Kit grew up in the Piedmont of North Carolina outside of Charlotte, spending most of his childhood in Belmont, an old mill town on the Catawba River now grown into a bustling suburb. He had a passion for mathematics and science through grade school, having ambitions to become an architect, engineer, theoretical/astrophysicist, or geologist, but eventually choosing to pursue Meteorology. He went to the University of North Carolina at Charlotte to obtain his degree, taking all electives on atmospheric sensing, tropical, and mesoscale meteorology for a full, in-depth understanding of the atmosphere (though he maintains on every hike, he should have taken more geology classes!) He interned at WCNC in Charlotte, learning the craft of presenting off-script and how to tell a weather story. After Graduation, he worked in the Quad Cities at WHBF-TV and KLJB-TV, the CBS/Fox affiliates. From there, he moved to Grand Island, Nebraska at KSNB-TV, the NBC affiliate for Central Nebraska. The active winters and severe seasons kept him busy, experiencing a wide range of wild weather. He remembers the most impactful event in March of 2019, when a massive snowmelt, heavy rain, and blizzard all struck the state in 36 hours. Kit later moved to the Denver area taking a job as a Producer with WeatherNation. He was brought on as a full-time on-air meteorologist in June of 2022 and can now be seen with the rest of the team on WeatherNation! You can follow him on Facebook and Twitter @KitCwx.

Kit Thomas

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ABOVE: Super Typhoon Mawar on the (local) morning of Wednesday (Tuesday evening US time) closing in on Guam. The storm underwent an Eyewall Replacement Cycle, closing off the previously well-defined eye. Typhoon Mawar in the western Pacific Ocean is impacting the U.S. territory of Guam and the Mariana Islands. On Saturday, was the equivalent of a tropical storm, and now is a Category-4 equivalent storm with sustained winds of 138mph. For Typhoons, they are not ranked on the Saffir-Simpson scale, which is what we use for Atlantic and East Pacific hurricanes. Remember, the category of the storm only speaks to wind strength and not the additional threats the storm may bring. Impacts were already being felt ahead of landfall in terms of damaging winds and heavy rainfall.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1661069482373296129" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1661069482373296129"></div>After undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle, Mawar is not expected to reach Category-5-equivalent before passing Guam. Winds will still be incredibly strong and wreak havoc across the island.A Typhoon WARNING has been issued for Guam and a tropical storm warning for the Mariana Islands. Storm surge could be up to 30 feet which is absolute devastation for the island. We would refer to this system as a hurricane here in the United States. However in the Western Pacific, these are referred to as Typhoons. It's the same thing. Because this is in the Northern Hemisphere, the typhoon swirls in the same direction as our hurricanes, counter-clockwise. Mawar will weaken slightly as it moves over Guam, but is still anticipated to reach winds upwards of 160mph later this week in the Philippine Sea.Impacts from Typhoon Mawar will be major, including damaging wind, storm surge, and flooding rainfall. You can get more information from the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/gum/">National Weather Service located in Guam here.</a>

