Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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After a slow start, tropical activity in the Atlantic is picking up! Erin is now the first hurricane of the Atlantic season as it moves west northwest. On average, the first hurricane in the Atlantic forms on the 11th of August.<h1>Hurricane Erin</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313713715.png">Erin is moving northwestward across the Atlantic and is expected to strengthen to a major hurricane over the weekend as it moves away from drier air and into warmer waters. Erin is projected to come close to the Leeward Islands Friday into Saturday. The Northeast Caribbean is now under Tropical Storm Watches. This is based on the latest forecast track, so if there area any changes to the track we will see more areas added to the alerts.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313787446.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 052704-1755257245132.png"><h2>Steering Factors</h2>Erin is forecast to track westward, then take a curve to the north. The strength of the ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic will determine when Erin takes this turn northward. While the vast majority of models keep Erin off the East Coast, it's still too early to say with complete confidence.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 052712-1755257253231.png">Impacts - Rip Currents / Big Waves</h2>The strongest winds from Erin are likely to miss the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles to the north, but if Erin is a major hurricane it's tropical storm wind field could expand to include areas like Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313819831.png">The certain impact will be increasing wave heights and dangerous currents from the Caribbean this weekend to the U.S. Atlantic Coast next week. Beach goers on the East Coast next week should be very cautious going into the water.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/FORECAST-1755290337029.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/csu-issues-final-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast">CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast</a>Tropical activity in the Atlantic has been off to a slow start the 2025 season. Before Dexter formed, Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) in the Atlantic was less than 15% of normal. Dexter more than doubled this stat, but it's still less than 30% of a typical year, even though we may be ahead of schedule when it comes to named storms. That being said, the bulk of seasonal activity is still ahead of us, with 88% of the annual energy occurring after the first week of August.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-14 054732-1755172059923.png"> Stay with WeatherNation for the latest tropical updates.

Jesse Kelley

Tropics: Hurricane Erin Undergoing Rapid Intensification

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Brittany Lockley

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The heat dome that affected the southwest for a while has moved over to the plains. Low pressure has shifted over the west, and the flow around the high pressure out east is pulling monsoonal moisture into the Four Corners, leading to showers and thunderstorms. Thursday brought some monsoon storms with wind gusts over 72 mph. More storms are expected on Friday and into the weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 101956-1755274807140.png">The best chance for showers and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours. It is possible for a few overnight storms in the Desert Southwest. The main threats from the storms will be some gusty winds and heavy rainfall.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1755313388483.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Over the next seven days, we are forecasting approximately one to two inches of rain in some locations. Some isolated flooding could be possible, especially if heavy rain falls over burn scar areas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313439177.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313475552.png">Tune into WeatherNation TV for more details.

Monsoonal Moisture Returns to the Southwest

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The summer pattern across the Midwest has yet to break, with several more days of ridge riding storms in the forecast! Several troughs moving through Canada will help spur storms across the northern tier of the country as the ride around the ridge of high pressure to the south. This is sometimes known as a "ring of fire" pattern, which can lead to multiple storms moving over the same locations, leading to an increased risk for flooding.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 070637-1755263217206.png"><h2>Severe Weather Outlooks</h2>Scattered severe storms (slight risk) are in the forecast on Friday, with isolated severe storm threats (marginal risks) continuing on Saturday and Sunday in similar areas. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755312872519.png">Risk areas remain similar on Saturday and Sunday, with strong storms possible between Montana and Michigan.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755291978736.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755291998263.png"><h2>Forecast</h2>Storms look to initiate in the afternoons, but also potentially overnight. With the threat for overnight storms, be sure to have multiple ways to receive severe weather alerts that can wake you up so you can quickly go to your shelter/safe place.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1755312967212.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Heavy rain will be an issue with the repeated rounds of severe storms. Through the next few days, rainfall amounts between 3-5" can be found across parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755292086076.png">Elevated flooding potential will start on Friday, persisting in the Upper Mississippi Valley region through the weekend.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1755292298486.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates on the forecast. You can always find your full Central Regional Forecast:30 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Rounds of Storms: Northern Plains to the Great Lakes

