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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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Artist's concept of the NOAA Gulfstream G550. (Image credit: Gulfstream Aerospace Corporation)The Hurricane Hunter fleet is getting an upgrade. NOAA announced Tuesday, July 16th, that it is awarding a 106 million dollar contract to Gulfstream Aerospace Company for a fully modified G550 aircraft that will measure the atmosphere around hurricanes and tropical storms starting in 2028. The aircraft is the second that NOAA has purchased from Gulfstream since 2019, with the first G550 to be delivered and operational in Spring 2025. The pair of new aircraft are replacements to the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.omao.noaa.gov/aircraft-operations/noaa-hurricane-hunters">NOAA Hurricane Hunter fleet</a>, the Gulfstream IV-SP, operational since 1996. The Gulfstream IV-SP can, "fly high, fast and far with a range of 4,000 nautical miles and a cruising altitude of 45,000 ft., paint[ing] a detailed picture of weather systems in the upper atmosphere surrounding developing hurricanes." The aircraft also support a range of atmospheric missions, especially those over open waters where sensing of weather conditions is lacking. <div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1813271122076705247" src="https://x.com/NOAA_HurrHunter/status/1813271122076705247?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet"></div>Other aircraft in NOAA's hurricane aircraft fleet include two Lockheed Martin P-3 Orions which fly directly into hurricanes to measure the atmospheric composition. The three NOAA aircraft, together with the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.403wg.afrc.af.mil/About/Fact-Sheets/Display/Article/192529/53rd-weather-reconnaissance-squadron-hurricane-hunters/">United States Air Force (USAF) 53rd Weather Reconssiance Squadron</a> based out of Biloxi, MS measure hurricanes and tropical storm conditions throughout the tropical season to bring valuable information to forecasters on land about storm strength, wind speed and motion. According to NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D., “These new state-of-the-art aircraft will greatly enhance NOAA’s ability to gather data critical to hurricane research and forecasting, atmospheric river research and forecasting, climate studies, and other missions.” Sensors on the new Gulfstream 550 include a tail-mounted Doppler Radar System and will be able to fly at an altitude 6,000 feet higher than their predecessor. Better measurement from these aircraft will help forecasters improve intensity and track forecasts as well as provide the public with longer forecast lead times ahead of the storm.

New Aircraft Set to Join Hurricane Hunter Fleet

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If you had the feeling the start of the summer season has been busy from a weather standpoint, you'd be correct. NOAA and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://Climate.gov">Climate.gov</a> have released their <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.climate.gov/news-features/features/us-climate-summary-june-2024">summary for June</a> including major weather events and additions to the Billion Dollar Disasters. In June, 4 new <a target="_blank" rel="noopener" href="https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/">Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters</a> were added to 2024, bringing the year-to-date total to 15 disasters. According to NOAA, the four confirmed billion-dollar disasters "include[e] two hail events that impacted Texas and Colorado at the end of April and end of May, respectively, one severe weather event that impacted the central, southern, and eastern U.S. in mid-May and a tornado outbreak that impacted portions of the Central U.S. in mid-May.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/billions-1720813584259.png"> Additional possible billion-dollar disasters from June and July are as follows:<ul><li><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Central Severe Weather</a>: Hail storms, high wind and tornadoes impact several central states on June 12-13.</li><li><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/a-foot-of-rain-leads-to-river-flooding-in-the-plains">High Plains and Midwest Flooding</a> in Iowa, Minnesota and South Dakota</li><li><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/over-2-million-without-power-in-texas-from-hurricane-beryl">Hurricane Beryl</a> in late June and early July. Beryl became the earliest Category 5 storm ever on record and the first Category 4 hurricane in the Atlantic Basin ever in June. </li></ul>The month of June was also extremely toasty with an average temperature in the lower 48 of 71.8°F, 3.4°F above average. This makes June 2024 the second warmest June in 130 years of record keeping. There were heat waves in the Southwest, Great Lakes, and Northeast. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/us-climate-summary-june-temperature-anomalies-2024-07-11-1720813584257.png">Other notable weather events during June included the deadly South Fork Fire that forced the evacuation of the entire town of Ruidoso, NM, and claimed two lives. The fire was started by lightning. Tropical storm Alberto impacted far south Texas and northern Mexico with heavy rainfall, storm surge and damaging winds. According to NOAA, "Some Texas communities saw nearly three times their June average for rainfall over 48 hours from Tropical Storm Alberto, including the Gulf Coast-area city of Rockport, Texas, which received 9.97 inches of rain from the storm; its June average is 3.66 inches. Similarly, Alice, Texas, received 6.57 inches of rain—nearly triple its June average of 2.32 inches."The Lone Star State had its fair share of busy weather in June; early in the month huge hail struck the state. On June 2nd a hailstone over 6.25 inches in diameter hit the Texas Panhandle — this could be the new state record for largest hail diameter.

June Weather Recap: Active Start to the Summer

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The Dog Days of Summer officially began on July 3rd and continues through August 11th and is typically used to describe the most oppressive stretch of the summer in the Northern Hemisphere. However, you may be surprised to learn where it originated for the answer.&nbsp;We look to the stars during this time of the year, the sun occupies the same region as Sirius, the brightest star in the night sky. Sirius is part of the constellation Canis Major giving it the nickname of the "dog star", derived from the Greek word for scorching. The star is so bright that the ancient Greeks and Romans believed it gave off heat and added notable amounts of energy to the sun's warmth.&nbsp;&nbsp;On July 23 Sirius is in perfect synchrony with the sun. The "Dog Days" of summer classify the 20 days before and after this alignment, and the period typically turns out to be the hottest stretch of the summer. The extra heat has nothing to do with added energy from Sirius. In fact, because of how far away the star is its energy contribution is only about one billion of what the sun provides!<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/m0K-EW7IBAQ" start="0"></iframe></div>If you're looking to protect your actual dogs (and cats) from the heat, here are a few tips to help our four-legged friends stay safe during the blistering heat.&nbsp;&nbsp;While pet paws are built to withstand tough walking surfaces, summer temperatures can make the ground too hot for walks. At an air temperature of 80 asphalt heats up to over 115 degrees. Opt for walks in the early morning hours or after sundown when the sidewalks are cooler. If you can’t wait, walk your pup on grassy surfaces or invest in booties to protect your pet’s feet.&nbsp;The inside of a car can also climb to over 100 degrees in just 10 minutes. Don’t leave your furry friend in the car and always look before you lock!If you’re thinking about giving your pet a summer haircut to ditch their winter coat, you might think again. According to veterinarian Dr. Barb Cardwell, “shaving is a no-no. You never want to shave your dog down to the skin. Now you can certainly trim them and decrease some of the fluff but the fur that they have is there for a reason and even the thicker coated breeds will trap a layer of cooler air at the surface of the skin and for about a half an inch or so from that surface outward that will help them maintain a cooler body temperature."&nbsp;It’s important to know the signs of overheating. If your pet displays any symptoms, move them to a cooler space and consult a vet immediately. Keeping your pets cool with plenty of fresh water and time in the shade or A/C will help both of you enjoy the summertime season.&nbsp;