Mawar to Hit Guam as a Super Typhoon

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<h1>Top 5 Costliest Storms</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG_050823_TRT 4.00_TOP 5 COSTLIEST HURRICANES IN US HISTORY_ALANA CAMERON_NJ-1683662646798.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>#5 Sandy: In late October 2012 sandy made landfall as a post-tropical cyclone near Atlantis city, New Jersey. Similar to a category one hurricane, Sandy packed winds of 80 mph as it pushed ashore. The storm damaged over 650 thousand homes and left millions without power.&nbsp;Sandy’s storm surge flooded portions of New York city’s subway system, leaving several routes out of service for weeks. Adjusting cost to 2022 levels, the storm ranks as the fourth costliest in us history causing nearly 84 billion dollars ($83.9B) in damage.&nbsp;&nbsp;#4 Maria: As the strongest storm to strike Puerto Rico in nearly a century maria made landfall on the islands southern cost in September of 2017 with sustained wind speeds of 155 mph. Maria’s fierce winds, damaged structures island wide including an estimated 80 percent of all utility poles. The destruction left majority of residents without power or cell service for months after the storm.&nbsp;With nearly 109 billion dollars ($108.9B) in damage, maria is not only the costliest hurricane in both Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, but the fourth costliest in us history.&nbsp;&nbsp;#3 Ian: Ian became a hurricane in the Atlantic basin on September 23, 2022, undergoing rapid intensification and strengthening to a major hurricane before making its first landfall in western Cuba as a category 2 hurricane, knocking out power for the entire island.&nbsp;Ian strengthened to a low-end category 5 hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall as a Category 4 Hurricane on the island of Caya Costa near Fort Myers, Florida with winds of 150 mph and its second us landfall near Punta Gorda with 140 mph winds. Ian brought catastrophic storm surge of 10-15 feet and battering waves that washed homes off their foundations as Ian tore through Florida.&nbsp;Ian exited Florida's east coast, restrengthened over the Atlantic to a category 1, and made another us landfall near Georgetown county, South Carolina. Sadly, 150 people lost their lives as a result of hurricane Ian. In total, Ian is estimated to cost nearly 113 billion dollars in damage.&nbsp;#2 Harvey: Hurricane Harvey struck the Texas Gulf Coast in August of 2017 as a powerful category four storm. Harvey’s strong winds and record setting rainfall changed south Texas forever.&nbsp;&nbsp;Over 60 inches of rain fell, making Harvey the wettest tropical system in united states history. Houston and surrounding areas were flooded for days as drenching rains continued well after landfall. The storm cost an estimated 151 billion dollars in damage making it the second costliest hurricane.&nbsp;&nbsp;#1 Katrina: As one of the most infamous hurricanes in history, Katrina's storm surge and powerful winds overwhelmed southern Louisiana and the central gulf coast region in august 2005.&nbsp;Katrina peaked in intensity as a monster category 5 storm with sustained winds of 175 mph. A category 3 at landfall, Katrina ushered in historic storm surge flooding and torrential rainfall. Over 1.2 million people were under evacuation orders, a testament to Katrina's size and strength.&nbsp;Katrina ended up taking many lives and causing 190 billion dollars in damage. The costliest hurricane in united states history.&nbsp;<h1>2022 Season Recap</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG_042623_TRT 03.32_2022 HURRICANE SEASON RECAP_ROB BRADLEY_MR_E042623-1683061450239.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Unlike the two previous super active seasons, from a number standpoint, the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season was relatively average, with 14 named storms, eight hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. But it ended up being the 6th most costly Atlantic hurricane and on record.After starting on June 1, the season saw its first name storm with the formation of Tropical Storm Alex on June 5. It was the first time since 2014 the first storm of the season actually formed. After the season had officially begun. As it crossed Florida, Alex dropped torrential rains, causing flash flooding and doing around $100,000 in damages in the state.Next up, tropical Storm Bonnie formed in the southern Caribbean Sea on July 1 and made landfall shortly thereafter near the Costa Rica Nicaragua border. Bonnie survived crossing over into the Pacific Basin The next day, becoming the first storm to do so since Hurricane Otto in 2016. In an unforecasted surprise, on July 1,a low pressure system near Savannah, Georgia suddenly organized into Tropical Storm Colin, a nonconsequential system that dissipated on the second day inland over northeastern South Carolina.Then for almost two months, the Atlantic Basin was quiet. It was the first time since 1997 there were no new tropical storms in the month of August. It was the first time since 1997 there were no tropical storms in the month of August. Then on September 1, the basin reawakened with the formation of Tropical Storm Danielle over the Central Atlantic. When Danielle intensified into a hurricane the next day, it became the latest first hurricane of the season since 2013.Tropical Depression Nine formed the Caribbean Sea and Tropical Depression Ten formed the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. Since Tropical Depression Ten Attained tropical storm strength before TD Nine, it became Tropical Storm Hermine.After Tropical Depression Nine became Hurricane Ian, it grew into one of the most destructive storms of the season, making landfall in western Cuba As a high end category 3 hurricane. Then Ian slammed southwestern Florida as a high end category four hurricane. And finally, after leaving Florida, Ian hit South Carolina as a CAT1.Subtropical Storm Nicole formed on November 7, the next day, Nicole transitioned into a tropical cyclone. And on November 9, Nicole made landfall as a tropical storm at Marsh Harbor, Great Abaco Island, Bahamas with sustained winds of 70 mph. Only hours later, the storm strengthened to a CAT 1 hurricane while making landfall on Grand Bahama with sustained winds of 75 mph. On the 10th, Nicole made landfall in North Hutchinson Island, Florida with 75 miles per hour sustained winds. Despite being relatively weak, Nicole's huge size produced widespread heavy rainfall and a giant wind field across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas and Florida. Several days of strong onshore winds and the east coast of several days of strong onshore winds on the east coast of Florida created severe beach erosion, in many cases finishing the destructive job that hurricane Ian had started. In fact, Ian and Fiona were such impactful storms their names were retired by the World Meteorological Organization in March of 2023.

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: Ian Now the 3rd Costliest in U.S. History

