Kevin Schneider

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<p>A large upper-level low is bringing a few days of severe weather to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states. Storms will continue to gradually strengthen throughout the afternoon, bringing 60 mph winds to the eastern seaboard. </p><h1>OUTLOOK</h1><p>The Storm Prediction Center recently added a Slight risk of severe thunderstorms to include the Wolverine State. Damaging winds will be the biggest concern today and tomorrow. </p><h1>TIMING</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-09 11-20-34-1749489657538.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Storms look to slide east throughout the afternoon. Tomorrow's timing in maybe the more interesting aspect of this forecast. If the front presses offshore for some areas, you can kiss the severe threat goodbye. However, where it doesn't, the door will be open for another afternoon. Best shot at that will be in Virginia and the Carolinas. </p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 111930-1749489581122.png"><br>HEAVY RAIN</h1><p>The other thing to watch out for, especially with multiple rounds of storms, is flooding. A few more inches will be possible, in areas that have seen plenty of rain recently and usually aren't very receptive to a lot anyway. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 112248-1749489779294.png"></p>

Jackie Brown

Severe Weather Threatens Millions in the Northeast

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Tracey Anthony

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<h2>Eastern Pacific Ocean</h2><p>Tropical Storm Barbara formed early Sunday morning. After initially packing winds of 60 mph, Barbara has gained strength and is expected to become a hurricane overnight.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 112421-1749489873100.png">Another tropical storm, Cosme, has formed west of Barbara. Eventually, those two systems will cross paths in the Pacific. What they do when that happens is a bit up in the air. Models this morning are hinting at a Fujiwhara Effect taking place around Tuesday and Wednesday. As two areas of low pressure drift close enough, they'll both rotate around each other.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 112944-1749490194886.png"></p><p>THIS HAPPENED LAST YEAR: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/tropical-formation-likely-along-the-west-coast-of-mexico"><strong>"Fujiwara Effect" Impacted Emilia and Fabio in E. Pacific</strong></a></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-08 11-12-58-1749402808729.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>If you have travel plans around Acapulco or the SW coast of Mexico, flooding, rough surf, and wind impacts are possible. If this happens, the track of the tropical low could become less predictable. While these systems are expected to remain mostly offshore, a slight change could mean a big difference for the coast of Mexico. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-08 212138-1749439307640.png">Barbara will drift off toward the west-northwest over the coming days. It is expected to become a hurricane, with the most recent forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 113026-1749490236018.png"></p><p>The next name for the Eastern Pacific systems after Barbara and Cosme, will be Dalila, which could exist simultaneously.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-08 212214-1749439355922.png">NOAA and Colorado State are expecting an above-average season in the Atlantic Basin. <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/noaa-predicts-above-average-2025-hurricane-season">Click here to read more.</a></p><h2>Atlantic Basin</h2><p>As we look ahead, the Climate Prediction Center is highlighting a region (below) with low confidence in the formation of a tropical system in the western Caribbean or southwestern Gulf, also known as the Bay of Campeche. This doesn't indicate a system is expected, so be sure to stay up to date with the 7-Day forecast from the National Hurricane Center.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-05 173011-1749166218384.png"><br>Better chances for formation around mid-June are expected in the Eastern Pacific, which <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/an-area-to-watch-in-the-pacific-already"><u>already has one name crossed off the list</u></a>.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104826-1748537463299.png">A system in the Gulf or western Atlantic is not unusual in June, which typically has warmer water early in the season compared to the <em>main development region</em> (MDR) in the Atlantic (between the Caribbean and west Africa).</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104849-1748537876634.png">The early season will more often see more tropical storms than hurricanes, but hurricanes can form and impact the United States, so it's <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-prep-week-2025"><u>always best to be prepared</u></a>. Andrea is the first name on the list in the Atlantic in 2025.</p>

Barbara and Cosme Strengthen in the Eastern Pacific

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<p>Over the next few days, the stretch of severe weather will continue. The primary threats are heavy rain leading to flash flooding, strong winds, and the risk of tornadoes that could impact millions. The severe weather has been impacting the Southern Plains all week. An area of high pressure sits across South Texas, increasing the upper-level winds over the southern plains. At the surface, a frontal boundary stretching from the Southern Plains to the Southeast will be persistent over the same regions.</p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>Rounds of thunderstorm complexes will push east across the region, bringing the threat of 60 mph winds. With each round of storms, timing will vary depending on some small-scale factors each day. In general, be ready for severe storms throughout the day, and potentially into Tuesday as well.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-09 07-16-23-1749475012599.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Outlooks</h1><p>For Monday, more severe weather is possible with more complexes moving from the Southern Plains back into the Deep South. The primary threats will be damaging winds and hail. A lower-level threat is expected to push to the coast on Tuesday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/severe threat todayyyy-1749488428717.png"></p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-08 050349-1749380831303.png">Rainfall</h1><p>Heavy rainfall remains a critical concern, with hourly rates surpassing one inch in many areas. This raises the alarm for flash flooding, especially in urban centers and low-lying zones with poor drainage.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 071426-1749474874549.png"></p>

