WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<h3>Melissa made landfall on Tuesday, October 28th, around 1:00 PM ET near New Hope, Jamaica, as a Category 5 hurricane, the 3rd strongest Hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin, with a central pressure dropping to 892 mb. Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 185 mph.</h3><h3>Hurricane Melissa made its second landfall in eastern Cuba early Wednesday near the city of Chivirico as a Category 3 storm. It is moving swiftly to the NE, headed for the Bahamas.</h3><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1983556935359369717" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1983556935359369717"></div><h3>KEY MESSAGES:</h3><ul><li>Catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding caused major damage in Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba. Residents urged stay sheltered unless given the go-ahead by local authorities.</li><li>Life-threatening storm surge, flooding and landslides still possible in Cuba</li><li>Southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos brace for hurricane conditions, dangerous storm surge and heavy rainfall. Seek shelter!</li><li>Hurricane Warning issued for Bermuda, with conditions deteriorating on Thursday and Thursday night</li></ul><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1983196616640299223" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1983196616640299223"></div>Hurricane Melissa has now exited Cuba and is moving through the Bahamas as a Category 2 storm.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 122244-1761762186020.png">Melissa continues to pick up speed, but is still expected to cause catastrophic and life-threatening rainfall and mudslides. T<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/281753.shtml?">he latest from NHC forecasts</a> 5-10" of rainfall in the Southeast Bahamas, 1-3" in the Turks and Caicos, an additional 2-4" in Jamaica, and 4-6" in Hispaniola.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 122329-1761762220842.png">Hurricane Melissa is expected to move through the Bahamas as a Category 2. The tightly wound inner structure of Melissa has been broken apart by the terrain of Jamaica and Cuba. This means it will be geographically larger, with its Tropical Storm force winds over a larger area. It will continue northeast with a faster forward speed towards Bermuda as a trough in the southeast U.S. picks it up. Warm sea surface temperatures and limited shear will allow Melissa to stay at Category 2 strength as it approaches Bermuda on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 122415-1761762270043.png">Hurricane warnings (in red) are in effect for Cuba and the Bahamas, with a few tropical storm warnings (in orange) also in effect for portions of Haiti and the Turks and Caicos. All preparations to protect life and property in these areas should be rushed to completion. Hurricane Warnings have also been issued for Bermuda.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-29 093523-1761752132748.png">Tune into WeatherNation for the top weather headlines for more on the tropics.

Administrator

Catastrophic Melissa Makes Landfall in Jamaica, Cuba

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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Monday in Texas brought us record-breaking heat, and Tuesday, more records could fall. This high heat has been fuel for strong thunderstorms Tuesday in the south.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web1-1761745423728.png">So what's causing this active weather aside from hot temperatures? An upper-level trough has been swinging across the country from the north-central U.S. to the Ozarks and into the Middle Atlantic and northeast tomorrow and Thursday. This upper level trough has been accompanied by a surface front. With this trough moving through, the winds behind the system will bring in high winds.Wind alerts have been issued through Wednesday across the central U.S. Gusts up to 50 mph.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web1-1761745560374.png">Here's a look at some of the forecasted wind gusts across the Plains and into the Gulf Coast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-29 09-47-14-1761745665456.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>With strong winds, ongoing drought, and low relative humidity, there is critical fire danger across south Texas on Wednesday. There is also a red flag warning for these regions too. So be sure to avoid outdoor burning on Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 164957-1761693672891.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 164953-1761693678203.png">Check in on this region during :30 past the hours.

Adrian Hernandez

Strong Winds, Temperature Changes, and Severe Storms

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LOS ANGELES - On Tuesday, temperatures in LA rose to record territory with a temperatures of 97 degrees, this beats out the old record for October 28th of 94 in 1931. What's causing this heat? The Santa Ana winds have returned. In addition to LA, Oxnard and Idyllwild also broke record highs on Tuesday afternoon.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 201221-1761703950133.png">Santa Ana Winds</h2>Whenever we have high pressure systems out in the west coast, the possibility of a Santa Ana winds setup becomes likely. The NWS in Los Angeles warns critical fire danger is likely on Wednesday because of low humidity, gusty winds and high heat.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1983224741319065651" src="https://x.com/NWSLosAngeles/status/1983224741319065651"></div><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-28 04-47-51-1761648488737.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> During this phenomenon, winds head westward due to high pressures' clockwise motion. These winds will pass over the dry, desert region of the southwest and head west through the mountain passages in Southern California. During their descent, the air compresses, causing their temperatures to rise.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-28 04-53-29-1761648822406.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web1-1761648886403.png">These winds are expected to bring well above-average temperatures for Southern California. In some spots, we can expect temperatures that are close to 15 degrees above average. This puts several cities in the high 80s in late October!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web2-1761745222117.png">As a result, the National Weather Service has issued multiple heat advisories and red flag warnings across LA county and the surrounding areas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web1-1761649090884.png">This heat will also come with the potential to break some additional records. Some of these forecast temperatures have Long Beach feeling like summer when most people are sharpening their skis to hit the slopes!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web2-1761649222971.png">Stay tuned to WeatherNation where we'll keep tracking these temperatures in Southern Cali throughout this week.