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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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We are a little under two months away from the start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season on June 1st, and even closer to the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season on May 15th. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, FL is responsible for issuing outlooks, alerts and discussions on areas of interest in the tropics along with storms that develop in both ocean basins. This year, there are some changes to the products that NHC issues, to help more clearly communicate threats and allow appropriate preparation timelines for storms.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_041223_TRT 1.44_NHC CHANGES FOR 2023 HURRICANE SEASON_KARA JAMES_NC_E042123-1682522519023.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Change 1: Storm Surge</h2>The "Peak Storm Surge" graphics have been experimental in the last few seasons, but as of 2023 they will be fully operational. This will not change how WeatherNation brings you storm surge forecasts, we have implemented the "new" storm surge graphics in our past two seasons. Storm surge outlooks are issued 4x daily, at 5a, 11a, 5p and 11p EDT. Additionally, the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/surge/inundation/">potential storm surge flooding map</a> will now be available for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. According to NHC, these maps "takes into account: Flooding due to storm surge from the ocean, including adjoining tidal rivers, sounds, and bays, Normal astronomical tides, Land elevation, Uncertainties in the track, landfall location, intensity, forward speed, and size of the cyclone".<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/surge exampke-1680893426829.JPG"><h2>Change 2: Tropical Development Outlooks &amp; Invests</h2>Tropical storm outlooks have previously been issued for 2 and 5 day periods by the National Hurricane Center. They highlight areas of Low, Medium and High probability of development using "x"s and hatched regions in yellow, orange and red. In the 2023 season NHC will still issue 2 day outlooks but instead of 5 days will transition to 7 day outlooks. The additional lead time will be helpful for people to prepare ahead of a potential storm. Additionally, if a storm is labeled "Invest" as in an area that the NHC will be watching for potential development, those statistics and observations will be available on NHC's homepage. The National Hurricane Center begins issuing Tropical Cyclone Outlooks in both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific on May 15, or sooner if required.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/tropical example-1680893185143.JPG"><h2>Change 3: Reducing Redundancy in Communication</h2>Previously, tropical watches &amp; warnings were published in multiple text advisories from the NHC and lead to communication failures and the potential for errors. This year, "NHC will remove land-based tropical cyclone watches and warnings from the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory (TCM). Currently, a list of tropical cyclone watches and warnings are provided in both the TCM text product and the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory (TCP) issued by NHC." This means watches/warnings will ONLY be seen in the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory or TCPs.<h2>Change 4: Tropical Cyclone Error Track</h2>Each year NHC uses analysis to determine how accurate their forecasts were from the actual path of the storm's center and work to correct the uncertainty. The "cone of uncertainty" is the official forecast of the storm's center (the line) and then the potential margin of error in the forecast based on historical accuracy. The forecast "cone" accounts ONLY for the center of the storm, and not for the potential impacts away from the center of the storm. This year there are no major changes to the Atlantic Basin forecast cone, but for the E. Pacific "it will be similar in size to the 2022 cone through 60 h, and slightly smaller at days 3 through 5."Stay with WeatherNation for the latest in the Hurricane Season - our Hurricane Prepardness Week begins May 15.

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: Changes Coming to the Forecast in 2023

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Cone and Spaghetti ... no not the food, the hurricane tools we use to communicate where a storm may go! Otherwise known as the "forecast cone of uncertainty" and "spaghetti models". Both are important tools to help determine where a storm may go and communicate uncertainty in the forecast.<h2>Spaghetti Plots</h2>Spaghetti models are used when the storm is an "Invest" or area of focus and could develop tropical characteristics. Each individual line in a Spaghetti model plot represents a model and where that model projects the CENTER of the storm will go. Usually we see outliers or lines that are way outside of where the cluster of models may be. Spaghetti models are useful early on in the forecasting procedure!<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/LL_071420_TRT 1.14_EXPLAINING SPAGHETTIE MODELS_STEVE GLAZIER_ JSV_E071420-1682543383278.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Cone of Uncertainty</h2>The Forecast Cone is an official product from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and communicates where THE CENTER of the storm could go over the next 120 hours (6 days). The cone gets wider further out in time, signifying uncertainty in the track. It is so important to remember that the cone accounts for the center of the storm, and impacts can, and will be felt outside of the cone. It is also common for the cone to shift and adjust which is why you need to know your risk and prepare ahead of time.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_072022_TRT 0.55_UNDERSTANDING THE FORECAST CONE UPDATED_STEVE G_MR_E072022-1682543400066.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: The Tools We Use

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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It's hard to believe it's been a decade since Moore, Oklahoma took a direct hit from a mile-wide monster tornado that killed 24 and injured hundreds. The violent storm forever changed the lives of thousands and caused billions in damage during the 40 minute span it was on the ground. As of the publication of this article, it is the most recent EF-5 tornado to occur in the United States. <div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/mNYO5n3aQp4" start="0"></iframe></div>The line of intense supercells that produced multiple tornadoes on May 20th, 2013.The tornado formed near the leading edge of a cold front and dry-line as a strong trough of low pressure moved into the northern Great Plains. A region of intense low-level winds (low level jet) helped increase cyclonic wind shear as a short wave ejected from the Rocky Mountains. Temperatures and dew points surged ahead of the frontal boundary, leading to an incredibly unstable airmass. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/newcastle-moore-ref-1684600485402.gif">A line of supercells formed by the early afternoon, with storms quickly becoming supercells with violent mid-level rotation. A tornado warning was issued for the cell around 2:40 pm, with the tornado first touching down around 2:55 pm.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/ktlx-moore-loop-1684600634065.gif">The tornado expanded to over a mile wide at one point, with maximum winds estimated at over 210 mph as it tore through the towns of Newcastle and Moore, Oklahoma. It was one of 15 confirmed tornadoes that day, but it was the only tornado to cause any injuries. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/20130520-ef5-tornado-path-1684600892887.jpg">The damage path through northern Newcastle and Moore shows the intense damage (red) that occurred through highly populated areas. Photos below are from the damage survey conducted by the National Weather Service following the storm. Additional photos and a summary of the event can be found <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weather.gov/oun/events-20130520">here</a>.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PlazaTowersElementary-1684600904926.jpg">Damage at Plaza Towers Elementary in Moore. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/MooreMedicalCenter-1684600914711.jpg">Moore Medical Center.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/BriarwoodElementary-1684600929270.jpg">Remnants of a classroom at Briarwood Elementary.

