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Tropics Update: Two Areas of Potential Development in the Pacific

24 May 2022, 2:30 pm

Right now the Atlantic is quiet, but we are turning our attention to the Pacific where there are two areas of potential development over the next 5 days There are no named storms, but a couple areas of low pressure are being watched that forecast models are hinting at strengthening. Right now, there is NO threat to land.

 

The first name up on the list for the Pacific season is Agatha. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released their Central Pacific Tropical Season outlook on Monday calling for a slightly below average season with 2-4 Tropical Cyclones. These are the storms that could impact Hawaii.

The National Hurricane Center labeled their first area of interest in the Atlantic Basin this weekend with a weak low pressure system that has now moved well inland into the Southeast and has weakened. There is now a zero potential of development as the area of low pressure is inland, but it signals we are closer to the start of the season!

The area of development for this storm was right in line where climatologically we see storms develop in early June.

Sea surface temperatures are above the threshold (79°F) for potential hurricane development. Warm ocean waters are crucial for hurricane growth.

The only thing to monitor is the layer of Saharan dust that is centered over the Atlantic right now. Saharan dust can stabilize our atmosphere, leading to less tropical development.

For the last 7 years in a row, we have had a tropical system named before the official start to the hurricane season. The first name up on this year’s list is Alex.

Typically Hurricane season peaks in mid-September. Early indications point towards an above average season for the Atlantic Basin in 2022 due to a La Nina pattern.

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About the author
Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Color... Load Moreado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!