Dog Days of Summer Underway

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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The James Webb Telescope is celebrating two years of scientific operations with an incredible new image of two galaxies interacting 326 million light years away! We spoke to the project scientist for James Webb, Amber Straughn, Ph.D., about what Webb the image and what else Webb has discovered. <div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/JfyWt0RD6Tw" start="0"></iframe></div> Webb, the world's largest and most powerful space telescope, was launched in 2021, but first began operating on July 12th, 2022, after the telescope unfolded from its compact launch fold, taking many months to calibrate its advanced tools. Since becoming operational, James Webb has been peering farther into space and time then previously possible, helping NASA unlock early mysteries of the universe. By looking farther and farther away from earth, James Webb peers through time due to the delay of light reaching earth from galaxies billions of light years away. This helps scientists see what the universe looked like during it's earliest stages of formation and expansion. This includes Webb's most recently released image of galaxies swirling around one another. Here is NASA's description of this incredible new image: "The distorted spiral galaxy at center, the Penguin, and the compact elliptical at left, the Egg, are locked in an active embrace. This near- and mid-infrared image combines data from NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope’s NIRCam (Near-Infrared Camera) and MIRI (Mid-Infrared Instrument), and marks the telescope’s second year of science. Webb’s view shows that their interaction is marked by a glow of scattered stars represented in blue. Known jointly as Arp 142, the galaxies made their first pass by one another between 25 and 75 million years ago, causing “fireworks,” or new star formation, in the Penguin. The galaxies are approximately the same mass, which is why one hasn’t consumed the other." A video breakdown of the image with incredible insight has been released to accompany the image. You can watch that below:<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/SQ2jLnq_Gj8" start="0"></iframe></div> For more information about the image and the James Webb Space Telescope, visit the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://science.nasa.gov/missions/webb/vivid-portrait-of-interacting-galaxies-marks-webbs-second-anniversary/">James Webb mission page</a>.

Jesse Kelley

James Webb Telescope Celebrates 2 Years of Operations with a New Image of Distant Galaxies

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The Aurora Borealis may be visible tonight for those in the far northern latitudes of the United States, along the Canadian border. Auroras are ribbons of brilliant light that usually appear around the northern latitudes when charged particles from the sun hit Earth's magnetic field. The particles shed energy as they collide with our atmospheric gasses, giving the aurora a spectacular glow of colors. Aurora Borealis is seen away from our poles and over the northern latitudes during stronger solar events. The aurora was visible in New York on Thursday night and will be again tonight!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/aurora-1719610488503.jpg">Earlier Friday there was a level 4 out of 5 geomagnetic storm impacting the Earth, but due to the daylight hours across the eastern hemisphere, we did not get to see impacts from an aurora. Geomagnetic conditions have decreased to a level 1 for tonight. A G1 geomagnetic storm can lead to weak power grid fluctuations, minor satellite impacts, and impacts on migratory animals. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/spwx-1719610433065.jpg">According to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center, "The increased geomagnetic activity was in response to the arrival of a coronal mass ejection (CME) that departed the Sun on June 25th. The CME was associated with a large filament eruption and analysis indicated a possible Earth arrival as a glancing blow today. Indeed, a disturbance in the solar wind was observed by an observation satellite one million miles from Earth at 5:12am EDT. This was the leading edge of the CME and when it arrived at Earth, geomagnetic conditions quickly intensified and eventually reached G3 levels. The G3 Warning is in effect until 5:00pm EDT [Friday]."<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1806697729248182470" src="https://x.com/NWSSWPC/status/1806697729248182470"></div>So how are the conditions for viewing what is left of the geomagnetic storm? There will be a decent amount of cloud cover over the Great Lakes and Dakotas limiting viewing. The best opportunity for clear skies will be through Montana and northern Idaho. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/aurora forecast-1719610266920.jpg">

Aurora Visible Friday Night in North America

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Did you know, that National Sunglasses Day is Thursday, June 27th? This is held every year by the Vision Council, a leading advocate for the optical industry to encourage people to wear sunglasses to protect your eyes from harmful ultraviolet (UV) rays. Just as you wear sunscreen to protect your skin from harmful UV rays, sunglasses protect your eyes from damage. You can participate in the celebration by posting a selife with your shades on and including the hashtag #NationalSunglassesDay.According to the Vision Council, UV rays "can have damaging long and short-term impacts on vision and quality of life." Sunglasses not only protect your eyes from UV rays but also can protect them during outdoor physical activities. According to The National Institute of Health’s National Eye Institute, "30,000 sports-related eye injuries in the United States each year require a trip to the emergency room [and] Almost 90 percent of eye injuries are preventable with proper eye protection."<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1803839669869650385" src="https://x.com/opticalindustry/status/1803839669869650385"></div>For when you may need your Sunglasses, join WeatherNation for the latest forecasts covering coast-to-coast weather conditions!

National Sunglasses Day - Thursday, June 27th

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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Mission Success! The GOES-U Satellite had a successful launch aboard SpaceX's Falcon Heavy rocket Tuesday, June 25th. The two-hour launch window opened at 5:16 PM ET, and with a 10 minute weather delay, liftoff occurred at 5:26 PM ET from the Kennedy Space Center in Cape Canaveral, Florida.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/VO_062524_RSE_CAPE CANAVERAL, FL_LIFT OFF ON GOES-U_NASA_JK_E062524-1719362902325.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>This is the fourth and final satellite to launch in NOAA's Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite R (GOES-R) series. The launch team confirmed the satellite’s solar array panels have deployed, and GOES-U is operating under its own power.&nbsp;&nbsp; After about two weeks, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaas-goes-u-heads-to-orbit-for-historic-mission">GOES-U will reach orbit more than 22 thousand miles above Earth and will be renamed GOES-19</a>. It will then take about a year to test and confirm instrumentation before shifting to the GOES-East position and replacing GOES-16 over the eastern half of the United States. GOES-16 will remain a backup satellite.&nbsp;&nbsp;Together with GOES-18 over the western U.S., the two satellites will cover half the planet: from the west coast of Africa to New Zealand. They will provide real-time updates of weather and atmospheric conditions in as little as 30 seconds. &nbsp;<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/wtxna3nAk6s" start="0"></iframe></div>Technology onboard GOES-U will gather data for hurricane track and intensity forecasts, early warning of severe storms, fire detection, sea surface conditions and much more. It has the same six instruments as the previous four GOES satellites but one new instrument too. GOES-U is equipped with the first operational compact coronagraph to help detect space weather and aid in early warnings for Earth impacts.&nbsp;&nbsp;<ol><li>Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI): &nbsp;Primary on-board instrument for monitoring Earth's weather, ocean, and environment. &nbsp;</li></ol><ol start="2"><li>Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM):&nbsp;operational lightning mapper to help with lightning detection and intensification of storms &nbsp;</li></ol><ol start="3"><li>X-ray Irradiance Sensors (EXIS):&nbsp;provide imaging of the sun and detection of solar flares&nbsp;</li></ol><ol start="4"><li>Solar Ultraviolet Imager (SUVI)&nbsp;</li></ol><ol start="5"><li>The Space Environment In-Situ Suite (SEISS)&nbsp;&nbsp;</li></ol><ol start="6"><li>Magnetometer&nbsp;</li></ol><ol start="7"><li>Compact Coronograph (NEW): will help detect coronal mass ejections and forecasters at the Space Weather Center with space weather impacts to Earth, it works by creating a total solar eclipse (as viewed by the chronograph) to observe the Sun's outer atmosphere.</li></ol>All Satellites were built for a 10-year operational capability with additional time for “backup” operations, carrying us into the 2030s. NOAA and NASA are already in development of the next satellite series, GeoXO, Geostationary Extended Observations. The GeoXO project will “provide new and improved observations of the atmosphere, weather and ocean to help address emerging environmental issues, respond to the effects of Earth’s changing climate, and improve forecasting and warning of severe weather and hazards” according to NOAA. &nbsp;