A Decade Since the Moore EF-5 Tornado

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So what do you really need in your Hurricane Prep Kit? <ol><li>Water Purification Tool<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_022823_TRT 53 sec_JUST ONE THING - HAVE A WATER PURIFICATION TOOL IN YOUR GO-BAG IN CASE YOU NEED TO EVACUATE_DR JIM SIEBERT_EM_E022823-1682524286198.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video></li><li>Toilet Paper<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_032123_TRT 41sec_JUST ONE THING - DO NOT FORGET TOILET PAPER FOR ANY STORM PLAN WHETHER TO EVACUATE OR SHELTER_DR JIM SIEBERT_EM_E032123-1682524696788.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video></li><li>2+ Weeks of Non-Perishable Food<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_022123_TRT 42sec_JUST ONE THING - HAVE 2 WEEKS OR MORE OF NON PERISHABLE FOOD IN YOUR PANTRY_DR JIM SIEBERT_EM_E022123-1682524771707.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video></li><li>Weather Radio</li><li>Game/Activity<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_031423_TRT 0-38_JUST ONE THING - DR JIM SIEBERT SAYS HAVING A GAME FOR THE KIDS DURING SHELTER OR EVACUATION FROM SEVERE WEATHER COULD HELP LIGHTEN THE MOOD_DR JIM SIEBERT_EM_E031423-1682525829064.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video></li><li>2+ Weeks of Medications</li></ol>

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: 6 Things to Have in Your Prep Kit

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This week is WeatherNation's Hurricane Preparedness Week and we are bringing you the latest on the forecast, science behind storms, how to best prepare and stay safe for the upcoming season. Our field correspondents Ben McMillan and Josh Morgerman are on the Gulf Coast this week, looking back at some of the most powerful storms to hit the U.S. in recent years. Each Day they will bring us stories of survival and resiliency from hard hit communities.<h2>Thursday: Panama City &amp; Mexico Beach, Florida (Michael)</h2>Five years later Panama City and Mexico Beach Florida are still rebuilding following monster CAT 5 Hurricane Michael in 2018. Ben McMillan sat down with the city about how their recovery is hitting its stride.<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/5rSIxoY3RZM" start="0"></iframe></div><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/LL1_051823_TRT 2.26_RSE_MEXICO BEACH, FL_BEN'S HURRICANE PREP TOUR INTERVIEW WITH DOUG BABER_WHATSAPP_BEN MCMILLAN_DSC_E051823-1684430644073.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Wednesday: Gulfport &amp; Bay St. Louis (Katrina)</h2>Our Hurricane Tour continues as Josh Morgerman speaks with a couple that survived Hurricane Camille and Katrina's storm surge by cutting a hole in their attic to survive.<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/GPbOJ-3agsY" start="0"></iframe></div>We look back at Gulfport, MS which was hit by Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and how the city recovered from the deadly storm.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/LL_TRT 2.23_051723_RSE_GULFPORT, MS_ BEN TALKS TO A FIRE CHIEF ABOUT WHAT HER EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE KATRINA_WHATSAPP_BEN MCMILLAN_MT_e051723-1684351312422.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Tuesday: Lake Charles, LA (Laura, Delta)</h2>In 2020 and 2021, the state of Louisiana got hit by 4 hurricanes in just over a year. Just 3 years later, Josh Morgerman revisits the city of Lake Charles telling the stories of the Louisiana survivors that just couldn't catch a break.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG_051623_TRT 4.11_JOSH OVERNIGHT PKG_JOSH MORGERMAN_BH_051623-1684283059989.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>In 2020 Lake Charles, LA was struck by two hurricanes that destroyed the city a little under 3 years ago. The city is continuing to rebuild after widespread damage. Ben McMillan spoke with the Public Information Officer about what this city still has to rebuild.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/BEN LL 2_TRT-3.01_051623_RSC_LAKE CHARLES,LA_LOOKING AT PAST,PRESENT&amp; FUTURE OF H-CANE PREP,REMEMBERING H-CANE LAURA_BEN MCMILLAN_DO_E051623-1684263884392.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Monday: Rockport &amp; Port Aransas, Texas (Harvey)</h2>We look back at Hurricane Harvey, the return of the American Hurricane.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG - FIXED LOWER THIRD_051523_TRT 5.11_JOSH OVERNIGHT PKG MONDAY_JOSH MORGERMAN_BH_051523-1684246493209.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Ben sat down with a family who evacuated the morning Harvey hit and their home was destroyed in the storm. Now 6 years later they look back at that time in their lives and their advice to others facing a storm.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/BEN LL2 FOR 520 PM_051523_TRT 3-01_RSC_PORT ARANSAS, TX_BEN SPEAKS WITH LOCAL FAMILY WHO EVACUATED HARVEY AND REBUILT THEIR HOME_WHATSAPP_BEN MCMILLAN_EM_E051523-1684177144832.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hurricane Prep Tour 2023: Learning from the Past, Preparing for the Next Storm