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Numerous wildfires continue to burn across the Western United States, including three "Megafires," or fires burning over 100,000 acres: The Lee wildfire, Dragon Bravo wildfire, and Gifford wildfire. In addition to the warm weather and dry fuels, fire spread could be accelerated in the next few days with more dry thunderstorms and gusty conditions.<h1>GIFFORD FIRE</h1>Burning as California's largest wildfire in 2025, the Gifford Fire has torched over 130k acres. The good news has been the containment numbers in recent days. That has increased to 62% as of Friday afternoon.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/VON_081125_RSW_SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, CA_3 OF 3 BEST ONE CLOSE UP VIDEO OF CREWS WORKING THE GIFFORD FIRE_TW_@SBCFIREINFO_MS_E081225-1755015460725.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>LEE FIRE</h1>A large fire erupted on the western slope of the Rockies, named the Lee Fire. It has only been burning for a little over a week, but it has already burned as much acreage as the Gifford Fire, 132,000 acres. Most of the poor air quality has been locked up in western Colorado, fluctuating at times. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 182807-1755304097873.png">The Lee Fire is likely to soon become Colorado's third-largest wildfire in state history, needing fewer than 6k additional acres to top the size of the Pine Gulch Fire, which burned during the historic 2020 season in the Centennial State.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 083821-1755268710453.png"><h1>DRAGON BRAVO FIRE</h1>One of the largest fires in Arizona history, the Dragon Bravo Fire, has continued to smolder along the northern rim of the Grand Canyon. It has burned more than 144k acres, making it the 7th largest in state history.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1953931727044223408" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1953931727044223408"></div><h1></h1><h1>FORECAST</h1>Dry and gusty conditions will still have the potential to lead to rapid rates of fire spread through Saturday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 183117-1755304289428.png">Lightning will still have the potential to spark more fires. Isolated dry thunderstorms are possible into the weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-15 183210-1755304341108.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Several Megafires Burning in the West, More Dry T-Storms Possible

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/t7PjF9VFI2c" start="0"></iframe></div>Title Image Provided By: NOAA/Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has recently certified a new "megaflash" as the longest in the world. The flash, which stretched from Eastern Texas to Kansas City, MO occurred in October 2017 during a mesoscale convective system. The flash covered 515 miles across a notorious stormy hot spot within the United States. A distance that would normally take eight or nine hours to drive, was covered in mere seconds. The new record surpasses the previous from a 2020 thunderstorm across the Southern United States. So how did a lightning strike from 2017 somehow come out the blue to beat the 2020 record? The WMO said this particular flash wasn't identified initially during the 2017 analysis, but was later discovered after re-examination of data.“This new record clearly demonstrates the incredible power of the natural environment. Additionally, WMO assessment of environmental extremes such as this lightning distance record testify to the significant scientific progress in observing, documenting and evaluating such events. It is likely that even greater extremes still exist, and that we will be able to observe them as additional high-quality lightning measurements accumulate over time,” said Professor Randall Cerveny, rapporteur of Weather and Climate Extremes for WMO.You can learn more about other Weather and Climate Extremes through the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://wmo.int/site/world-weather-and-climate-extremes-archive">World Meteorological Organizations Archive. </a>

The 2017 Megaflash: The World's Longest Lightning

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Chris Tomer

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The long-range temperature trend towards the end of August shows higher confidence that temperatures will remain above average. Even this week, temperatures are feeling the summertime heat. But, there's a sharp cold front moving through with a 20 degree temperature drop for parts of the Pacific Northwest.<h1>Relief!</h1>A sharp cold front delivered cooler air to the PNW on Wednesday. That will drop temperatures substantially from the low 90's in Seattle on Tuesday to the 70's. Another reinforcing shot of cooler air moves in this weekend, but that one has some rain chances with it. I think we'll take it give how the first part of the week was shaping up.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 164022-1755124826854.png">Although this front in the Northwest won't bring rain to the region, there will be rain in the forecast later in the week with another incoming system.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08132-1755125133242.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>In the Southwest, we had a few record highs on Wednesday. A small cooldown is anticipated for the rest of the week. Although for the desert areas, a small cooldown drop highs to near normal which is still above 100 degrees.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755142014621.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer sw 3 day highs-1755129927501.jpg"><h2>Northeast</h2>The heat continues (ahead of a cold front) on Wednesday with additional record highs in Maine.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755142092712.png">Temperatures have cooled significantly since Tuesday with some areas 15° cooler compared to the last 24 hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-13 164216-1755124976442.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Coast to Coast Heat With Some Relief & Storms