GOES-U Weather Satellite Successfully Launches

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Above - The High-Altitude LiDAR Atmospheric Sensing System. Photo Credit: Honeywell<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/rBvAsT28SEc" start="0"></iframe></div>Laser Beams into the sky. Sounds pretty cool, right? Thanks to a partnership between <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/news/242201-weather-forecasting">NOAA and Honeywell</a>, this technology could be a new tool for weather forecasting. &nbsp;Honeywell has developed The <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://aerospace.honeywell.com/us/en/about-us/press-release/2024/04/honeywell-partners-with-the-national-weather-service-to-deploy-new-weather-observation-technology">High-Altitude LiDAR Atmospheric Sensing System, or HALAS</a> for short. This ground-based weather system uses laser pulses to measure wind speed, direction, humidity, and temperature up to 100 thousand feet above Earth’s Surface.&nbsp;&nbsp;According to Honeywell, the system works by staring into the atmosphere, "almost like staring when you look at the stars at night, the further you stare bogs down the more you see, we can gather information for five minutes, and it depends on our sample, our sample duration, but it's about reading to the point of the atmosphere. Now for certain key parameters, we can take a single point or a single shot in the sphere and read those those variables. For wind speed direction, we do need to triangulate that and average that over a period of time. But it comes from anywhere from five minutes up to a sampling up to an hour. What fits the need, and what the unique use cases are."To forecast weather, initial observations are input into the models. The model data output will only be as good as those initial conditions, and sometimes those are hard to come by, especially when considering the upper layers of the atmosphere. It’s the same reason Hurricane Hunters fly into the eye of a storm for data... better observations mean better model forecasts.&nbsp;Right now, the National Weather Service uses weather balloons, launched twice daily from 122 offices across the country. The balloons cost about $250 each and only showcase a limited profile of the atmosphere.&nbsp;That’s where the new technology comes in with the goal to provide more rapid upper-air observations, especially during rapidly changing weather patterns. The project, still in its initial research phase, has a single sensing station in Sterling, VA, used in partnership with the NWS team in Baltimore.&nbsp;Their meteorologist Jordan Gerth says "The weather service is going to continue to collect the observations that we have today as we approach new technology in a colossal way and determine exactly how we're going to integrate that to maximize the warnings and forecasts that we provide to the public." The job at NWS Sterling (Washington D.C.) is to look "at how this particular system and this capability can be integrated into that so that we have the most robust weather observing architecture or observations in this country.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;If the two-year project is successful, expansion of the HALAS system to additional areas of the country will be possible. Honeywell says they are working towards a network of the HALAS systems installed throughout the continental U.S. as well as global partners to run and turn the data into usable insights for models 24/7.

New Technology Uses Lasers to Measure the Atmosphere

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Karissa is the Director of On-Air Operations at WeatherNation. Karissa grew up loving math and science, but really fell in love with Meteorology while attending the College of DuPage in Glen Ellyn, Illinois. After two summers of storm chasing in the central plains, she knew that it was the career path for her. Standing in front of a thunderstorm and feeling the cool outflow knock her over was an experience she will never forget. After two years at COD, she transferred to Metropolitan State University of Denver. Karissa graduated Magna Cum Laude with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology. Her high school and college speech and meteorology professors were extremely supportive and pushed her to succeed. Before joining the WeatherNation team, she previously worked as the Morning Meteorologist at KCAU-TV in Sioux City, Iowa and at WMBD-TV in Peoria, IL. She recently was part of a National Edward R. Murrow award winning team for breaking news for their coverage of the EF-4 tornado in Washington, Illinois. In her free time, Karissa enjoys cooking and trying new foods. She is a self proclaimed 'TV Junkie' who can get into just about any show. She is a die hard Chicago sports fan who loves attending professional sporting events.

Karissa Klos

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El Niño is over. The powerful El Niño/Southern Oscillation (or ENSO) phase that impacted US Weather conditions through the winter and spring has now transitioned. On Thursday June 13, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center reported that we have now entered into ENSO Neutral conditions.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1801238092617335117" src="https://x.com/NWSCPC/status/1801238092617335117"></div>The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an oscillating climate pattern involving changes in the temperature of waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over a large swath of the tropical Pacific Ocean can warm or cool anywhere from 1°C to 3°C from normal. El Niño marks above-average sea surface temperatures, while La Niña marks below-average water temperatures. ENSO Neutral means that SSTs are near normal., meaning we are neither in an El Niño or La Niña phase.ENSO Neutral conditions tend to bring the Polar Jet stream farther south, bringing in cooler air for the northern tier of the country. The southern half of the country generally sees warmer than average temperatures, with a wetter pattern in the southeast. This is most amplified during the fall months, but some influences can be felt into the summer too. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/Screenshot20240613101308png-1718295194050.png">The forecast for ENSO conditions could have major implications going into the heart of hurricane season. NOAA anticipates the development of La Niña conditions this summer, citing <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml">"the persistent below-average subsurface ocean temperatures and changes in the tropical atmospheric circulation."</a>RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/noaa-releases-forecast-for-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season">NOAA Predicts Above Average 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season</a>Before 2023, La Niña conditions contributed to three years of overly active hurricane seasons; starting with the record breaking 2020 Atlantic season. La Niña conditions lead to less wind shear in the Atlantic, allowing tropical systems to develop and strengthen. Into the heart of hurricane season, La Niña is forecast to be in full swing. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/Screenshot 2024-06-13 102809-1718296107099.png">It will likely continue into the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2024-25. Signals/impacts from ENSO are usually more prominent during winter with cooler than average conditions in the northern tier of the country while it is warmer and drier for the southern part of the continental U.S.. A wetter pattern is more likely for the PNW and Midwest. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/la nina-1718316432637.jpg">