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<h2>Why Are Hurricane Names Retired</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG_050823_TRT 1.39_WHY ARE HURRICANE NAMES RETIRED_DAVE HOLDER_NJ-1683662106150.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Ian ... Katrina ... Harvey – hurricanes that will never be forgotten… and hurricane names that will never be used again.&nbsp;How and why do hurricane names like these get retired?The World Meteorological Organization, an international group of scientists, creates the list of names used to label each tropical storm and hurricane. The names are used in alphabetical order, and range nearly the entire alphabet, A to W. The same lists are recycled every six years unless a name is retired.&nbsp;If a storm is particularly damaging or destructive, the WMO decides if the name should not be used again. Future use of the name would be insensitive to those whose lives were altered by the storm.&nbsp;Most recently in 2022 the WMO retired Hurricane Fiona after it slammed into Puerto Rico bringing widespread flash flooding to the island. The storm then survived all the way to the Canadian Maritimes, as a post tropical cyclone, the costliest for Atlantic Canada.&nbsp;Ian was also retired after it made landfall on Florida’s Gulf Coast in late September, Ian caused widespread flooding and extensive erosion along the Atlantic Coastline. Ian was responsible for 150 deaths and caused over $150 billion dollars in damage, the most expensive hurricane in Florida history and 3rd costliest in U.S. history behind Katrina and Harvey.&nbsp;In the last three seasons 6 hurricane names have been retired. Because of confusion in 2020 season, the Greek alphabet will not longer be used to name hurricanes, instead an alternate list will be used. In all, 96 names have been retired by the World Meteorological Organization.&nbsp;<h2>Do Hurricanes Ever Strike the Same Place Twice?</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG_091622_TRT 1.00_HURRICANE MINUTE_DO HURRICANES EVER STRIKE THE SAME PLACE TWICE_JOSH MORGERMAN-1683662597697.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: Two More Names Retired this Year

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The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has issued their Summer 2023 Outlook for precipitation and temperatures for the months of June, July and August. Before we dive into what the outlooks say, it is important to note that the darker colors indicate a higher level of confidence in above or below average conditions, NOT the degree to which we will be above or below average for the season.<h2>Temperatures</h2>The CPC has high confidence in above average temperatures through the southern Four Corners and West Texas. This darkest color orange covers a 60% chance of above normal temperatures in this region. According to CPC, "The highest probabilities of above normal temperatures (60 to 70 percent) are over parts of the Southwest, Southern Rockies, and western Southern Plains". We see the same potential for above average temperatures (50%) through the entire Eastern Seaboard. Lesser potential for above average temperatures encompass much of the West Coast and Central Plains with likely average temperatures for much of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/seasonal temp-1684418321106.jpg"><h2>Precipitation</h2>The precipitation outlook from the CPC calls for wetter than average conditions through the Ohio Valley and Mid-South with the potential for slightly above average precipitation in the summer months into the Lower Great Lakes region and into the Deep South. There is a large swath of the center of the country that will likely see average precipitation through the three month period. There is confidence in drier than normal conditions in the Desert Southwest and Pacific Northwest this summer.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/precip outlook-1684418476413.jpg">Drought Outlook</h2>In addition to the seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks, the CPC releases a seasonal drought outlook, summarizing where drought conditions may improve, worsen or remain the same. After peaking at drought coverage nationwide in October 2022 of 63%, drought coverage has steadily decreased over the last 6 months nationwide, with the most drastic improvements in the western U.S. thanks to repeated atmospheric river storms. Now, in mid-May, drought covers only 20% of the country.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/current drought-1684419623162.jpg">For the summer season, CPC is forecasting drought persistence in the western U.S. as a result of drier than average conditions expected there. This includes the PNW and northern Rockies. Drought is expected to remain in Great Plains of eastern WY, CO, and Nebraska and Kansas where normal precipitation chances won't be able to reverse drought but improve it slightly. We will likely see Florida's wet season and contribution from the monsoon pattern in the SW remove drought conditions in Nevada and the sunshine state. Drought will persist across West Texas and New Mexico with the potential for drought development in central Texas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/season_drought-1684419479164.png"><h2>Conditions Behind the Outlook</h2>The seasonal outlooks are determined by large scale weather and atmospheric patterns, one of which is the ENSO, or El Niño Southern Oscillation, pattern which is the relationship between ocean and atmospheric temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The last three years we have been in a La Niña season which is characterized by cooler than average ocean temperatures. La Niña seasons typically have active Atlantic Hurricane conditions.The CPC announced earlier this year that we are officially in ENSO neutral conditions with little variance in the ocean and atmospheric temperatures in the E. Pacific. While forecasters anticipate El Niño to develop in the next few months, the neutral conditions are expected to continue through the summer months. When we look at a typical "ENSO Neutral Pattern" the seasonal outlooks above parallel typical ENSO neutral seasons. Typically, the ENSO pattern is most pronounced during the winter months, but we can see the influence year round.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/enso neutral-1684418885020.jpg">Headed into the fall and winter months, there is high confidence from forecasters at the CPC (above 90% confidence) that we will transition to El Niño conditions in the Northern Hemisphere, where sea surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean will be above average. El Niño patterns typically spell wetter than average conditions for the southern U.S., while warmer than average conditions are experienced in the northern and western United States.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/el nino-1684418994787.jpg">Remember, these are just outlooks and are meant to help look at the global weather pattern. Individual weather systems are more impactful for day to day life, so stay with WeatherNation as we continue to keep you updated on the latest weather stories, always streaming 24/7.