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Get a blanket and find some dark skies! One of the most prolific meteor showers of the year will peak during the upcoming week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PERSEID-1754872084317.jpg">The Perseid Meteor Shower typically reaches a peak during the second week of August as the Earth moves through the debris field left by Comet Swift-Tuttle, which makes a trip through the solar system once every 133 years, last visiting the inner-solar system in 1992. Debris left by the comet dives through the Earth's atmosphere to create the beautiful meteor shower we expect. 2025 isn't expected to be the best year to see the meteors, unfortunately, as the waning gibbous moon will rise in the evening, washing out any faint meteors that may have been seen under a new moon. Ideal conditions can produce 50-100 meteors per hour, but with the brightness from the moon, expect 20-50 under dark skies away from city lights.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 052401-1754829026071.png"><h2>A Pair of Planets</h2>Another fun astronomical event will be gracing the morning skies through much of this week - the conjunction of Venus and Jupiter!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER PERSIED 2-1754872142561.jpg">These planets will appear to be right next to each other in the morning sky, even through they're still millions of miles apart! They will appear closest together Tuesday morning, with only about 1° of separation between them.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 052347-1754829006824.png">WILL THE WEATHER COOPERATE</h1>Clouds could hinder many in the east Tuesday night. But many will have a decent shot at seeing the skies.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer perseid sat-1755045274886.jpg">

Kevin Schneider

Perseid Meteor Shower Peaks This Week - How to Watch

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Flash flooding continues to hit the Southeast hard - especially Florida. A trough of low pressure is still spinning in parts of the southeast, keeping the rain chances nearby. A stationary storm sat and rained over the same spot, on Sanibel Island, for much of Sunday morning (8/10). That efficient tropical rain added up to over a foot of rain by the time the weekend was done. Florida is normally a tad more resilient to fresh water flooding, but nowhere can handle that much rain. It led to scenes reminiscent of a landfalling tropical system Sunday morning.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/VON_081025_RSE_TREASURE ISLAND, FL_EARLIER SHOT IN THE DAY OF CARS DRIVING THROUGH FLOODING_TW_@TOUTANT2001_DW_E081025-1754918906992.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast</h1>As the upper-level trough with the tropical moisture moves north, rounds of storms are expected, with the heaviest rain possible from Florida out to the coasts of the Carolinas and eventually farther west toward the Panhandle and Mobile.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer se futurecast-1754957972935.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SE QPF 7 DAYS-1754958007499.jpg">The risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will focus on the Gulf Coast Tuesday and Wednesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer se excess rain next 3 days-1754962963902.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Tune into the eastern regional forecast :10 past the hour for more details.

Over a Foot of Rain Falls in Southwest Florida

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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A Marginal threat for strong and severe storms is in place across the plains through Monday night into early Tuesday. The main threat will be strong winds and large hailstones.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer plains svr tonight-1754962734794.jpg">There are a few areas where heavy rainfall could lead to flooding. A Marginal to Slight risk for flooding remains in place through Monday night into early Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest excess rain tonight-1754962791495.jpg">

Strong Storms Across the Plains Monday night

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Almost a foot of rain fell in a short amount of time in southeast Wisconsin. Saturday night into Sunday morning, some areas neighboring Milwaukee saw 5-8 inches of rain, with some localized spots surpassing 9 inches!<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1954656501143920718" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1954656501143920718"></div>That was complicated by another round of rain on Sunday, but thankfully that round was just far enough west to avoid a repeat incident. By the time the rain came to an end on Sunday, some areas were pushing a FOOT of rain. This far north is quite impressive to pick up that much rain - this was the second-most rain Milwaukee picked up over a 2 day stretch. Ever. Not just for the day - that record was obliterated<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 071226-1754918255019.png">All of that rain had to go somewhere, and area creeks swole past records too. The old record on the Milwaukee River was about 10 and a half feet was surpassed early Sunday morning as all of the water ran off.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-11 071242-1754918348970.png">

