Tropical Depression 19 Approaching Honduras

news image
Top Stories
13 Nov 2024 10:50 AM

There are still big questions about the intensity of this system but the track is something that has been fairly consistent over the past day or so. High pressure looks to set up to its northeast, blocking an escape out to the Atlantic. Where does that put it? Likely somewhere in the Gulf of Mexico, but it's still 6-7 days down the line.

A lot still needs to be ironed out between now and then, and often models struggle with something that doesn't have a closed center of circulation. The Hurricane Hunters have flights scheduled to the Caribbean to help get a better idea of how this disturbance is built.

If this area of interest develops tropical characteristics, it will be named Sara, the next name up on the list.

The 2024 Hurricane Season

According to climatology, less than 3% of the seasonal energy is left for hurricane season now that we're in late October. Seasonal energy is measured by accumulated cyclone energy, also known as ACE. According to NOAA, ACE is essentially a "wind energy index" and based on that, the season can be defined as extremely active, above-average, near-average, and below-normal. With Rafael's recent activity, the seasonal ACE value has jumped into the "Extremely Active" category, the highest value we've seen since 2020.

The forecast for the season called for above-average activity, so that wasn't a surprise. What was a surprise was the number of landfalls so far, especially along the Gulf Coast.

So far, here is a look at the U.S. landfalls for the 2024 hurricane season. However, we still have a month to go...

For more details on the Tropics be sure to join us on WeatherNation for the latest.

All Weather News
More
Strong Fall Front Fires Up Severe Chances This Weekend

Strong Fall Front Fires Up Severe Chances This Weekend

We've been locked in a relatively quiet stret

16 Oct 2025 7:10 PM
Next Wave in the Atlantic to Watch

Next Wave in the Atlantic to Watch

The Atlantic hurricane season has been a rela

16 Oct 2025 7:10 PM
Ridge Riding Thunderstorms in the Western Plains

Ridge Riding Thunderstorms in the Western Plains

A ridge of high pressure has been responsible

16 Oct 2025 7:00 PM
Lingering Snow in the Rockies, Wet Pattern for the NW Continues

Lingering Snow in the Rockies, Wet Pattern for the NW Continues

NORTHWEST - Snow is heading through the Rocki

16 Oct 2025 6:15 PM
Sierra to the Rockies: Flooding Rain & Heavy Snow

Sierra to the Rockies: Flooding Rain & Heavy Snow

As of Wednesday, all evacuation orders have b

15 Oct 2025 1:45 PM
October Nor'easter Wrapping Up For the Atlantic

October Nor'easter Wrapping Up For the Atlantic

A low-pressure system that has tracked up the

14 Oct 2025 1:25 PM
Upgraded North Dakota Tornado Ends EF-5 Drought

Upgraded North Dakota Tornado Ends EF-5 Drought

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks,

12 Oct 2025 7:30 AM