Tornados & Dangerous Severe Weather in Kansas & Texas
As of Monday evening, six tornadoes had been reported in Kansas and Texas, according to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC). A large and dangerous tornado was reported near Plains, in far southwestern Kansas around 6pm Central Standard Time, and about a half hour later a large, dangerous tornado was also reported near Pampa, Texas.
For the second week in a row, portions of the mid-section of the nation are seeing strong to severe thunderstorms. The risk zone is for Monday is from Texas to Nebraska, and includes several major cities, such as Dallas, Oklahoma City, Wichita, Amarillo, Lubbock, and Wichita Falls.
A trough is digging down across the western third of the nation, and an upper low pressure system has been moving slowly through the Four Corners. Cold air has been coming down along with the upper low pressure system, and as it moves towards the Central Plains, an area of low pressure will form along the surface, and travel to the east, then to the north and east. Warm, moist air has been coming up ahead of it, through most of the day, and we have seen storms starting to fire up along the dry line, that is pushing through the Texas Panhandle, and up into western Kansas.
The storms that form will be fast movers, as the jet-stream is moving quickly into the area, from the Southwest, and through the Central Plains. The low-level jet is coming in from a south/southwest direction, and we are getting the winds turning with height. That action will get the storms to start to rotate, and possibly produce a tornado.
By Tuesday, the storm threat is across the Lower Mississippi River Valley, from Alabama to Texas, and up into Arkansas. Major cities that could be impacted are New Orleans, Jackson (MS), Little Rock, Shreveport, Houston and Lake Charles (LA).
This storm will have a lot of moisture to work with, and rainfall amounts, when all is said and done, will be roughly 1-6″. There is a Flash Flood Watch up from Illinois to Louisiana, and goes through, the latest, Wednesday morning.