Outlook Issued by NOAA for the First Three Months of 2019

news image
Special Stories
20 Dec 2018 7:46 AM
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has issued their outlook for January to March 2019, which still indicates patterns of a weak El Nino. Warmer than average temperatures are predicted across the West and Northern Plains. Colder than normal weather is predicted for the Tennessee Valley. From the Southeast to the Southwest, wetter than average weather is in the forecast. In the Ohio Valley and Pacific Northwest, below normal precipitation is predicted. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1075748080547454977 The drought forecast for the start of 2019 continues to show improvement across California and the Rockies. With the drier than normal forecast for the Northwest, drought conditions are likely to develop over that region. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1075750263275864064 The extensively discussed El Nino is underway in the Pacific Ocean, but the atmosphere has yet to respond. Observed sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are warmer than normal as expected, with computer models expecting this to continue. Right now, the overall global pattern resembles neutral conditions. Based on the latest observations and model forecasts, the CPC still indicates a greater than 80 percent chance for El Nino from January to March and 70 percent that it persists through May. [November 2018 sea surface temperature departure from the 1981-2010 average. Graphic by NOAA Climate; data from NOAA’s Environmental Visualization Lab.] For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
West Pattern: Severe Storms + New Winter Alerts for California

West Pattern: Severe Storms + New Winter Alerts for California

The drought conditions have started to increa

11 Apr 2026 2:20 AM
Severe Storms Target the Plains & Midwest This Weekend

Severe Storms Target the Plains & Midwest This Weekend

The peak of spring severe weather season is f

11 Apr 2026 2:10 AM
Severe Storm Threat Continues To Start the Week

Severe Storm Threat Continues To Start the Week

It is April after all. After a week straight

11 Apr 2026 2:05 AM
CSU Releases First Hurricane Forecast for 2026

CSU Releases First Hurricane Forecast for 2026

Spring is in full swing which means it's time

11 Apr 2026 1:30 AM
Artemis II: Splashdown Expected Today

Artemis II: Splashdown Expected Today

Click here to WATCH LIVE with WeatherNation!C

10 Apr 2026 8:45 PM
Severe Weather Reloads Today

Severe Weather Reloads Today

Large hail for Kansas last night! Thursday wa

10 Apr 2026 8:40 PM
Severe Storm Threat Builds Across Plains With Flooding Concerns

Severe Storm Threat Builds Across Plains With Flooding Concerns

A spring storm system is building across the

10 Apr 2026 2:15 AM