Summer Outlook 2023: Warmer than Average in the SW and Wetter than Average in the SE

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<h2>Inland Dangers of Tropical Systems</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_072022_TRT 1.35_INLAND DANGERS OF TROPICAL SYSTEMS_ROB BRADLEY_SS_EM_E072022-1682528626110.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Hazards from tropical systems are not limited to areas along the coast. In some cases, inland impacts can be even more dangerous. While tropical systems begin to weaken once they’re over land, they can still cause catastrophic impacts for hundreds or even thousands of miles. Water is the leading cause of death in tropical systems, and many occur hundreds, if not thousands of miles away from where the storm makes landfall. Take Hurricane Ida in 2021 for example, the storm was a remnant low, but the lingering tropically charged rain produced widespread deadly flooding in the NYC metro. Other inland hazards include widespread damaging winds and tornadoes. According to the Director of the National Weather Service, Ken Graham, <blockquote>"There was wind damage into central portions of Georgia with Hurricane Michael so well inland you could see that tree damage."</blockquote>Tropical tornadoes are usually fast moving, weaker and short lived. But as we found out with Ida in 2021… strong tornadoes can occur and cause damage well away from the center of the storm. These hazards emphasize the need to have a hurricane plan in place and an emergency kit ready. Be prepared for power outages that can last for days or even longer. Remember, every storm will be different and its impacts unique … be ready for the specific hazards that can threaten your community.<h2>Tropical System Hazards</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/UPDATED_PKG_110921_TRT 2.18_TROPICAL SYSTEM HAZARDS_TABAN SHARIFI_MD_MR_E041223-1682528706636.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>It does not matter what type of tropical system threatens your home…the potential hazards are numerous. Since 2017, inland flooding from heavy rain has ranked #1 for storm-related fatalities during hurricane season. Half of those deaths occurred in cars. Heavy rain can lead to flooding from the beach to hundreds of miles inland…and can continue for days… even after the main system has moved out of the area.Storm surge is another potentially deadly water-related hazard … and can lead to complete destruction from inundation to communities along the coast. Powerful, destructive winds can also accompany any storm: Tropical storm force winds can reach speeds of up to 73 miles per hour, and hurricane force winds could top more than 100 miles per hour with some of the stronger storms, creating devastating scenes like this.&nbsp; Just remember -- it’s not the wind itself that can hurt you … it’s what’s in it!Tornadoes can also form anywhere from close to the center of the storm to up to hundreds of miles away in outer rain bands.&nbsp;&nbsp;Even after a storm passes, there still can be deadly impacts. For example, Hurricane Laura in 2020 was blamed for more than two dozen indirect deaths… caused by improper generator use, a stifling heat wave, and clean up related injuries.<h2>Hidden Hazards of Hurricanes</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/UPDATED_PKG_051122_TRT 2.25_HIDDEN HAZARDS 2022_ROB BRADLEY_EK_MR_E041223mp4-1682528896579.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Hurricanes are deadly - there’s no way around it. Whether it’s storm surge, high winds, or inland flooding, hurricanes pose numerous obvious risks to life and property. But there are other hidden hurricane hazards that can threaten your safety. The Director of the National Hurricane Center, Dr. Michael Brennan says not to let your guard down even if a storm is thousands of miles away.<blockquote>“you can be at the beach and it's a beautiful day, but it's dangerous to go in the water and just trying to increase awareness of that. If you see those red flags or warnings, stay out of the ocean, really do that, you don’t want to become a statistic to a hurricane that is a 1,000 miles away”</blockquote>Even if skies are clear, rip currents can still impact your area. Always pay close attention to warnings on the beach. Many of the hidden hazards of hurricanes come after storms have passed. Rivers can still rise for days after a tropical cyclone has left an area, which is exactly what happened in North Carolina after Hurricane Matthew. Roads that were once dry, can become inundated, leaving motorists and pedestrians stranded. Flood waters should be avoided if at all possible. Dangerous debris and washed out roads can be hidden in the water. Plus, the water itself may contain harmful chemicals or could even be electrified by down power lines that are still active. If the power is out, use flashlights and lanterns instead of candles to avoid starting a house fire. If you’re going to use a generator, make sure it’s operating at a safe distance away from windows and doors. According to Dr. Brennan,&nbsp;<blockquote>“A lot of fatalities after the event, indirect deaths, deaths from carbon monoxide poisoning from improper generator use, heat exhaustion, medical issues. So just a reminder to people if they’re asked to leave by the local authorities, its not just for your safety during the storm, it is potentially for your safety after the storm”</blockquote>Speaking of the aftermath, the clean up process can be another hidden hazard. Be sure to check for power lines when trimming trees and use ladders safely. Mold can quickly invade living spaces that were inundated with water. And finally, take care of yourself. Be mindful of the stress you may be putting on your body and mind in the weeks and months that follow a tropical cyclone.

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: Hazards of Hurricanes

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Cyclone Mocha struck Myanmar on May 14 in Sittwe, Myanmar as the equivalent of a CAT 4 hurricane, bringing widespread damaging winds and storm surge. Storm surge was on the order of 10-12 feet! Local news is reported flooded streets and immense wind damage. There are reports of extensive damage and casualties as a result of the storm. <div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1658321375751294977" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1658321375751294977"></div>The CAT 4 struck the area of Cox's Bazar, which is one of the world's largest refugee camps, home to over 1 million refugees in Myanmar. According to the U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), <blockquote>"There is no confirmation yet of damage levels in the northern townships of Maungdaw and Buthidaung where more than half of the shelters are either temporary or semi-permanent, placing households at very high risk in case they were not able to reach evacuation centres."</blockquote>There are failures in the telecommunication systems, leading to the lack of confirmation of casualties and damage extent. Just ahead of landfall the storm contained winds of 175 mph, the equivalent of a CAT 5 storm. It went under a period of rapid intensification on May 14, and is tied for the strongest cyclone on record in the North Indian Ocean basin. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/mocha-1684347338456.png"> Atlantic Hurricane Season is only 13 days away - stay with WeatherNation as we bring you the most up to date forecast.

