WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<h3>KEY MESSAGES:</h3><ul><li>Catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding with numerous landslides for Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba</li><li>Destructive, devastating winds for Jamaica with the potential to cause structural failure</li><li>Life-threatening storm surge and damaging waves for Jamaica, Cuba, the Southeast Bahamas, and Turks and Caicos</li><li>Hurricane preparations for the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos should be complete by Tuesday night</li></ul>All eyes are on the Caribbean as we are now tracking the 13th named storm of the 2025 season - Melissa. In fact, we've been tracking Melissa and its origins as a tropical wave for more than a week now, and we could be watching it for another week still! Melissa has rapidly intensified into a Category 5 hurricane, with sustained winds of 175 mph, a pressure of 906 mb, and is&nbsp;slowly moving northwest at 3 mph.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155016-1761601823745.png">Melissa will hardly move, bringing catastrophic and life-threatening rainfall and mudslides to Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Over a couple of feet of rain is possible for Hispaniola (Haiti &amp; the DR) and Jamaica.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155059-1761601875373.png">Melissa's lack of movement is due to its position between two ridges of high pressure in the mid-levels, while in the upper-levels is keeping Melissa in the Caribbean for now before picking up some steam next week. The National Hurricane Center has relayed some intense key messages for Hurricane Melissa, warning of life-threatening and catastrophic flash flooding and landslides in Jamaica and southern Hispaniola through mid-week.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1982866317859573969" src="https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1982866317859573969"></div>The latest forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center shows little forward movement over the next few days. Slow westward motion is expected through Monday morning, before turning north and northeast on Monday and Tuesday. Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica on Tuesday, across southeastern Cuba Tuesday night, and across the southeastern Bahamas on Wednesday, according to the NHC.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155236-1761601964920.png">Hurricane warnings (in red) have been issued for Cuba, Jamaica, and the Bahamas, with a few tropical storm warnings also in effect for portions of Haiti, Cuba, and the Turks and Caicos. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of these conditions. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155300-1761602031929.png">Sea surface temperatures remain warm across the Caribbean, providing ample fuel if the wave can find a pocket of lower shear and increased moisture.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-23 060209-1761220940859.png">As many of our recently back-loaded tropical seasons have reminded us, October is not the month to let your guard down.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-15 103336-1760546429287.png">Tune into WeatherNation for the top weather headlines for more on the tropics.

Alana Cameron

CAT 5 Melissa Closing in on Jamaica, Catastrophic Flooding Likely

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Tracey Anthony

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Slow-moving train thunderstorms produced extreme rainfall across portions of Central Florida on Sunday, triggering a flash-flood emergency in Lake County. The area recorded nearly 18" of rain in under 5 hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155504-1761602110229.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-27 09-47-59-1761573805964.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>A few other spots along Florida's east coast experienced the heavy downpours, even breaking daily records.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Web 2-1761573435765.png">A stalled-out front was the culprit of the training showers. Winds were also clocked at up to 60 mph.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-10-27 09-48-34-1761573835838.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Another round of showers and storms is possible as the cold front associated with this system works through. The Storm Prediction Center has kept a MARGINAL level 1 out of 5 risk for severe storms through tonight.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155440-1761602145008.png">

Flash Flood Emergency Triggered Sunday in Florida

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

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As our first low-pressure system bringing rain to the northeast exits, another area of low pressure will trek across the country, bringing in winds, cooler air, and rainfall.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/10-26 set-up-1761520578479.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>There are already excessive rainfall outlooks for portions of the Mid-South and the Northeast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155814-1761602300489.png">Although this system moves through the Plains first, the heaviest totals are likely to occur as we start to tap into more Gulf and Atlantic moisture. Forecast models bring the heaviest rainfall into portions of Kentucky, West Virginia, Virginia, and North Carolina before moving into portions of New England on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 155809-1761602305611.png">Be sure to join of live on WeatherNation for more details!

Next Round of Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

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Kevin Schneider

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I will never forget the time it snowed in southwest Missouri on Halloween. Going from house to house for as long as we could stand it before piling back in the car because we were so cold. It doesn't snow that early in Springfield, or any other part of the country for that matter this early into Fall. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111421-1761585271271.png">So let's see if Mother Nature is feeling in the mood to traumatize more youth this upcoming weekend. <h1>TROUBLE SPOTS</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111540-1761585429674.png">"Trouble" means a lot of different things for people on Halloween. Trouble, to us, is going to mean rain. Not much worse than spending all of that time and energy into a costume just to get rained on. While you might see some rain icons in the forecast in the northeast, there's a strong possibility we kick the rain out by the afternoon/evening, when it matters. We're more concerned with the Northwest like Seattle, where the rain might be both consistent and heavy at times. Coldest spot might be in the Upper Midwest, but any lingering cloud cover should help keep temps from freezing<h1>PICK OF THE NATION</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-27 111630-1761585733352.png">When. Do we ever. See 3 straight days of a rain-free forecast in SOUTH FLORIDA?? We have to go with Miami for that reason. But if you came up short in this madeup competition, take some solace that most everybody is looking good to go this far in advance, which is a great sign.

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

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GAUTIER, MS - Earlier Sunday morning, tornado warnings swept through the Gulf Coast, and this person was caught in the debris of the tornado in Mississippi. The severe threat continues through tonight across the Gulf Coast as this frontal boundary keeps moving through.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1982498399602786785" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1982498399602786785"></div>According to the National Weather Service in New Orleans, a survey team will be heading out on Monday morning to survey the damage that Sunday morning's storms brought. The NWS has also encouraged anyone in the region to send over their reports to help with their surveys as well.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1982508518684209425" src="https://x.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/1982508518684209425"></div><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-26 163627-1761518716166.png">Most of the storms from Sunday sat along a warm front and remained as supercells. Through the overnight hours, storms are expected to cluster together, lessening the tornado threat but maintaining the wind, hail, and heavy rain threat into Florida.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/10-26 east-1761531893312.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Heavy rain is also going to be a concern along the system, and with another batch of rain moving in by late Tuesday, the flood threat will continue into the work week as well.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot 2025-10-26 202400-1761531846617.png">For more details on how this rain may influence your forecast temperatures, be sure to join us at :10 past the hour, where we detail your east regional forecast.

Next Round of Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

Mississippi Tornado Caught on Camera

CAT 5 Melissa Closing in on Jamaica, Catastrophic Flooding Likely

Flash Flood Emergency Triggered Sunday in Florida

Next Round of Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

Mississippi Tornado Caught on Camera

CAT 5 Melissa Closing in on Jamaica, Catastrophic Flooding Likely

Flash Flood Emergency Triggered Sunday in Florida

Next Round of Rain for the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast

FORECAST: Halloween Night Shaping Up Okay For Many

Mississippi Tornado Caught on Camera