Historic Flooding Inundates Milwaukee Over the Weekend

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Thursday, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/prediction-remains-on-track-for-above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season">NOAA issued an update</a> to their outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Although their numbers have adjusted down slightly, their predictions continue to foresee an above average season. This comes on the heels of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2025-08.pdf">Colorado State University releasing its final forecast</a> for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday. The forecast team at CSU, led by meteorologist Dr. Phil Klotzbach, kept their predictions the same as July. For August, they are stuck with 16 named storms overall, with eight of those predicted to be hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.&nbsp;It is important to note that both the NOAA and CSU forecasts include the four name storms that have already formed in the Atlantic (Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dexter). Climatologically, around August 10 the rate at which storms form and grow accelerates quickly through the peak of the season around September 11.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1953109057427939468" src="https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/1953109057427939468"></div>The reason why the forecast has not changed much, or has gone down slightly since the April, is the uncertainty across the tropics. While sea surface temperatures in both the Atlantic and Pacific are still warm, and this tends to support storm formation, upper-level winds over the Caribbean have been unusually hostile during June and July. This atmospheric setup typically suppresses hurricane development in the Atlantic basin.&nbsp;<blockquote>“Many of the factors we identified ahead of the season are still at play, and conditions are largely tracking along with our May predictions,” said Matt Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction, part of the National Weather Service.&nbsp;</blockquote>RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/an-area-to-monitor-in-the-atlantic">Atlantic Waking Up, Eastern Pacific Staying Active</a><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 110050-1754499664701.png">The driving factor behind the above-average forecast remains the exceptionally warm waters across the eastern and central Atlantic Basin. Combined with a neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a state that neither strongly inhibits nor enhances storm activity, these conditions could still favor a more active season.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 105940-1754499600405.png">Yet, forecasters are closely watching high levels of wind shear in the Caribbean, a phenomenon involving shifts in wind direction and speed with height. This shear is known to disrupt storm development. &nbsp;CSU also warns that the U.S. coastline faces an above-average risk of at least one major hurricane making landfall this season, a reminder that even in uncertain years, coastal residents should remain vigilant.&nbsp;<blockquote>"No two storms are alike. Every storm presents unique, life-threatening hazards that can impact people in both coastal and inland communities. Have a plan in place, and know the actions you should take before, during and after the wide range of hazards that the hurricane season can bring.”&nbsp;said NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham.</blockquote><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 110039-1754499698410.png">With the arrival of August, the Atlantic hurricane season is entering its most active stretch, which typically peaks around September 10. The pattern is starting to get more active in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Dexter is still making waves (literally) in the Atlantic, and there are two additional areas to watch in the central Atlantic and off the Southeast coast.&nbsp;The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs through November 30, leaving several more months of potential activity ahead.&nbsp;Tune into WeatherNation for the latest Tropical updates.

CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

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Up to 10 inches of rain created flash flooding around Milwaukee between Saturday night and Sunday morning. This was a major event.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER MIDWEST FLOOD REPORTS-1754872277295.jpg">The Milwaukee River crested at Major Flood Stage breaking it's record crest.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER MIDWEST MILWAUKEE RIVER-1754872310500.jpg"><h1>Threat Continues, Shifts to Flooding</h1>The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is expecting additional severe storms today along the front from northern Michigan to Kansas. Damaging winds are the main concern but large hail is possible, too!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest svr tonight-1754878043823.jpg">Scattered storms are expected to continue, flaring up with the most activity through the late afternoon into the evening hours. The overnights could be packed with heavy rain as well as MCS (Meso-scale Convection System) potential lingers in these areas.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest futurecast-1754872412067.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>In addition to the severe threat, a heavy rain and flood risk will continue! Milwaukee recorded over 5 inches of rain on Saturday and there's more rain on the way. A Flood Watch remains in effect through Monday for some areas between Kansas into Wisconsin.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest watches-1754849252952.jpg">Models are showing several areas for rainfall totals over five inches and flooding could occur.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer midwest rain forecast-1754872465890.jpg">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates throughout the next few days on-air and online.

