Brittany Lockley

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As we near the peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, one question on many minds is why it has been so quiet? About two-thirds of all Atlantic hurricane activity typically occurs between August 20th and October 10th. With only a handful of named storms and only one major hurricane through late August, the sluggish pace stands in stark contrast to what many seasonal forecasts had warned would be an active year. So, what's causing the delay?<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 180634-1756339602479.png">Several key factors are at play in this unusually slow start. First, the Main Development Region (MDR) of the tropical Atlantic, where most storms form during peak season, has been cooler than expected. While still slightly above average, it falls short of the record-breaking warmth seen in 2024. Meanwhile, waters in the subtropical Atlantic are significantly warmer, disrupting the usual energy gradient that helps fuel storm formation.Atmospheric conditions have also been unusually hostile to storms. Persistent wind shear across the Gulf and Caribbean has torn apart developing systems before they can organize. On top of that, the upper atmosphere has remained unusually warm and stable, effectively placing a lid on the kind of deep convection hurricanes need to grow. Add in frequent plumes of dry, dusty air from the Sahara, and the result is a storm-suppressing cocktail that’s kept the basin eerily calm.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 072548-1756301167707.png"><h1>Next Few Weeks</h1>However, do not let your guard down. All it takes is one hurricane to make it a memorable season. The tropics in the Atlantic have a chance to stay active through the first week of September. While a large-scale Kelvin Wave is not likely to spur activity like it has over the last two weeks, additional tropical waves could develop in the Atlantic and the Gulf/Western Caribbean. During this time of year, any development will need to be monitored closely.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121008-1756318217179.png"><h1>Fernand</h1>As of now, Tropical Storm Fernand continues to churn out in the Atlantic as a lopsided storm moving to the northeast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 063344-1756298038041.png">Anyone with European plans might want to monitor Fernand, because it's following in some eerily similar footsteps as Erin. Here's where Erin ended up:<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1960166825234432478" src="https://x.com/CIRA_CSU/status/1960166825234432478"></div><h1>Eastern Pacific</h1>Tropical Storm Juliette is still spinning in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. It is going to make a run at becoming a hurricane over the next day or so, but should remain well enough offshore to stay harmless.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 180705-1756339634243.png">The Eastern Pacific has been pretty active again. THREE other areas of interest, aside from Juliette. None of these looks like they will threaten land, with the most unique being the one passing south of Hawaii. If it forms past the 140 W line, it will officially knock off ANOTHER name from the Central Pacific basin list, Lala.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 180753-1756339681778.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 062903-1756211360503.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Alana Cameron

TROPICS: Fernand Spins Around Atlantic, Four Areas to Watch in the Pacific

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

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SOUTHERN PLAINS - Overnight, there is a risk for flooding across portions of the Southern Plains and Ozarks. The Weather Prediction Center has issued a MODERATE (level 3 out of 4) risk for flash flooding in portions of Kansas and Missouri. Here, rain could accumulate over 4" in some neighborhoods.Moisture will follow this path through the course of the next couple of days. Leading to a flooding risk for some, and for others, a severe potential. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather for portions of the Red River Valley on Thursday, and for the South on Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 175748-1756339133649.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 175752-1756339139903.png">Storms will continue through Thursday across Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and Texas before riding the warm front farther southeast into Friday. By Friday, the focus of thunderstorms will be closer to the Gulf Coast. During afternoon heating, we will have the highest chance for some of these storms turning severe.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27_rsc bams3k-1756339207773.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Rainfall totals may lead to flash flooding for some, so flood alerts have been prompted for Kansas and Missouri. By Friday, the heaviest rain moves into Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 200357-1756346654581.png">For more details, be sure to join us on WeatherNation!

Flood Risk Overnight, Storms Heading South

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Chris Tomer

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Residual moisture from Tropical Storm Juliette hits Southern California, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado between Thursday and Friday. This moisture will mix into existing Monsoon moisture across the region.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW TS JULIETTE SETUP-1756341436180.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Rainfall</h1>Up to 1 inch of rainfall is possible with Juliette's remnant moisture. Cities like San Diego, Las Vegas, St. George, Salt Lake City, and Grand Junction can expect some rain.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW RAIN FORECAST-1756341572817.jpg">Timing</h1>Most of the moisture streams across the Southwest Region between Thursday-Friday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27_rsw juliteet-1756346599551.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Drought</h1>The moisture will help many drought-stricken locations.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW DROUGHT UPDATE-1756341786689.jpg">

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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Conditions in the Northwest have been hot and dry. The Flat Fire began on August 21st near Sisters, OR, and has grown to over 23,000 acres (above).There is a risk for isolated dry thunderstorms (with lightning and wind but very little rainfall) through Thursday across the Northwest. In other words, conditions are still dry at the surface, and with thunderstorms that form, the lightning can spark another fire.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/through thursday-1756332492017.png">Monsoonal moisture will be moving into the region, bringing some areas of relief, but also bringing flooding threats.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 075627-1756303010132.png">Flood Watches are in place through Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 180939-1756339786541.png">A few inches of rain are looking likely, especially across portions of ID, WY, and MT. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 200541-1756346749460.png">The bulk of the rain will slow overnight, although some of it will continue into Thursday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27 rnwe-1756340915813.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>More details can be found during your Western Regional Forecast :50 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

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A strong Summer cold front knifed its way through the Northern Tier and Plains. Overnight lows dropped to record levels once again on Wednesday. More record low temperatures are possible through Thursday. Some of these potential records stretch all the way to the Gulf Coast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121253-1756318398379.png">Across the North Central U.S., temperatures on Thursday morning will mainly be in the 50s.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121334-1756318421539.png">Across the Northeastern U.S., temperatures will mostly be in the low 50s.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121358-1756318445910.png">Another front drops out of Canada later this week. That will keep those temperatures from even THINKING about getting hot.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 163533-1756247737898.png">The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has a higher confidence in forecasting below average temperatures for the first week of September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121426-1756318473083.png">Download the WeatherNation TV app today.

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

More Records Fall Behind Impressive Front

TROPICS: Fernand Spins Around Atlantic, Four Areas to Watch in the Pacific

Flood Risk Overnight, Storms Heading South

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

More Records Fall Behind Impressive Front

TROPICS: Fernand Spins Around Atlantic, Four Areas to Watch in the Pacific

Flood Risk Overnight, Storms Heading South

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

More Records Fall Behind Impressive Front