stage. Rainfall amounts are expected to range from 2 to 6 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Any additional rainfall amounts across the watch area may result in flash flooding and river flooding.
If you are in the watch area, keep informed, and be ready for quick action if flash flooding is observed or if a warning is issued. Persons living in low lying areas along main-stem rivers should monitor the latest forecast and be ready to evacuate to higher ground. Do not drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road to unknown depths. Take a different route to reach your destination or wait until the water recedes. Remember, most flood related deaths occur in automobiles and flooding is the leading cause of weather related deaths. A flash flood watch means rapidly rising water or flooding is possible within the watch area.