Kevin Schneider

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The 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season is off to a record-breaking start, with five named storms: Alvin, Barbara, Cosme, Dalila, and Erick. This level of early activity is well ahead of the seasonal average, which typically sees the first named storm by June 10, the second by June 24, and the third by July 6. Dalila forming on the 13th marked the fastest four storms to be named in the basin since record keeping began, beating 1974, which saw Dolores form by the 14th of June.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-20 051607-1750418474627.jpg">Now, there is a new area of concern in the Eastern Pacific. An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms has roughly a 70 percent chance of development within the next 7 days. This area is currently located offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 082218-1750602145230.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/06-21 gfs-1750527085108.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Backtracking just a bit to Erick, its remnant moisture is expected to move into the United States. This will have a profound impact on New Mexico, bringing rainfall into the region. New Mexico has been experiencing extreme drought, and fires have been ongoing across the region. The rainfall is expected Sunday into early next week.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/DFS-1750623279151.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>ATLANTICThe Atlantic hurricane season, which began on June 1, has something to monitor now. An area east of Bermuda is being watched for tropical development sometime this week. No impacts are expected on land, but Bermuda could see some elevated surf.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/TROPICAL FFFF-1750623348751.png">Why no storms?</h1>The Saharan dust, which often travels westward from Africa, can suppress tropical development by introducing dry, stable air into the atmosphere. In addition, wind shear is disrupting the organization of tropical waves and disturbances, preventing them from developing into more significant systems. While sea surface temperatures are warm enough to support storm formation, they are not as favorable as in recent years, further limiting activity.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 082327-1750602214753.png">Although the Atlantic is off to a slow start, this is not unusual for June. Historically, tropical activity in the Atlantic does not typically ramp up until later in the summer, particularly in August and September, with the peak occurring around the 15th of September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Day1SVR-1749823458384.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104849-1748537876634.png">For now, the quiet beginning to the season is considered perfectly normal.&nbsp;The early season will more often see more tropical storms than hurricanes, but hurricanes can form and impact the United States, so it's <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-prep-week-2025">always best to be prepared</a>. Andrea is the first name on the list in the Atlantic in 2025.NOAA and Colorado State are expecting an above-average season in the Atlantic Basin. <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/noaa-predicts-above-average-2025-hurricane-season">Click here to read more.</a>

Jackie Brown

An Area to Watch Emerges in the Atlantic

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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NORTHERN PLAINS - After a powerful <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/derecho-tears-through-north-dakota-and-minnesota-friday">derecho tore through North Dakota and Minnesota Friday and into Saturday</a>, we're looking ahead to our next chance for severe weather in the same areas.<h2>Forecast Set-Up</h2>Another upper-level trough is expected to sweep across the Plains and into the Upper Midwest late today. This system poses a threat of damaging winds, large hail, and even tornadoes. At the surface, a frontal boundary colliding with intense heat and instability will provide the lift needed to support thunderstorm development.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-21 082917-1750516216669.png">Severe Outlooks</h2>The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe weather across portions of Nebraska, the Dakotas, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Some of the same areas were impacted by Friday and Saturday morning's derecho.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/SEVEREEEE TODAYYY -1750611971883.png">There is a tornado risk across northern Minnesota and stretching through central Nebraska.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/TOR PFPF-1750612010029.png">In addition, there is a significant hail and wind threat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Web 9-1750589193667.png">As this frontal boundary pushes east on Monday, the SPC has issued an additional SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe weather, including the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Michigan.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 083104-1750602667881.png">Severe weather lingers through Tuesday with a Marginal threat of severe storms from Nebraska through Michigan.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 083430-1750602900116.png">Flooding will also be a concern with heavy rain expected for several consecutive days, leaving the soil saturated and unable to absorb new incoming rain, so runoff and isolated flash flooding possible.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/06221-1750602702985.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Forecast Timing</h2>Our in-house Baron model suggests storms will be slow to initiate, with most activity ramping up in the late evening and overnight hours on Sunday. By Monday, the tail end of the boundary stalls. As energy and lift encounter hot, humid conditions, storms are likely to develop in the Siouxland and Omaha areas, pushing northeast into more of the Upper Midwest later in the day and into the night.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/sdssss-1750623759049.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Be sure to have multiple ways to get severe weather alerts, more details about this will be talked about at :30 past the hour during our central regional forecast on WeatherNation!

Severe Weather Returns to Northern Plains After Friday’s Derecho

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Sounds like something out of science fiction, right? These are relatively rare, but sometimes, the temperature can jump rapidly in the early morning hours, like it did this morning in Perham, MN. So, how does it happen? What do you need to see the thermometer jump almost 20° without much warning? There are two big ingredients you'll need: a dying storm and some warm air just off the surface.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/08/Heatburst explained-1724599653047.png">As that storm falls apart, the rain-cooled air will shove the warmer, drier air down to the surface. The temperature shot from about 80 all the way up to 97 in a matter of 30 minutes between 7:00 and 8:00 AM.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 114637-1750614405520.png">Usually, these happen in the morning hours, when an inversion will displace the warmer air aloft as we cool off overnight.

A Heat Burst Happened Sunday Morning: What Is It??

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Record highs are likely across the Northeast starting today and lasting through at least Wednesday. Over 200 locations could tie or break records during this stretch! That heat is helping fire another batch of storms over the next few days. Wind and hail are the major impacts expected with the storms today, however a few tornado warnings were issued early Sunday AM.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 110511-1750611918938.png">A Flash Flood Emergency was issued for Chenango County in New York for significant rainfall and dangerous flooding. Water was reported to be approaching homes in the area. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 084016-1750603251527.png">A strong high-pressure system will begin building today and strengthen through the week, sending temperatures soaring. With a little more rain in the forecast Sunday, the Weather Prediction Center upgraded this area's expectation of excessive rainfall. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-22 11-17-47-1750612771028.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Monday and Tuesday a front will scoot closer to the area, keeping the threat of severe weather around. Damaging winds look to be the most likely threat, especially Tuesday with the front. If it's not a little stormy, it's going to be really steamy. Highs in the mid to upper 90's will be easy to come by towards Tuesday. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 111351-1750612528516.png">

Hot Weather Powers More Storms in the Northeast

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The summer solstice happened on Friday, June 20th, but apparently the Northern Rockies missed the memo. A cold (relatively) area of low pressure is dropping through the Northwest, creating rain, thunderstorms, and even heavy mountain snow. Winter alerts will remain in place through lunch time. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 084508-1750603528689.png">Once we move past lunch, things will quickly subside.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/06222-1750603608100.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>There will still be some additional accumulation before all is said and done.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-22 084656-1750603635079.png">More on your Western Regional Forecast can always be found :50 past the hour on WatherNation.

A Heat Burst Happened Sunday Morning: What Is It??

Hot Weather Powers More Storms in the Northeast

Kicking Off Summer with Rockies Snow

An Area to Watch Emerges in the Atlantic

Severe Weather Returns to Northern Plains After Friday’s Derecho

A Heat Burst Happened Sunday Morning: What Is It??

Hot Weather Powers More Storms in the Northeast

Kicking Off Summer with Rockies Snow

An Area to Watch Emerges in the Atlantic

Severe Weather Returns to Northern Plains After Friday’s Derecho

A Heat Burst Happened Sunday Morning: What Is It??

Hot Weather Powers More Storms in the Northeast

Kicking Off Summer with Rockies Snow