Severe Storms & Flooding Target the Midwest

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Monsoon driven thunderstorms are likely Sunday night and again Monday afternoon across Eastern Colorado, Eastern New Mexico, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Northwest Texas.<h1>Severe Outlooks</h1>The risk through Sunday night includes large hail and a 2% probability of tornadoes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer rockies svr tonight-1754878148536.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer rockies tor risk tonight-1754878196955.jpg"><h1>Monday's Severe Weather Risk</h1>Afternoon thunderstorms develop off the Rockies and slide southeast into Northwest Texas. A marginal risk of severe weather is likely.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer rockies svr risk monday-1754861053256.jpg"><h1>Forecast</h1>Afternoons look active the next few days as storms initiate over the mountains before moving east from the late afternoon through the evening. Storms may persist overnight in the Plains, feeding on warm air and gulf moisture.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08101-1754865315095.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Downpours could be heavy enough to create flash flooding from Arizona to Kansas. Avoid low lying areas if a flash flood warning is issued for your area, or seek higher ground if you're in a flood prone location.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-10 163524-1754865327590.png">

More Storms Along the Front Range

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Another intense night of severe storms ripped through portions of the Upper-Midwest from Thursday night into Friday morning. Multiple bowing segments congealed into a large complex/squall line, which produced wind damage for over 300 miles across the states of Montana, North Dakota, and Minnesota. Thousands of households lost power while several structures have reported damage. Will this be classified as a derecho? According to NWS Grand Forks, Thursday's night storm was not classified as a derecho. Listen why.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/SOT_TRT.34_(audio fixed)EXPLAINING WHY THE STORMS DIDN'T MEET DERECHO CRITERIA_MS_E080825_1-1754708943137.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> Again, NWS Grand Forks believes the factors of not enough higher end wind gusts, the duration of the wind event, and the coverage area was enough not to deem this event as a derecho. However, we can still learn more on what is a derecho! A big severe strength wind storm to say the least, but the Storm Prediction Center has a full definition including multiple criteria that have to be met.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-08 061237-1754655858161.png">It certainly appears this system will meet the spatial requirements for a derecho as damaging wind reports (58+ mph) stretch for over 300 miles.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-08 061159-1754655182565.png">Peak gusts were well over 75 mph, with a gust at Gran Forks Air Force Base measured at 91 mph!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-08 061206-1754655189603.png">This squall line produced several 75+ mph gusts, which appear to be well separated as well. This also appears to meet the requirement for a derecho.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-08 061215-1754655197446.png">While it appears this system has met the basic 3 requirements for a derecho, other criteria (top of the page) have to be met as well. In addition, wind reports and reports of damage will have to be verified as accurate.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-08 061231-1754655205131.png">Derechos most often occur from the late spring through the summer, with a typical drop off in August.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-08 061246-1754655219174.png">

Possible Derecho Hit the Upper-Midwest Friday Morning

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The Eastern and Central Pacific have had an interesting start to the season, with plenty of named storms (11 combined). This is above the average of 7, but the energy generated by these systems is only about 80% of what's typical for this time of year. Long story short, this region has had many systems, but they've been on the weaker side. That trend has continued this week with Henriette and Ivo which could bring minor impacts to nearby landmasses.<h1>Henriette</h1>On Friday, Henriette was downgraded to a remnant low as it continues to struggle in the Pacific. However, it is forecast to miss Hawaii and the strengthen again back to a tropical storm by next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1754708604519.png"><h1>IVO</h1>Ivo is expected to remain a tropical storm as it moves away from Cabo San Lucas and Mexico. It should weaken by early next week to a depression.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1754708710767.png"><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/floater.php?stormid=EP092025"> </a>Now that we have Ivo, up next on the list in the Pacific will be Juliette.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tropical ivvo-1754519175244.png">We're far from the end of the Pacific Hurricane Season, with a secondary peak occurring later in September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-05 104202-1754412196354.png">

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More Storms Along the Front Range

More Storms Along the Front Range

Possible Derecho Hit the Upper-Midwest Friday Morning

Possible Derecho Hit the Upper-Midwest Friday

Henriette & Ivo Spinning in the Pacific

Henriette & Ivo Spinning in the Pacific