El Niño Over, La Niña On Track For Fall

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April and May were historically active months across the central and eastern U.S. for severe weather. There have been 915+ confirmed tornadoes since the start of the year - the fourth most active year to date since 1950 following 2011, 2019, and 2008. In the April-May period alone we have seen over 700 confirmed tornadoes and that number is rising as more tornadoes are confirmed from "report" status to "official tornado" with a ranking. This is the second most active April-May period ever, after 2011.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1798355203655450843" src="https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1798355203655450843"></div>Tornado reports are any public report of a potential tornado or tornado damage, usually reported on the day of a storm. Reports do not directly correlate to tornadoes at a 1:1 ratio - the same tornado can have multiple damage or sightings. The National Weather Service must individually confirm each potential tornado and rank it on the EF scale of EF-0 to EF-5. According to the SPC, "Historically, for every 100 preliminary tornado reports, at least 65 tornadoes are confirmed.".As of June 4, 2024 there are 915+ confirmed tornadoes YTD and the number is rising as additional tornadoes are confirmed. There have been 402 confirmed tornadoes in May, but a total of 560+ tornado reports. Still, even after tornado confirmation and "data cleaning", we are looking at a historically active year.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/confirmed -1717606038335.jpg">The graph below compares tornado reports to an average number of tornadoes year to date. We had a relatively average start to the severe season - in January, February and March our year-to-date tornado reports were sitting at 163 and typically we see around 155 by the end of March. Things really took off in April though with 200 more tornado reports than typical by the year to date. In May, a similar situation with year-to-date tornado reports sitting at 1114 on May 31st, nearly double the average of 606 tornadoes. According to NOAA, "during April, there were 384 preliminary tornado reports. This was more than double the 1991-2020 average of 182.4 tornadoes for the month of April, the second-highest April count on record, and the most tornadoes reported since April 2011."<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/YTD VS 2024-1717604362773.jpg">Some of the more impactful tornadoes included two EF-4 tornadoes in Oklahoma and one<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/storm-threat-pushes-into-midweek"> EF-4 in Greenfield, IA</a>. The first EF-4 to hit Oklahoma was on the evening of April 28th in <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/more-destructive-tornadoes-touch-down-in-oklahoma">Marietta</a>. It was one of 33 tornadoes that occurred that evening. The second occurred on the evening of May 6th ripping a 39-mile path northwest of Tulsa, OK through the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/tornadoes-tore-through-the-plains-monday">town of Barnsdall</a> during a "High Risk" day. The "high risk" is the highest level of severe weather outlook the storm prediction center can issue. They typically occur 1-2x/year and we have had two High-Risk days in 2024 and one in 2023. Every single day in May, there was a level 2 or higher severe weather risk, with most days seeing a level 3 or higher threat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/CALENDAR-1717604362769.jpg">

Report: 2024 one of the Top 5 Most Active for Tornadoes

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Did you know that in even an air temp of 65° the inside of a car can quickly heat to near 100° in just a matter of minutes? It is never a good idea to leave your pet in a hot car and in some states there are laws against it. We all know to "look before you lock" and never to leave a child in a hot car, but it is equally important to raise awareness that we should never leave our furry friends in hot cars either. According to the Humane Society, "High temperatures can cause irreparable organ damage and even death."<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/car temps-1717607176884.jpg">Here are tips from the Humane Society on what to do if you see a pet left in a hot car:<ul><li>Take down the car's make, model and license plate number.</li><li>If there are businesses nearby, notify their managers or security guards and ask them to make an announcement to find the car's owner. Many people are unaware of the danger of leaving pets in hot cars and will quickly return to their vehicle once they are alerted to the situation.</li><li>If the owner can't be found, call the non-emergency number of the local police or animal control and wait by the car for them to arrive. In several states, good Samaritans can legally remove animals from cars under certain circumstances, so be sure to know the laws in your area and follow any steps required.</li></ul>According to a study done by the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.animallaw.info/topic/table-state-laws-protect-animals-left-parked-vehicles">University of Michigan College of Law in 2023</a>, "31 states have&nbsp;laws that either prohibit leaving an animal confined vehicle under dangerous conditions or provide civil immunity (protection from being sued) for a person who rescues a distressed&nbsp;animal from a vehicle." Many states REQUIRE you to have already attempted to locate the owner or reach out to law enforcement BEFORE attempting to save the animal or only protect law enforcement officers. 20 states prohibit leaving a pet in a hot car AND offer immunity to the rescuer, but again, the rescuer doesn't mean anyone, in some states it can ONLY be a law enforcement officer or veterinarian. Depending on the state the consequence for leaving a pet in a hot car can range from a fine to a felony Those states are (in orange on map below):<ul><li>Arizona</li><li>California</li><li>Colorado</li><li>Delaware</li><li>Illinois</li><li>Maine</li><li>Maryland</li><li>Massachusetts</li><li>Minnesota</li><li>Nevada</li><li>New Jersey</li><li>New York</li><li>North Carolina</li><li>North Dakota</li><li>Rhode Island</li><li>South Dakota </li><li>Vermont</li><li>West Virginia</li></ul>11 states have laws that offer immunity for the rescuer of the animal - again check with your specific state on who qualifies as a "rescuer" and at what point (pre-post 911 call or attempt to locate an owner). They are (in yellow on the map below): <ul><li>Connecticut</li><li>Florida</li><li>Indiana</li><li>Kansas</li><li>Louisiana</li><li>Ohio</li><li>Oregon</li><li>Pennsylvania</li><li>Tennesse</li><li>Virginia</li><li>Wisconsin </li></ul>Check with your local laws before you may find yourself in this situation. And if your state doesn't yet have a law prohibiting leaving pets in parked cars, you can take action by calling local representatives and proposing a change.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/SPECIFIC LAWS-1717610799988.jpg">

States with Laws to Protect Pets in Hot Cars

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Kevin Schneider

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Powerful storms tore through the panhandle of Texas on Sunday. A few of these supercells spun up a few brief tornadoes alongside MASSIVE hailstones over 6" in diameter. The largest recorded hailstone in Texas was a 6.4" stone that fell in Hondo, west of San Antonio, on April 28, 2021. In May a 6" hailstone fell in Johnson City, TX (west of Austin).<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1798407920176259229" src="https://x.com/NWSLubbock/status/1798407920176259229/photo/1"></div><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/Texas Hail sizes Sunday-1717419213840.jpg">Sunday night's 6" hail fell over Caprock Canyons State Park, about an hour and a half drive from Amarillo. Depending on the verification, the National Weather Service office in Lubbock might have a new state record on their hands. The hailstone will need to be inspected and verified before anything official is announced. This is a look at some of the hail that fell back in 2021, when the previous record was made.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/VO_042821_RSC_HONDO, TX_PHOTO OF THE SOFTBALL SIZED HAIL IN TEXAS_TW_REBECCA GILLIAM_BH_042821-1717418900125.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Extreme amounts of instability helped fuel the storms even more as the afternoon progressed. Thunderstorms will feed on this energy and in turn, draw in more air. That air is called the updraft of a storm.When you have a strong enough updraft, you can loft raindrops high enough to freeze - forming hail. If our updraft speed is strong enough (stronger than 80 mph) hail stones will continue to be lifted into the cloud, growing before their weight becomes stronger than the updraft and they fall to the ground.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/Hail updraft requirements-1717418379982.jpg">

Texas: Sunday's 7" Hail Threatens State Record

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Boeing’s Starliner spacecraft approaches the International Space Station on May 20, 2022. Credit: NASABoeing's Starliner Crewest test flight launched successfully this morning at 10:52 AM EST! Two U.S. Astronauts - Butch Wilmore and Sunita Williams are now racing to "catch up" to the ISS where they will dock on Thursday.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1798367584628207823" src="https://x.com/BoeingSpace/status/1798367584628207823?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet"></div>Boeing's Starliner Crewed test flight is launching from Kennedy Space Center in Florida. The Starliner was originally supposed to launch on Monday, May 6th but was delayed due to a mechanical issue. The most recent attempt to launch on June 1 was aborted 4 minutes to launch due to an issue with computers. According to Boeing, "Starliner teams [were] working to resolve a small helium leak detected in the spacecraft’s service module traced to a flange on a single reaction control system thruster. Helium is used in spacecraft thruster systems to allow the thrusters to fire and is not combustible or toxic." This mission is the second of the Boeing-NASA contract which included one uncrewed mission in May 2022, this first test crew mission and six more trips to the ISS.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1787689554905833889" src="https://twitter.com/BoeingSpace/status/1787689554905833889"></div>The launch was then rescheduled for May 10th and then May 17th but crews needed additional time to test the spacecraft and ensure it was safe. The Starliner will launch carrying two astronauts - Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams - to the International Space Station, now set for 4:43 PM ET on Tuesday, May 21st. The Atlas IV rocket and Starliner remain on the launchpad awaiting their next opportunity to launch. According to Boeing, "About 15 minutes after launch, Atlas' Centaur upper stage shuts down, sending Starliner on its way to the International Space Station."So how is the forecasting looking for launch? Skies are clear around Cape Canaveral so the weather won't be a huge interrupter for the launch. For Starliner to launch the weather must have winds below 31 mph, no thunderstorms or lightning in the landing area or waves above 13.1 feet. Right now, none of that is in the forecast.