Severe Threat Looms Over the South: Tornadoes, Flooding, and Damaging Winds Expected

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<p>After a busy end to the week, with a powerful line of storms prompting a <strong>MODERATE</strong> risk from the Storm Prediction Center, the weather sticks around. Storms easily reached 70-80 mph with their winds, with a few touching 100 MPH! Thankfully, the next few days shouldn't be nearly as intense...</p><p>Severe Thunderstorm Warnings capable of <strong>80+ mph</strong> winds prompted some emergency managers to sound the sirens Sunday night:</p><p></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/VO_060825_RSC_PLANO, TX_MEH VIDEO BUT BRO BE LIKE, SHOULDNT BE OUTSIDE DURING TOR WARNING, SIRENS GOING OFF_TW_@Andreaz_Intel_CG_060925-1749476734049.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>SETUP</h1><p>While one line of storms have moved out to sea and fizzled, our next threat is already gearing up. On the western periphery of our ragged boundary, unstable air is already starting to build. This will lay the groundwork for another batch of storms.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 074111-1749476482110.png"></p><h1>TIMING</h1><p>Generally, afternoon to evening has been the favored window. However, there's a chance these storms hold together much better than Sunday night's storms did. It could be a rough commute in the morning if that's the case.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/texasss heeeejj-1749493693800.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p><h1>WHAT TO EXPECT</h1><p>The biggest risk looks to be damaging winds again, but large hail will be a factor, too. Look for similar timing to what we have seen, with storms rocketing up in west Texas in the afternoon, posing a hail threat, and moving east into the evening, posing a wind threat.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/wind  annd d -1749488526765.png"></p><p></p><p></p><p></p>

Texas Can't Seem to Shake the Severe Threat

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<p><strong>CANADA - </strong>Massive wildfires continue to burn in the Canadian Prairies, which have lead to evacuations and millions of acres of land, property, and forest burned. These fires are primarily burning in the provinces of Manitoba and Saskatchewan, as well as in Alberta, and a <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://cwfis.cfs.nrcan.gc.ca/report">state of emergency</a> has been declared. According to the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://ciffc.net/"><strong><em>Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre</em></strong></a>, CIFFC, 224 fires are active in Canada.</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-09 071847-1749475136356.png">Smoke Overhead</h1><p>The smoke from these fires has blanketed the United States, prompting air quality alerts across the Upper Midwest and Northeast. The forecast below shows where smoke will be visible overhead and doesn't necessarily indicate where air quality will be impacted.<br>A trough moving through Canada will help to re-establish northerly flow, allowing thick smoke to return to the Midwest and Northeast on Monday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-09 07-20-42-1749475285116.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Near Surface Smoke / Air Quality Impacts</h1><p>This model displays where smoke will be most dense near the ground, highlighting areas where air quality impacts are more likely. Air Quality alerts have been dropped, where they were in place for portions of Minnesota and the Great Lakes.</p><p></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-09 07-21-02-1749475291854.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p> While wildfire smoke is covering portions of the Northeast and Midwest, much of the rest of the country is staying relatively smoke free.</p>

Severe Threat Looms Over the South: Tornadoes, Flooding, and Damaging Winds Expected

Texas Can't Seem to Shake the Severe Threat

More Wildfire Smoke Spills South

Severe Weather Threatens Millions in the Northeast

Barbara and Cosme Strengthen in the Eastern Pacific

Severe Threat Looms Over the South: Tornadoes, Flooding, and Damaging Winds Expected

Texas Can't Seem to Shake the Severe Threat

More Wildfire Smoke Spills South

Severe Weather Threatens Millions in the Northeast

Barbara and Cosme Strengthen in the Eastern Pacific

Severe Threat Looms Over the South: Tornadoes, Flooding, and Damaging Winds Expected

Texas Can't Seem to Shake the Severe Threat

More Wildfire Smoke Spills South