Moisture Returns To The Southwest, Some Priscilla Influence Later

Moisture from the Gulf is forecast to ride around a ridge of high pressure into New Mexico and the Front Range.

NEW MEXICO - On Tuesday, the Storm Prediction Center issued a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms across portions of New Mexico, especially in the Gila National Forest. It's a low-end risk due to the more isolated nature of these storms, some of which could bring in some hail.

The timing of these storms looks to fire up during the afternoon hours, but rain will be happening across eastern portions of the state in the morning. As we head into Wednesday, more storms pop up in the peak of afternoon heating as well.

Excessive Rainfall Outlooks have been issued from Tuesday through Thursday in New Mexico for isolated flooding. Some of these areas have had wildfires in past seasons leave burn scars, and without significant regrowth, the risk for mudslides, debris flows, and flash flooding is heightened each time it rains.

Rainfall totals in eastern New Mexico show up to upwards of 2-3", which is a significant amount of rain for this region.

Looking Ahead - Priscilla's Moisture

As we head into the end of the work week, some moisture associated with Hurricane Priscilla may get caught up in the subtropical jet and bring moisture back to the southwestern U.S.

Timing out these rain chances will depend on what happens with Priscilla's potential landfall and interaction with Mexico and the Baja of California's topography. For now, rain chances arrive into the southwest starting on Thursday and really spreading into the Four Corners by Friday.

We'll be detailing this more live on WeatherNation, for a more immediate detail of your southwest regional, be sure to tune in :50!