Starliner Spacecraft Launched Successfully Wednesday Morning

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ABOVE - glow from the Kilauea volcano visible from Mauna Kea, HI. Photo Credit: USGSUpdate Monday Night from the USGS: "The eruption that began southwest of&nbsp;Kīlauea’s summit at approximately 12:30 a.m. HST this morning, June 3, has paused. However, activity in this region remains dynamic and could change quickly. HVO continues to closely monitor Kīlauea and will issue additional notices as needed."<hr>The alert level for Hawaii's Kilauea volcano has been raised Monday morning as a new eruption started at 12:30 AM HST (5:30 AM EST) on Monday morning. According to the United States Geological Society (USGS), the eruption occurred "likely about a mile (1-2 km) south of Kīlauea caldera and north of the Koa'e fault system and Hilina Pali Road, within Hawai'i Volcanoes National Park." This is occurring on the "Big Island" or the Island of Hawai'i. Right now there is no threat to the public as the eruption is contained within the National Park.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1797719909012566060" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1797719909012566060"></div>There are <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.usgs.gov/programs/VHP/volcanic-alert-levels-characterize-conditions-us-volcanoes">two types of volcano alerts</a> issued by the USGS, a color scale for aviation impacts and ground-based hazards that range from normal activity to warnings. This morning we were raised from a WATCH to a WARNING for the ground-based hazards meaning "Hazardous eruption is imminent, underway, or suspected" according to the USGS. For the aviation color code which spans from green (no threat) to red (threat underway), the level was upgraded from Orange to Red on Monday morning too.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/USGS__Volcano_Hazards_Program-1717425085871.png">Right now the eruption glow of lava flow is visible by webcam. According to the USGS, "the most recent eruption in this region was during December 1974, which lasted only about 6 hours." The USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) agency will monitor Kilauea for activity and update the alert levels accordingly.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1797645392655323353" src="https://x.com/USGSVolcanoes/status/1797645392655323353"></div>The Hawai'i Volcanoes National Park remains open to the public with some areas closed due to volcanic and seismic activity. Most have been less than a 4.0 in magnitude but the seismic activity is an indication of movement at lower layers of Earth's crust.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/06/earthwauke-1717426629972.jpg">Stay with WeatherNation as we monitor volcanic activity in Hawaii!

Volcanic Alert Levels Raised in Hawaii: Kilauea Eruption Monday

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Giant hail fell on May 30, 2024 in the Denver metro area stretching from the I-25/I-470 interchange down through I-70 and impacting the Denver International Airport. This is likely to have caused over a billion dollars worth of damage in the Denver metro area with insurance claims on homes and cars still being filed. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/Screenshot20240531065734png-1717160271952.png">Baseball-sized hail was reported in Commerce City, CO, a suburb on the north side of Denver. Numerous hail reports over 2" in diameter were clocked across the region. Large hail is common in Colorado due to the elevation and access to colder air in the atmosphere. Larger hailstones are common over the Front Range. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/Screenshot 2024-05-31 065745-1717160299107.png">WeatherNation is headquartered in the Denver area and our meteorologists were subject to the giant hail too. Meteorologist Jackie Brown's car was damaged in the storm.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1796430380754714899" src="https://x.com/jackiebrownwx/status/1796430380754714899"></div>A few storms developed along the highest terrain just west of Denver before moving southeast after dark. The southernmost storm cell was responsible for giant hail reports from I-25 through the I-70 corridor, hitting much of the northern and eastern suburbs of the Mile High City <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-31 06-58-37-1717160350123.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Denver Rocked by Baseball Sized Hail Thursday

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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Smoke from large wildfires burning in the northwestern U.S. and western Canada has been getting caught in the jet stream and pushed into the U.S. Plains. Thick smoke from numerous wildfires in NW Canada is also contributing to the poor air quality region-wide.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 104850-1722012547055.png">As mentioned above, smoke is riding around our area of high pressure on the West Coast projecting smoke particles into the central U.S. An area of low pressure arriving from the Northwest will shift the flow in the coming days and should help with some of the worst of the air quality. If you are sensitive to air quality, spend time inside with windows closed. If you have to go outside and are coughing from the smoke, you can wear a particulate filtering mask, like an N-95 to help mitigate the impact.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 184410-1722041060218.png"><h2>Northwest</h2>Numerous large fires are burning in Oregon, producing large amounts of smoke. They include:<ul><li>The Durkee Fire (eastern Oregon): moderate fire behavior is expected. Some containment has occurred, but the fire has now burned over 288k acres. A burn ban is in effect for all of Malheur County.</li><li>The Cow Valley Fire: the fire is now almost completely contained.</li><li>Falls Fire (13m north of Burns, OR): continues to burn with extremely unfavorable weather conditions for firefighters.</li><li>Lone Rock Fire (north-central Oregon): increased smokiness from other fires has suppressed the extreme fire conditions.</li><li>Battle Mountain Complex: consists of three fires, the North Fork Owens, the Snake Fire, and the Monkey Creek Fire near Ukiah, Oregon, and is 140+ acres</li></ul><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 130752-1722020896143.png">Fire danger remains extremely high this week with thunderstorms in the area expected to produce lightning which could start new fires across the area. We will see strong winds fuel flames - on Wednesday there was a 100+ mph wind gust in Missoula, MT. Fire danger remains elevated as<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/triple-digit-temps-on-the-west-coast-for-the-fourth"> </a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/triple-digit-temps-contine-out-west">extreme heat continues along the west coast. </a>Please avoid any outdoor burning or anything that will cause a spark. Hot and dry conditions mean water and moisture evaporate more quickly from trees, grasses, and shrubs, allowing them to burn faster.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 184621-1722041190170.png"><h2>Southwest Fires</h2><ul><li>Park Fire: (near Chico, CA): Now California's biggest fire so far this season, blowing up to 164k acres will little containment. See the related article <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/man-arrested-after-pushing-fiery-car-into-gully-to-start-park-fire#google_vignette">here</a>.</li><li>2024 SQF Lightning Complex (Tulare County, CA): this consists of the lightning storms that ignited the Trout and Long Fire on the Sequoia National Forest.</li><li>Shelly Fire (northern California): little to no growth is anticipated as fuels continue to smolder. Drivers in the area should remain alert for fire personnel.</li><li>Silver King Fire (central Utah): slightly drier and warmer air will result in minimal fire behavior and limited fire spread.</li><li>Lake Fire (Santa Barbara County, CA): nearly fully contained after starting July 5th and forcing evacuations in the county. Grew to over 38k acres</li><li>Sandhurst Fire (near SLC, UT): Started July 20th, and grew so rapidly that it prompted officers to go door to door to remind residents about their evacuation zones.</li></ul>

Wildfire Smoke Impacting Air Quality Across the West, Central U.S.

