Too Dry For Much of America & Tips on How to Safely Camp in Storms
8″ rain reported in parts of central and southern Maine over the weekend, over 7″ reported at Portland, Maine.
98 F. high at Salt Lake City, Utah Monday, breaking the old record of 96 F in 1988. Source: NOAA.
Palmer Index. Here is a running tally of moisture conditions across the USA. The Red River Valley is still running a 4″+ rainfall deficit, but parts of central and east central Minnesota are showing a 2-3″ rainfall surplus, for the first time all year. Palmer Index courtesy of NOAA.
The United (Stormy) States of America. This interactive Ham Aeris map shows the last week’s worth of severe storm reports from coast to coast, over 3,000 at last count.
Montana “Hailers”. National Weather Service employees captured these photos of 1-2″ hail, which covered the ground near Potomac, Montana on Monday. Photos viaFacebook.
That’s One Way To Collect Hail. Thanks to max099tube for showing us the proper way to collect penny-size hail in Lehigh Valley, Pennsylvania on Sunday. A funny YouTube clip is here: “Zaxk having fun in the rain and hail.”
A Threatening Sky. Thanks to the Yosemite Conservancy for sharing this photo taken yesterday.
Tuesday Severe Risk. A few storms may exceed severe criteria (1″ diameter hail and winds over 58 mph) in northern Montana, southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle, according to NOAA SPC.
Outlook: Smoky Sunsets? NOAA’s “Fire Detect” URL shows the location of every active wildfire in the USA, as well as resulting smoke plumes. As hot air pushes north late in the week I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few extra-red, smoky sunsets across Minnesota and much of the Upper Midwest.
Warming Trend. The extended 8-14 day outlook from CPC (NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center) shows a significant warming from the Upper Midwest into New England through mid-June.
Missouri River Flooding: Sand Poses Major Problem For Farmers (Photos). Here’s a snippet from The Huffington Post: “MISSOURI VALLEY, Iowa (AP) — Mason Hansen guns his pickup and cranks the steering wheel to spin through sand up to 4 feet high, but this is no day at the beach. Hanson once grew corn and soybeans in the sandy wasteland in western Iowa, and his frustration is clear. Despite months spent hauling away tons of sand dropped when the flooded Missouri River engulfed his farm last summer, parts of the property still look like a desert. Hundreds of farmers are still struggling to remove sand and fill holes gouged by the Missouri River, which swelled with rain and snowmelt, overflowed its banks and damaged thousands of acres along its 2,341-mile route from Montana through North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa and Missouri. The worst damage and the largest sand deposits were in Iowa and Nebraska.”
Hurricane Forecast For 2012: Cloudy With Chance Of Landfall. I have this nagging gut feel (nausea?) that it’s going to be an above-average summer and autumn for hurricanes impacting the USA. I hope I’m wrong. Here’s an excerpt of a story at Property Casualty 360: “The Atlantic Hurricane Season starts this week, and forecasters are calling for a normal number of storms—but some warn that the odds are in favor of a U.S. landfall. Catastrophe-modeler RMS released its pre-season commentary, saying conditions remain right for the total number of tropical storms “to be near the long-term average of 10.7 tropical storms.” RMS notes that while some existing conditions could drive higher Atlantic basin-activity, other factors, such as higher wind shear over the Atlantic, have increased “the likelihood of a near-normal season in 2012.”
Officials: New Orleans Ready For Hurricanes. I hope those officials are right; here’s an excerpt from Insurance Journal: “The Army Corps of Engineers — responsible for the massive rebuilding of hurricane protection after the devastation of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 — and leaders from around the metropolitan area say they’re working closely on emergency planning as the new hurricane season officially gets under way June 1. With billions of dollars invested in new levees, floodwalls and other flood protection, and an overhaul of cooperative emergency planning that emerged from the Katrina disaster, officials say citizens should have greater confidence that if tropical weather sweeps out of the Gulf of Mexico this year the systems and infrastructure in place are up to the test.”
Photo credit: AP Photo/Gerald Herbert.
Storm Of Money: Hurricanes, Insurance And The Secret Black Boxes That Make Our Rates So High. Wonder why your insurance rates are so high? Charleston’s Post and Courier has a must-read article; here’s an excerpt: “Some things are certain: As the earth spins, air moves swiftly around the equator, creating the trade winds. It’s also certain that storms will form because the sun shines bright where these trades blow, turning sea water into sky-high clouds of steam that inevitably collapse, a process announced by torrents of rain and thunder. And we know for sure from history and physics that a few of these air masses will spin counterclockwise, slowly at first, then faster and with enough momentum to flatten cities, alter destinies, and if hooked into some fantastic electric grid, pack enough energy to light every bulb on earth.” Photo credit: Post and Courier.
