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Soggy Week Ahead for the Northeast?

20 Oct 2014, 10:07 am

Noreaster Flooding by Julian colton

Photo by Julian Colton

 

Get the umbrellas and ponchos ready, Boston and New York City. You’re going to have a wet work week.

A coastal low will develop off the North Carolina coast and drift north, bringing with it chances for moderate to heavy rains and strong, gusty winds through the I-95 corridor from New Jersey northwards into Maine. The storm will take a similar look to a ‘nor’easter’ and deliver similar impacts with raw northeasterly winds drawing in plenty of Atlantic moisture, keeping things mostly grey and rainy as a result. Winds could gust to 35mph and rain totals could approach three inches in some spots.

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A dry start to the fall means the rainfall will be welcomed in most areas. Boston has only received 3.34″ of rain since September 1st, well below their average of 5.86″ of rain in that time frame, a deficit of over two-and-a-half inches. Hartford, Connecticut is also over two inches shy of its average rainfall for the time period, and Providence, Rhode Island is over three-and-a-half inches behind average since September 1st – placing parts of the Northeast in a short-term drought, according to the United States Drought Monitor.

But help could be on the way soon. The computer models are in reasonably good agreement on the timing and nature of the storm, first bringing rains to the Delmarva Peninsula on Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning before those rains quickly shift northward for Wednesday morning for the New York City metro area, moving into Connecticut and New York’s Hudson Valley later in the day on Wednesday. Boston and central and northern New England will see rain spread in likely later on Wednesday and into Thursday morning. Here’s a look at how much rain could fall by Friday morning, according to our in-house model:

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The Northeast rain will be around to stay for a little while. New York City can expect to brace for rain on Wednesday, Thursday and possibly into Friday morning as well, while Boston gets the rain for later Wednesday along with Thursday and Friday. All-in-all, it won’t be the best of weather weeks for the Northeast, and temperatures won’t be particularly balmy either, with highs in the 50s likely for Boston and New York on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

We’ll continue to track the development and potential impacts from this system for you here on weathernationtv.com and on WeatherNation TV.

Meteorologist Chris Bianchi

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