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Summer of 1993, New England Dragway. That's when and where Steve knew he wanted to become a meteorologist. More than 20 years later he is extremely fortunate and blessed to be able to live his childhood dream. As a lover of math and science, Steve had a consistent interest in weather in elementary, middle, and high school before discovering you can major in meteorology. He attended Lyndon State College in Vermont where he received a bachelor's in meteorology-broadcasting and associate's in television news. He has worked as a meteorologist and reporter in Winchester, VA, Burlington, VT, and most recently in West Palm Beach, FL. He's recognized by the American Meteorological Society with the Certification of Broadcast Meteorologists.

Steven Glazier

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Wild developments have surfaced from the state of California this week after local authorities arrested a man believed to be tied to the Park Fire. The fire began Wednesday, July 24 and within a day, had grown to more than 124,000 acres with little containment. Now, the fire is burning more than 178,000 acres. The fire is burning across Butte and Tehama County, north of Chico. According to the Butte County District Attorney, a 42-year-old man was arrested early Thursday morning by arson investigators for allegedly pushing a car that was on fire into a gully, spreading flames that caused the Park Fire. Here is the full press release.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Butte County Press Release-1721946423056.jpeg">The fire quickly grew after being ignited. About 6 hours after its initiation, around sunset Wednesday, the size of the fire was estimated at around 6,000 acres. The following morning, at dawn on Thursday, the estimated size was around 45,000 acres. By Thursday afternoon, about 24 hours after the fire started, the size ballooned up to more than 70,000 acres. The fire continued to grow overnight. The map below shows how much the fire activity has grown. Note: The tiny, circular orange area was Wednesday's burn scar, the larger mustard-colored area was from Thursday, and Friday's growth is highlighted in yellow.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 123933-1722019193215.png">The fire has been growing north, burning land across the mountains of the northern Sierra Nevada Range. The weather in this region has been warm and dry, with afternoon temperatures in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees. Winds have been steady from the south, blowing to the north, around 10-15 miles per hour. Relative humidity level has ranged from 10-25 percent. All of these numbers point to weather conditions that are conducive to fire growth.Unfortunately, the fire weather conditions appear prime for further wildfire growth because of the continued warmth, dryness, and wind across the steep and mountainous terrain. This fire will likely continue spreading and pouring smoke to the north-northeast across northern California, northwest Nevada, and into Oregon and Idaho.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/07-26_nat hrrr smoke 18z-1722041318031.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The wildfire season is cranking up across the West, with many new wildfires in the past few weeks. We're entering the hottest time of the year in this part of the country, which could continue drying vegetation and making it conducive for fire starts. Prevent future fires by obeying burn bans, avoiding anything that sparks, and properly disposing of anything lit on fire. We'll update you on this developing story.

Man Arrested After "Pushing Fiery Car Into Gully" to Start Park Fire

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The Southern United States has exhausted its list of descriptions for the wet weather. It's raining heavily, with terms like "it's raining cats and dogs," "it's a gully washer," and "it's a toad strangler" being used. Whatever the phrase, it's been consistently wet across the Deep South and Southeast. The cause? Typically, it's due to a slow-moving boundary known as a stationary front.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/07-26_Rsc_18z-1722041582337.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The image above shows that stationary front, depicted by the alternating blue and red colors. By definition, a stationary front is a boundary separating weather air masses that are moving less than five miles per hour. Because of its slow movement, additional showers and thunderstorms can be expected across the South and Southeast U.S. through this weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 185153-1722041598651.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 185324-1722041617443.png">Some good news is coming to this region, in the form of some drier times. This stubborn front will begin to move just a little bit more through tonight and this weekend, allowing some towns and cities to get drier weather. However, another few inches of rain will be on its way to sections of the Gulf Coast and Southeast beaches.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Baron 2-1722030442873.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Relentless Rainfall Continues for the South

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Conditions are quiet in the tropical Atlantic, in part thanks to plumes of Saharan Dust. Each year, the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) moves off the west coast of Africa following east-to-west trade winds, most common in June, July, and early August.&nbsp;While responsible for creating smoke-like haze across the mid and high levels of the atmosphere, the SAL is also helpful in suppressing tropical development. Dry air mixes into the middle and higher levels of the atmosphere, preventing or substantially reducing the ability for tropical storms and/or hurricanes to develop. The Hurricane Hunters were out flying into the dust to collect valuable data to help answer the question of "Why?"<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1815861951047819415" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1815861951047819415"></div>Thicker plumes of dust can impact visibility and will continue to do so over the southern U.S. this week as multiple plumes of dust arrive from the tropical Atlantic into Texas, Louisiana, and Florida. Because dust is suspended so high in our atmosphere, impacts on air quality will be extremely limited. The biggest noticeable impact will be the haze, mostly at night! Sunrises and sunsets will have a slightly different look, with a slightly reddish hue.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Baron 2-1722050110126.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>It is typical to have a quiet month during July with the most likely areas of formation and tropical development in the Gulf and along the East Coast. However, towards the end of July and early August, there are indications of potential tropical development in the Caribbean. This is still quite a way away, but keep your eye out for the potential of storm development in the next few weeks. However, there is a tropical wave in the Central Atlantic that has a low chance of development in the next few days and you can read about it <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/tropical-storm-bud-forms-over-the-eastern-pacific">here.</a><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 104455-1722012310124.png">Ocean temperatures contribute to the threat of an above-average tropical season with ocean heat content much above normal in the Atlantic in 2024. There are some cooler surface temperatures in the western Gulf following Hurricane Beryl, which caused "upwelling" and brought cooler ocean water to the surface. The most above-average conditions are off the coast of New England, roughly 5° above average. It only takes one storm to impact you and the time to prepare is before the storm hits!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/sst-1721904761809.png">The NOAA forecast is aligned with that of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/atlantic-hurricane-season-2024-expected-to-be-well-above-average">Colorado State University</a> which also calls for a well above average season.&nbsp;The official list of names only has 21 total and the higher end of NOAA's forecast calls for up to 25 storms. If forecasts pan out, there is an alternate list to supplement. The last time additional names were needed was during the record-setting 2020 season when La Niña conditions were also present.&nbsp;Below is the list of hurricane names we will go through first before we head into the alternative names list.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/forecasts-1720811702374.jpg">This year is expected to be above average thanks to warm sea surface temperatures and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/la-nina-likely-to-return-for-hurricane-season">La Niña conditions returning just in time for the peak of Hurricane season</a>. La Niña is categorized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, typically resulting in less wind shear over the Atlantic and Caribbean oceans. Less wind shear means hurricanes can thrive, rather than be torn apart by strong upper-level winds. In the Eastern Pacific, a La Niña Pattern typically spells below-average activity,<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-below-normal-2024-central-pacific-hurricane-season"> which is what NOAA is predicting in 2024.</a>

Saharan Dust Reaching the Southern U.S.