Cyclone Mocha Hits Myanmar as a CAT 4 Over the Weekend

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<h2>Tropical Terminology:</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_042722_TRT 1.48_UNDERSTANDING ALL OF THE TROPICAL TERMINOLOGY_KARA JAMES_EM_E042722-1682518856044.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>In the Earth's oceans, tropical waves can become potential tropical cyclones, which can eventually develop into tropical storms and hurricanes.&nbsp; They can transition into extratropical cyclones and weaken to remnant lows. So what do all of these tropical titles mean? A TROPICAL WAVE is a loosely organized area of lower pressure and thunderstorms.&nbsp; These originate over Africa and move west across the Atlantic Ocean.&nbsp; Tropical waves often develop into tropical cyclones …TROPICAL CYCLONE is a generic term---used to describe an organized, warm-core low pressure system.&nbsp; Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are examples, each with varying intensity.A POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE describes a disturbance that is not fully formed, but poses a threat of tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land within 48 hours.HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND CYCLONES…These are the same kind of tropical system.&nbsp; The only difference is their name, based on where they form.A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE is exactly what you think:&nbsp; a storm that loses its tropical characteristics.&nbsp;&nbsp;These can also be called REMNANT LOWS, which have calm winds and little-to-no thunderstorm development … Or EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONES. When a storm moves away from the warmer waters of the tropics, its energy source transitions to the contrast of warm and cold air masses.SUB-TROPICAL CYCLCONES have both tropical and extratropical characteristics. Because of their hybrid nature, these storms often form outside of the typical Atlantic hurricane season, including all of the "A" named storms from 2015 through 2019. No matter what type of tropical system is threatening, count on WeatherNation to bring you the latest forecast.&nbsp;<h2>Rapid Intensification:</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/PKG_051223_TRT 2.10_RAPID INTENSIFICATION TROPICAL SYSTEMS WITH STEVE GLAZIER_SS_E0512223-1684157049864.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>By definition, rapid intensification means a tropical cyclone has quickly gained strength, its maximum winds increasing at least 35 miles per hour within 24 hours.&nbsp;In 2021 alone, there were 5. In the record setting 2020 season … 8 storms. Most notably Hurricane Laura and Hurricane Ida both underwent rapid intensification right before slamming into the Louisiana coastline.&nbsp;&nbsp;Hurricane Laura strengthened from a Category 1 to a Category 4 storm with winds at 150 mph in just one day! The strongest hurricanes to have hit the country in the last 100 years have been tropical storms less than 3 days prior stressing the short timelines of preparedness.According to Dr. Phil Klozbach, “Storms that rapidly intensify, the wind threat obviously goes way up, but also the storm surge threat can increase dramatically as well. So when you’re looking in terms of evacuations and people getting prepared for these storms, it’s critical to know, as far in advance as possible, what kind of intensity you’re going to be looking at.”Prediction of rapid intensification has come a long way recently, but still remains a challenge.&nbsp; Large scale computer models struggle to understand small scale storm movements. Computer models struggle to understand small scale changes in storm ingredients and life cycle that come together for major impacts on storm strength.&nbsp;<h2>Bonus: True or False</h2><ol><li>Similar to tornadoes, hurricanes are rated based on damage?&nbsp;</li><li>Hurricanes are around 300 miles wide on average?</li><li>Wind speed is always the same on either side of a hurricane’s eye?</li><li>No hurricane has ever crossed the equator?</li><li>Hurricane season for the Atlantic basin peaks in July?</li></ol><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_090821_TRT 1.37_TROPICAL TRIVIA_LUCY BERGEMANN_RH_CM_E090821-1682520438700.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><ol><li>False, hurricanes use the Saffir Simpson scale which classifies tropical systems based on maximum wind speed.&nbsp;The Saffir Simpson scale does not count for flooding, storm surge, or tornadoes.&nbsp;</li><li>True, however they can be much larger. In 1979 super typhoon Tip had a diameter of 1,380 miles which is nearly half the width of the lower 48.</li><li>False, hurricanes are often very asymmetrical and typically, the right front quadrant has the strongest wind speed.&nbsp;</li><li>True, although many speculate that a strong enough hurricane could pass the equator. There’s no record of it happening.&nbsp;</li><li>False, the most active time for tropical systems in the Atlantic is mid September. </li></ol>

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: Tropical Terminology You Need to Know

