All Weather News

Will Kyle Kill Kenny?

Kyle is wandering around in the western Atlantic trying to get his bearings. I just can’t bring myself to get excited about it, but I did promise some updated forecast precipitation graphics! I will insert them at the end of the post.

The latest discussion by forecaster Beven from the HPC states that Kyle will meander north as I discussed before, however the newest forecast track is more east than was previously predicted. And it seems several obstacles are in his path as is often the case with systems at this time of the year traversing that far north. Cooler air may move in from the east, and shear is not particularly favorable at this time, but is believed to decrease shortly perhaps giving Kyle a chance to be a hurricane, even if just for a bit. Beven states:

A NEW COMPLICATION IS A COLD AIR MASS APPROACHING
KYLE FROM THE EAST…WHICH IF IT REACHES THE CYCLONE COULD CAUSE
WEAKENING OR A FASTER EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION

If you are interested in staying on top of Kyle’s movements, be sure to utilize our fantastic tropical section, as it includes some wonderful features!

Below are the total liquid precipitation totals I promised for you.The first graphic (static) represents projected total liquid precipitation totals accumulated over a 60 hour period, ending at 00z Monday morning.

The second graphic is an animated display of projected liquid precipitation totals at 3 hour intervals. Color fills are total precipitation, while the dotted intervals display precipitation that is the result of convective activity.

Click on each graphic to view at full size.

Total Accumulated 60hr Precip 3hr Precip Totals (Animation)

cheers,

–patrick

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