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Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

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A stagnant ridge of high pressure has led to weeks of endless heat across the southwestern U.S. The ridge of high pressure responsible for the extreme heat has been sitting over the West Coast since the beginning of July, shifting back and forth from the Four Corners to the Desert Southwest. If you are looking for relief, the long-range pattern doesn't support much as the large ridge of high pressure moves eastward! Much of the United States will see warmer temperatures as move into August!<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 083814-1722004897883.png">California/Southwest</h1>Heat alerts remain in effect through tonight, with desert areas expecting highs above 115° possible, as we are in our fourth week of extreme temperatures. The rest of the southwest will see a brief break in the extreme heat, before warming again next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 125832-1722020342661.png">High temperatures have been above average in Las Vegas nearly every day this month, and just about half of those days, record-breaking. The city saw its all-time record high on July 7th, hitting 120 degrees. The previous all-time record high was 117 degrees, matching 3 more times that week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 090607-1722006510418.png">As the ridge of high pressure mentioned above warbles around, highs will remain above average but gradually cool through the weekend along the immediate West Coast. Monsoonal moisture in the 4 Corners will alleviate the extremely hot temperatures for Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 130005-1722020421166.png"><h1>Midwest and Northern Plains</h1>Thursday was pretty toasty across parts of Montana and the Dakotas with the record heat. Friday's cold front is helping to knock temperatures down some. However, longer-range forecasts show the heatwave increasing across the Central and Southern Plains starting next week! <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 130153-1722020535615.png"> The persistent ridging will build back north driving temperatures in the Central and Southern Plains to record-setting levels. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/1-1721963337145.png">

Non-Stop Heat Into Next Week

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Tropical Storm Bud formed in the Eastern Pacific Ocean on Wednesday afternoon and has since become a post-tropical cyclone. This was the second named tropical storm of the season in the Eastern Pacific. The storm is expected to remain over open waters and is NO threat to land. Storm strength will deteriorate over the next few days before Bud becomes a remnant low-pressure system. The Eastern Pacific Hurricane season has two distinct peaks, one in August and another in mid-September, coinciding with the Atlantic tropical season peak of activity. This year is expected to be at or below average in the eastern Pacific basin because of La Nina conditions, which spell more activity over the Atlantic but less activity over the Eastern Pacific because shear (turning of wind with height) tears apart hurricane structure. Still, it only takes one storm to impact you on the West Coast, so please stay aware.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/e pac-1721855375318.jpg">Atlantic</h2>The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring a tropical wave in the Atlantic Basin that has a 20% chance of tropical formation in the next 7 days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-26 122112-1722018899369.png">One of the limiting factors of this wave is the fact that some Saharan Dust may bring impacts and help weaken the potential for tropical development.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/07-26_saharan ust-1722018954254.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Tropics: Post-Tropical Cyclone Bud, Wave in the Atlantic

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Typhoon Gaemi (Kemi) is impacting Tawain this week with torrential rainfall leading to widespread flooding and strong winds. According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, "Typhoon Gaemi made landfall along the northern coast of Taiwan on [July 24th], after completing a rather wild counter-clockwise loop along the east coast of Taiwan during the preceding 12 hours."<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1816146458191749152" src="https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1816146458191749152"></div>While the loop of the storm is unusual, it is not unheard of, it has happened in the past in 1960 with Typhoon Shirley, Mary in 1965, Sarah in 1989, and most recently with Typhoon Sinlaku in 2008. This is research from scientists<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/146/5/mwr-d-17-0208.1.xml"> Hsu and team in (2018).</a> This can happen when "the environmental flow is distorted or impeded by the Taiwan topography, thereby modifying the TC structure" according to the study. Below is a figure from the research highlighting the center tracks that have rotated around before, like Gaemi.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/GTRc8t9agAA4TlN-1721856886757.png">The storm will continue to move to the west through the next few days, bringing heavy rain to mainland China as it continues to weaken. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts Tropical Cyclones across the Indian and Western Pacific Oceans and was established in 1959 and manned by Navy and Air Force personnel to alert the Department of Defense to potential tsunami threats across the globe.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/2024-07-24 15-15-29-1721855848815.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Where you are in the world determines what your tropical names are; typhoons are another name for hurricanes and occur in the far western Pacific Ocean.<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/s2oA3SvCex0" start="0"></iframe></div>

Typhoon Gaemi Displays Unusual Spin Over Taiwan

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Rounds of heavy rain have been creating scattered flooding issues in Louisiana, Texas, and Mississippi over the last few days, thanks to a stalled frontal system. Some locations in Texas and Louisiana have been upgraded to a moderate risk of flash flooding (level 3 of 4) by the Weather Prediction Center(below) on Thursday!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/1-1721877695212.png">Many places in the South Central U.S. have already piled up over 6-7" of rain within a day. Remember to never drive through flooded waters! <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/tx rain reports-1721834239264.png">The low-pressure system that's relatively stagnant, increases rain chances across the states of Texas, Louisiana, and the Lower Mississippi Valley. Increased Gulf flow will bring heavy downpours to the Gulf Coast as this front dissipates.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Baron 2-1721877778458.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Thunderstorm activity is expected to peak each afternoon and evening through Thursday. A few strong storms are possible, but flooding looks to be the bigger impact. Rainfall totals over the week ahead are likely to top 3-6 inches for a large portion of Texas and Louisiana, mostly south of I-20. Isolated totals over 8 inches are possible where multiple rounds of thunderstorms form. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-24 122632-1721845603159.jpg">The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has outlined portions of the South with the potential for flash flooding through the start of the weekend. The soils are saturated after Hurricane Beryl dropped heavy rain in eastern Texas. From Galveston, to Houston, and up through Shreveport, flooding will be at a heightened threat since the ground can't act like a sponge as well as it normally does.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/accum-1721731074440.png">

Flash Flooding Ongoing in Texas and Louisiana

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Stormy afternoons remain in the forecast across the Four Corners and Desert Southwest, which is typical during the height of monsoon season. Moisture rotating around the monsoonal high will usher in flood potential and a few strong storms. A slight risk (level 2 out of 5) is in place on Wednesday for portions of Arizona.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-24 212413-1721877889177.png">For the rest of the evening and the next few afternoons, you can expect scattered thunderstorms to pop up across parts of the Southwest! Rain chances will begin to increase in areas of New Mexico and the rest of the 4 Corners. The biggest threats will be gusty winds and heavy rain!<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Baron 2-1721878069392.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Weather Prediction Center has issued excessive rainfall outlooks over the next 5 days. These outlooks are issued when model data suggests rainfall will exceed flash flooding guidance; the outlooks are rated on a scale of 1 to 4 (marginal to high). Even rainfall amounts as low as an inch can come down fast enough to lead to flooding.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/07-24_rsw eros-1721845827621.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Arizona Expecting Severe Storms Today

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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A hydrothermal explosion occurred Tuesday morning, July 23rd in Yellowstone National Park near Sapphire Pool in Biscuit Basin. The Sapphire Pool is located just north of Old Faithful. The boardwalk was damaged, but thankfully, there have been no reports of injuries. Biscuit Basin in Yellowstone National Park is temporarily closed due to the explosion. Photos from the National Park Service show debris and damage to the walkway.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1815835206739202445" src="https://x.com/YellowstoneNPS/status/1815835206739202445"></div>The <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.usgs.gov/observatories/yvo/news/hydrothermal-explosions-yellowstone-national-park">United States Geological Survey</a>, USGS, states, "Hydrothermal explosions are violent and dramatic events resulting in the rapid ejection of boiling water, steam, mud, and rock fragments." They are relatively common in Yellowstone and more common than volcanic eruptions!<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1815852305184428296" src="https://x.com/USGSVolcanoes/status/1815852305184428296"></div>A similar incident occurred on April 15th, 2024 at the Norris Geyser Basin. According to NPS, "No other monitoring data show changes in the Yellowstone region. Today’s explosion does not reflect a change in the volcanic system, which remains at normal background levels of activity." Additional monitoring of activity and reopening potential will continue to be monitored.