Santa Ana Setup Bringing the Heat into Southern California

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An upper-level trough in the jet stream will be responsible for wet weather across the Plains, Midwest, and Ozarks through Wednesday morning. By Wednesday and into Thursday, this low will move through the Midsouth, into the Mid-Atlantic, and through the Northeast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-29 09-33-27-1761744834379.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Weather Prediction Center has issued excessive rainfall outlooks starting on Wednesday. For portions of the Ohio River Valley, the excessive rainfall outlook is at a level one, MARGINAL, risk for flash flooding as the low moves through.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 200841-1761703735227.png">On Thursday, areas such as New York City will be included in the excessive rainfall outlook. This is also a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 4) risk for flash flooding.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 162956-1761690730125.png">Although this system moves through the Plains first, the heaviest totals are likely to occur as we start to tap into more Gulf and Atlantic moisture. Forecast models bring the heaviest rainfall into portions of Kentucky, West Virginia, Virginia, and North Carolina before moving into portions of New England on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/web1'-1761745033168.png">Be sure to join of live on WeatherNation for more details!

Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

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WEST - A series of atmospheric rivers has been responsible for wet, windy, and snowy weather in the northwestern U.S. This moisture continues to push inland through Wednesday. Winter weather advisories are in place through Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 202120-1761704508982.png">Snowfall and rainfall totals will not be as heavy as they were this past weekend and into the early work week, but some areas should look for impacts as you head out on the roads.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-28 202117-1761704514070.png">Another potential atmospheric river could bring wet weather for our weekend, so be sure to join on WeatherNation for the latest. There are still some uncertainty on this next weekend wave that we need to consider but we do know that it will be moving in on Friday, and bringing with it gusty winds and heavy rain.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 160312-1761602766804.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web 12-1761662438764.png">Be sure to join us at:50 past the hour for more details during your west regional forecast.

Brittany Lockley

Northwest Parade of Systems

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Tracey Anthony

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Slow-moving train thunderstorms produced extreme rainfall across portions of Central Florida on Sunday, triggering a flash-flood emergency in Lake County. The area recorded nearly 18" of rain in under 5 hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155504-1761602110229.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-27 09-47-59-1761573805964.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>A few other spots along Florida's east coast experienced the heavy downpours, even breaking daily records.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web 2-1761573435765.png">A stalled-out front was the culprit of the training showers. Winds were also clocked at up to 60 mph.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-27 09-48-34-1761573835838.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Another round of showers and storms is possible as the cold front associated with this system works through.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web5-1761646352045.png">

Flash Flood Emergency Triggered Sunday in Florida

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Kevin Schneider

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I will never forget the time it snowed in southwest Missouri on Halloween. Going from house to house for as long as we could stand it before piling back in the car because we were so cold. It doesn't snow that early in Springfield, or any other part of the country for that matter this early into Fall. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111421-1761585271271.png">So let's see if Mother Nature is feeling in the mood to traumatize more youth this upcoming weekend. <h1>TROUBLE SPOTS</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111540-1761585429674.png">"Trouble" means a lot of different things for people on Halloween. Trouble, to us, is going to mean rain. Not much worse than spending all of that time and energy into a costume just to get rained on. While you might see some rain icons in the forecast in the northeast, there's a strong possibility we kick the rain out by the afternoon/evening, when it matters. We're more concerned with the Northwest like Seattle, where the rain might be both consistent and heavy at times. Coldest spot might be in the Upper Midwest, but any lingering cloud cover should help keep temps from freezing<h1>PICK OF THE NATION</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111630-1761585733352.png">When. Do we ever. See 3 straight days of a rain-free forecast in SOUTH FLORIDA?? We have to go with Miami for that reason. But if you came up short in this madeup competition, take some solace that most everybody is looking good to go this far in advance, which is a great sign.

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

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We have been talking about the heavy rain impacting the West Coast and even the heavy snow chance in the High Plains, but areas that haven't been seeing precipitation over the past several months will be dealing with an increasing fire weather risk.
<h2>Drought Monitor</h2>
<h2><img class="alignnone wp-image-89823 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Bomb.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /></h2>
Here is the latest drought monitor for the central and southwestern U.S..  You can see extreme to exceptional drought conditions over parts of New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.  These are the same areas that need to be on alert for fire weather Saturday and Sunday.
<h2>Fire Weather Ingredients</h2>
All the ingredients will be there over the weekend for a dangerous fire risk.  I already mentioned the drought conditions, so we know it's very dry in these areas.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89824 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Capture-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

Temperatures will be very warm with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s over parts of New Mexico and Texas.

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The winds will be strong on Sunday as well...and these strong winds help to fuel and spread any fires that develop.

So all the weather conditions needed for a fire weather threat will be there this weekend.  Warm temperatures, low humidity and strong winds.  Be ready for fire weather watches and red flag warnings over a majority of the areas in extreme drought conditions for Saturday and Sunday.
<h2>Extended Outlook</h2>
Looking at the extended forecast into mid-April, there is a chance the fire weather danger will continue in these same areas.  We are expect above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation over this region from April 12th -&gt; April 18th.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89826 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Capture4-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89827 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Capture5.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</a>

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Strong Winds and High Fire Danger for the Southern Plains This Weekend

Drought Monitor

Fire Weather Ingredients

Extended Outlook

Catastrophic Melissa Makes Landfall in Jamaica, Cuba

Melissa made landfall on Tuesday, October 28t

Strong Winds, Temperature Changes, and Severe Storms

Monday in Texas brought us record-breaking he

Santa Ana Setup Bringing the Heat into Southern California

LOS ANGELES - On Tuesday, temperatures in LA

Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

An upper-level trough in the jet stream will

Northwest Parade of Systems

WEST - A series of atmospheric rivers has bee

Flash Flood Emergency Triggered Sunday in Florida

Slow-moving train thunderstorms produced extr

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

I will never forget the time it snowed in sou