“Ask Paul”. Weather-related Q&A.
In A Skirmish To Control The Screens. Here’s an excerpt of an interesting article fromThe New York Times: “Given the relentless battles by tech companies to win new smartphone users, you would think that the tiny screen is the only one that matters. Those battles are part of a larger war for three screens: smartphones, tablets and televisions. The most important facet of these devices won’t be the sharpness of the display or the sleekness of the design — they will, after all, essentially be the same: flat pieces of glass of varying sizes. What we will want most from these screens is their ability to communicate with one another like a group of gabbing teenagers in the middle of school recess.”
Climate Change Stunner: USA Leads World In CO2 Cuts Since 2006. Here’s a bit of good news – not sure how much of this CO2 reduction was a symptom of the recession/depression we just muddled through, but the Vancouver Sun has a ray of good news; here’s an excerpt: “The world has yet to figure out how to stop the relentless increase in climate pollution. But mixed in with all the bad news there was one shining ray of hope. One of the biggest obstacles to climate action may be shifting. As the IEA highlighted:
“US emissions have now fallen by 430 Mt (7.7%) since 2006, the largest reduction of all countries or regions. This development has arisen from lower oil use in the transport sector … and a substantial shift from coal to gas in the power sector.”
Beyond Season’s End: Sportsmen Concerned About Climate Change. Many farmers and fishing and hunting enthusiasts have told me stories about changes they’re witnessing, literally out in the field, with their own eyes. It’s a slow-motion transformation, but that northward shift in flora and fauna climate scientists were predicting 30 years ago? It’s happening. Here’s a post from Climate Denial Crock of the Week: “Rising summer temperatures pose a threat to coldwater brook trout in the Adirondacks, a recent study shows. Researchers recorded air and water temperatures over the course of 11 summers and correlated readings to spawning activity. A rise of 1.8 degree Fahrenheit delayed spawning by approximately one week and reduced the number of nests. Late spawning is likely to delay the emergence of fry, which could uncouple synchronicity with the emergence of prey. Water temperatures near 70 degrees Fahrenheit stress the fish, which do not have sufficient energy to feed. Consequently the growth of their reproductive organs slowed. High temperatures effectively caused the trout to shut down in the middle of the summer, the paper’s authors said.”
Global Warming And Hurricanes. Here’s a snippet of a story at the Grand Cayman Observer: “Although there is a strong consensus among scientists that human-induced carbon dioxide emissions are causing a greenhouse effect and thus raising surface temperatures on Earth, other scientists staunchly oppose the idea. One of those opposing scientists is William Gray, a meteorologist who pioneered seasonal hurricane forecasts while working at Colorado State University, where he remains professor emeritus of atmospheric science. Among his theories based on his scientific observations, Gray doesn’t believe that carbon dioxide emissions are having any measurable effect on the formation of tropical cyclones. ”
* image of Hurricane Ivan above courtesy of NASA.
Nuclear, Coal Power Face Climate Change Risk – Study. Reuters has the story; here’s an excerpt: “SINGAPORE, June 4 (Reuters) – Warmer water and reduced river flows will cause more power disruptions for nuclear and coal-fired power plants in the United States and Europe in future, scientists say, and lead to a rethink on how best to cool power stations in a hotter world. In a study published on Monday, a team of European and U.S. scientists focused on projections of rising temperatures and lower river levels in summer and how these impacts would affect power plants dependent on river water for cooling.The authors predict that coal and nuclear power generating capacity between 2031 and 2060 will decrease by between 4 and 16 percent in the United States and a 6 to 19 percent decline in Europe due to lack of cooling water.”
- Paul Douglas
- Welcome to the WeatherNation blog. Every day I sift through hundreds of stories, maps, graphics and meteorological web sites, trying to capture some of the most interesting weather nuggets, the stories behind the forecast. I’ll link to stories and share some of the web sites I use. I’m still passionate about the weather, have been ever since Tropical Storm Agnes flooded my home in Lancaster, PA in 1972. I’ve started 5 weather-related companies. “EarthWatch” created the world’s first 3-D weather graphics for TV stations – Steven Spielberg used our software in “Jurassic Park” and “Twister”. My last company, “Digital Cyclone”, personalized weather for cell phones. “My-Cast” was launched in 2001 and is still going strong on iPhone, Android and Blackberry. I sold DCI to Garmin in 2007 so I could focus on my latest venture: WeatherNation. I also write a daily weather column for The Star Tribune startribune.
com/weatherAnd if you’re on Twitter, you’ll find me @pdouglasweather