All Weather News

Thanksgiving Travel Forecast

16 Nov 2017, 9:54 am

Thanksgiving is just one week away. And as one of the busiest travel times of the year, it seems appropriate to start talking weather that might impact travel.

But we are still a little far out to get an accurate idea of what we will be dealing with come Turkey time!

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Temps

If you, like some of our other viewers, like to point out the inaccuracy of some 7-day forecasts. You know that predicting weather a week out is difficult.

In terms of temperatures for a week out, my favorite source is the Climate Prediction Center’s 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook.
It shows the broad look at temperature trends for the time period between 6 and 10 days away.
The darker red and orange areas are where we will see above normal temperatures.
The blues are where temperatures will be below normal.

Precipitation

The CPC 6-10 Precipitation Outlook is rather promising for most residents of the U.S. east of the Rockies.

The brown areas are where we will see drier than normal conditions. The darker the drier.
The green is where we will see a wetter-than-normal trend.

An Important Note

Those maps compare trends next week to what would be normal for that area in the given time period.

So, a brown shade doesn’t necessarily mean it will be dry. And likewise, a red shade doesn’t necessarily mean it will be warm.

The GFS

I used the same method of a broad forecast yesterday, showing the GFS for Thanksgiving day. And as a decent example of how drastically a forecast can change a week out, these two maps are wildly different than they were yesterday for the same time on Thanksgiving.

This is what the GFS says for Thanksgiving day.
Keep in mind we are still 7 days out!
And this will change by the time we get to Turkey Day.

For WeatherNation — Meteorologist Jeremy LaGoo

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