Hydrothermal Explosion at Yellowstone National Park

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A stalled front will keep the next several days soggy across the South. A stretch of torrential downpours led to some new daily rainfall records, in places like Florence, SC which picked up more than 2 inches of rain Monday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/carolina rain reports-1721739800172.jpg">The past few days have varied the intensity of the storms, with some storms carrying flooding rain alongside strong, gusty winds. While severe weather isn't expected to be widespread, a few windy storms will be possible in the next few afternoons.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-23 205245-1721789600570.png">Keep in mind that any thunderstorm can pose severe hazards, such as dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning, heavy rainfall, flash flooding, and damaging wind gusts. It's never a bad idea to be prepared for the threat of strong storms.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/07-23_rse_fcst 12z-1721779786031.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>As this frontal system remains stalled, more scattered storms and showers will continue for the next several days. Some locations will pick up 3-5 inches of rain, on top of what they might have already received.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/wpc qpf 1-5-1721739906285.jpg">Make sure to tune into WeatherNation for more details as the rain falls!

Heavy Rain, Gusty Winds Expected in the Southeast

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The National Weather Service (NWS) in Chicago, Illinois confirmed two additional tornadoes from Monday's derecho event. The office made the announcement Friday, also stating that the 24 tornadoes is the most confirmed tornadoes in a single day for their forecast area of northern Illinois. The previous record was 22 tornadoes on June 30, 2014 and more recently on March 31, 2023.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-19 160849-1721427224759.png">Nationwide, the tornado count for 2024 has already surpassed the yearly average. It's only late-July and the mainland U.S. has already had about 1,400 tornadoes. The average number of tornadoes in any given (entire) year is around 1,350.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-19 160857-1721427324810.png">By far, the busiest month was May. During that month, 571 tornadoes hit the country. It came after a busy April, too. Putting April and May together, there were about 950 tornadoes! April, May, and June is statistically the busiest time for tornadoes in the United States.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-19 160909-1721427399351.png">From now through the end of the year, we average an additional 250-300 tornadoes. If you're ever caught in a tornado warning, a basement or underground room is the safest place to ride out the storm. If you can't access a basement, the lowest and most-interior section of a well-built, sturdy structure is safest.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-19 160957-1721427482183.png">As far as it goes for Sunday July 21, 2024 we will have some scattered thunderstorms across the Rocky Mountains, Southern Plains, and the Southeast U.S. Some of these may be severe, especially in states such as New Mexico, Texas, and the Carolinas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-19 160938-1721427543306.png">

24 Tornadoes Confirmed in Chicago-Land, Most in Single Day

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An upper-level low diving through the Plains sparked gusty thunderstorms on Saturday, producing 60-70 mph gusts across Colorado, Wyoming, and Texas. The severe weather risk will continue across the southwestern Plains through Saturday night.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/1-1721531005771.png">Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will continue through Saturday night, all moving to the south-southeast across Wyoming, Nebraska, Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico, and Texas. Some storms may persist overnight especially across the urban corridor of Colorado.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Baron 2-1721531151450.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The rain and cold front moving south will help to bring cooler air for the weekend. Enjoy the relief from the heat!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-20 163604-1721514971716.png">

60 MPH Gusts Blast the Great Plains, Storms Continue

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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Tornado-warned storms drove through portions of New York State and Pennsylvania on Monday and Tuesday causing damage to homes in the area. Very large hail up to 3" in diameter was reported in cities like Victor, New York on Monday evening. Farmington, New York at one point was under a tornado warning (outside of Rochester). The storm that caused the damage in Rome, pictured below, was rated an EF-2 with estimated max winds up to 135 mph.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1813322062028525760" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1813322062028525760"></div><h2>Through Tonight</h2>The Storm Prediction Center has issued a marginal and slight risk through tonight for portions of the east. Cities in the slight risk (level 2 out of 5) include New York and Philadelphia. Strong gusty winds will be the primary concern as a frontal boundary continues to move through this evening. Any storms that develop tonight will have the potential to be strong to severe. Storms will see a weakening trend through the overnight hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/THROUGH TONIGHTR EAST-1721265660377.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Baron 2-1721272368017.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The stormy weather will subside on Thursday as drier and cooler air works its way into the region. It won't feel fall-like, but the record heat and high humidity will ease. Extremely hot temperatures and high humidity fueled Wednesday's storms, but the good news is the heat finally drops behind the cold front for Thursday and folks will see some relief. Buffalo, NY will be below average Thursday and Friday with temps in the 70s. New York City will see highs in the low 80s.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/temps hellp-1721264848180.png">

EF-2 Tornado Confirmed in Rome, NY - More Across Atlantic Seaboard

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On the final day of (what was once) Hurricane Beryl, tornadoes and flooding ravaged parts of the Northeast as remnant moisture and energy pushed its way through the region. It came about two weeks after Beryl first formed in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-11 160406-1720735741832.png">Northern Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, and New York (state) received a widespread 2-4" rain accumulation, with some towns receiving up to 7". For the hilly terrain of northern New England, this was a huge deal because it led to flash flooding and washed out roads.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-11 160413-1720735828481.png">Showers and embedded thunderstorms were moving from the west-southwest to the east-northeast over the same area. These showers and storms were associated with the remnants of Beryl, once a category 5 hurricane in the Caribbean. Even though Beryl dissipated, it brought spin in the atmosphere and copious amounts of moisture and helped enable this severe weather outbreak.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1811467995627073941" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1811467995627073941"></div>Rivers in this region rose rapidly, some reaching moderate and major flood stage. The water had nowhere to go, except into the low levels of homes and businesses. Before the flooding occurred in northern New England late Wednesday into Thursday, tornadoes were ripping across New York state.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/Screenshot 2024-07-11 160427-1720735937217.png">The National Weather Service (NWS) in Buffalo, NY says it issued 18 tornado warnings on Wednesday, July 10. According to their records, this is the highest number of tornado warnings NWS Buffalo has issued in a single year, let alone it happening in just one day! Out of these 18 warnings, at least 7 tornadoes have been reported as of this writing.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/07/1-1720747961870.png">This goes to show that while tropical systems weaken and dissipate, we can never underestimate its remnants until the weather system has completely cleared a region. Inland threats usually include tornadoes and flooding after we watch hurricanes move onshore, even multiple days after they move onshore too.

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