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<h2>How Hurricanes Form:</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_051322_TRT 1.10_HOW HURRICANES FORM_JACKIE BROWN_EM_E080322-1682529809138.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>What does a tropical system need to form? There are 3 main ingredients. Warm water, ample moisture and low wind shear.&nbsp;Tropical systems need warm water to form.&nbsp; Sea surface temperatures of at least 79 degrees Fahrenheit are needed for development. Typically, these warm waters are found between the equator and the tropic of cancer.Tropical storms or hurricanes need a continuous up-flow of warm and wet air to create clouds and rain. One factor that can limit the available moisture is dust. Saharan dust that comes off of Africa can dry out a storm causing it to weaken.&nbsp;The last ingredient is low wind shear. Shear refers to the change in wind speed or direction with height. As a storm develops vertically, a low wind shear environments allows the storm to stay intact&nbsp; and&nbsp; strengthen. With high shear, the system becomes tilted and weakens. Under these conditions… a system can intensify and live on…potentially becoming a major destructive hurricane.<h2>What is Saharan Dust &amp; How Does it Impact the Tropics?</h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_062520_TRT 1.46_EXPLAINING THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER IN DETAIL_ROB BRADLEY_BJR_E062520 (1)-1682529958751.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Are Larger Hurricanes Stronger? </h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/PKG_102722_TRT 1-00_HURRICANE MINUTE_ARE LARGER HURRICANES STRONGER_JOSH MORGERMAN_EM_E102722-1682532639484.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: How Hurricanes Form

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After a record breaking hurricane season in 2020, the second most storms in 2021 and a devastating 2022 season with Hurricane Ian, we are gearing up for another season ahead. Hurricane season begins on May 15 for the Eastern Pacific Basin, and on June 1 for the Atlantic basin. WeatherNation will be recognizing "Hurricane Preparedness Week" from May 15-21. We'll help you get your plan together, understand the science behind tropical systems, and much more so you can be prepared this hurricane season. Whether you live on the coastline or inland, it is important to <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ready.gov/hurricanes">know your risks</a> when it comes to tropical systems.&nbsp; Coastal communities are most at risk of destructive winds, dangerous storm surge, and are more likely to have to evacuate. Communities even hundreds of miles away from coastlines are still at risk, with the threat of high winds, flooding rainfall, severe weather &amp; tornadoes, and the longer-lasting threat of flooding and power outages that could occur days or weeks after a storm hits.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/04/tropical names-1681394417433.jpg">The Week Ahead</h2>Throughout this week, WeatherNation will be bringing you information on the science behind storms, tropical terms to get familiar with, historical storms and preparation tips to stay ahead of game. Additionally, our field correspondents <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/about-us/ben-mcmillan">Ben McMillian</a> and <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/about-us/josh-morgerman">Josh Morgerman</a> will be along the Gulf Coast, talking to residents and remembering some of the strongest storms to hit the U.S. in recent history.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/Tropical Tour 1x1-1683662803092.png">Being prepared before hurricane season is key to reacting quickly when a storm threatens your area. Understanding your risks where you live, and knowing how to react can mean the difference between saving your life and property when a storm approaches. WeatherNation will continue to follow any and all systems that threaten the U.S. and Caribbean Islands throughout hurricane season to make sure you stay informed long before a storm strikes<h2>CSU Forecast</h2>Hurricane season forecasts for the 2023 Atlantic basin from <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/news/csu-releases-initial-outlook-for-2021-atlantic-hurricane-season/">Colorado State University</a>. Early predictions expect this year’s hurricane season to be slightly below average. Dr. Phil Klotzbach and the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU are among the first to issue an outlook for the season. This year they anticipate 13 named storms, 6 of which will become hurricanes and 2 of those are expected to become major hurricanes (CAT 3 or greater). In a typical season we see 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/CSU vs avg-1683060210521.jpeg">Reasoning behind the forecast are the ENSO neutral conditions, expected to transition to El Niño this fall. The climatological trend of Atlantic hurricane season to be below average during these years outweighs the impact above average sea surface temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic Ocean can have on a busier season potential. While seasonal outlooks give us some idea of what to expect, there is no way to know for certain just what the season will have in store for YOUR area.&nbsp; Seasonal outlooks cannot forecast exactly when, where, or if storm will strike. Remember, it only takes one to impact your area to become a "bad season".&nbsp; So, it's important to prepare before a storm threatens.Still have questions? Be sure to watch Hurricane Prep Week on WeatherNation, or get in touch with us on <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/">Facebook</a> or <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation">Twitter.</a>

Hurricane Prep Week 2023: May 15-21

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The first storm of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season already happened, according to the National Hurricane Center. A "subtropical storm formed in the Atlantic Basin of the Northeastern U.S. coast in mid-January 2023". This was discovered as part of a re-assessment of weather systems and determined that it had enough sub-tropical characteristics to be worthy of the first tropical system of the year. This system brought strong winds, rough surf, and snow to New England in the days prior to it strengthening farther east over the North Atlantic.According to the National Hurricane Center, a Subtropical Low is defined as: <blockquote>A non-frontal low-pressure system that has characteristics of both tropical and extratropical cyclones. Like tropical cyclones, they are non-frontal, synoptic-scale cyclones that originate over tropical or subtropical waters, and have a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center. </blockquote><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://center.So">W</a>ill the next tropical storm (or sub-tropical system) be named Bret? No! Since the storm was not named at the time, the first storm that reaches tropical or sub-tropical storm status later this year will still be named Arlene, but it will be regarded as the second storm of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane Season.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/05/05-11 Atl Names Q-1683819785730.png"> The last time there was a tropical system in January was in 2016, when Hurricane Alex formed near the Bahamas. That was only the second tropical system in the month of January, making this season's the 3rd. Off season tropical cyclones are rare, but not unheard of. You can read the full <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/PNSNHC/2023/PNSNHC.202305111500.txt">public information statement here</a>. Stay with WeatherNation this hurricane season for the latest.

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