While the eastern Pacific hurricane season has gotten off to an active start, the Atlantic has yet to fully get going yet, but that may change in the next few days.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has highlighted two areas for possible tropical development later this week and into the weekend. Both areas currently have a 30 percent or less chance of development, but they’re possible signs that the dormant Atlantic season may be starting to heat up.
The first area of possible development is in the northwest Caribbean, where an area of low pressure, partially linked to the remnants of Tropical Storm Calvin, is expected to slowly gain strength and form an area of low pressure near Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula Friday or Saturday. It’s drifting northwest, which could impact the Yucatan Peninsula with heavy rainfall this weekend before possibly moving into the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the Gulf of Mexico coastline, particularly in Texas, should keep close tabs on the progress of this low. This area has a 30 percent chance of developing within the next five days.
Another and slightly more unusual area for development lies in the eastern Atlantic, off the African coastline. While the NHC only gives this area a 20 percent chance of development in the next five days as well (10 percent in the next two), it’s in a highly unusual location for possible June development. The area near the Cabo Verde islands, off the west African coastline, often favors tropical development, but more into August and September. Typically this time of year, wind shear is too strong, which often rips apart storms before they have a chance to develop. This storm is also unlikely to develop, but it could funnel extra moisture into the Caribbean next week.
If a storm were to develop, it would acquire the name Bret, followed by Cindy.
Stay with WeatherNation for the latest on the tropics.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Chris Bianchi